Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

Proudly using no third-party tracking

Illustrative, not investment advice. OpenWatch aggregates public signals for research and information only — it is not personalized financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Prediction Markets
Track Record
Forecast Ledger
Play Crowd Prophet
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings
Activity
Compare

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Data & Map Attribution

Data providers: GDELT · ACLED · USGS · WHO · SEC EDGAR · HKEX · UK Companies House · Japan EDINET · UN OCHA · Reuters · FRED · IMF · World Bank · OpenStreetMap / Nominatim · GDACS · IODA · Mapbox · Databento.

Maps © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap contributors — map and place-name data licensed under ODbL.

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·9905253

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation 🏗India Infrastructure Supercycle

1,146 signals for Economic+Health+Disaster+Political · Resolution

Page 5 of 46

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States

🇮🇷

Iran

39d ago

  following a televised interview concerning a potential peace agreement with the United States. A video shared by the Fars news agency showed women clad in black chadors waving red and black flags while chanting, "Death to dishonourable Araghchi, the infiltrator," in front of the premises on Saturday.   The demonstration highlights growing domestic friction as the peace deal faces severe pushback from hardline Iranian political factions.

6.1/10·Rising Kashmir·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon39d ago

KARACHI: The grounds for an increase in the policy rate have largely disappeared ahead of the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) upcoming monetary policy announcement, as global oil prices have either remained stable or eased despite heightened tensions in the Gulf, market participants said. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is scheduled to meet on June 15 for what will be the final policy review of FY26. The only increase in the policy rate during the current fiscal year came in the previous review on April 27, when the SBP raised the benchmark rate by 100 basis points to 11.5 per cent.

6.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇵🇰Pakistan 🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇳China+240d ago

Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb presented the FY2026-27 budget in the National Assembly (NA) on Friday, during a session that began two hours late and was marred by loud protests from the opposition. Aurangzeb prefaced the numbers with a note of thanks to leaders of the coalition parties supporting the federal government, as well as a rumination on Pakistan’s improved standing in the world, which he described as a culmination of events that started from last year’s Operation Bunyan-um-Marsoos and which peaked with Pakistan brokering a ceasefire between Iran and the US amidst a dangerous regional escalation. The details The budget presented for fiscal year 2026-27 has an outlay of Rs18.8 trillion, of which Rs8,045bn will be set aside for markup payments, Aurangzeb explained as he introduced the proposals.

6.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇨🇭Switzerland40d ago

 Washington DC [US], June 12  : Despite Iranian officials maintaining that reports of a deal with the US to end the conflict in West Asia remain "merely speculation", a memorandum of understanding between Tehran and Washington is expected to be signed in Geneva, Switzerland, with the proposed agreement reportedly including an extension of the ceasefire, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and a framework for further talks on the Islamic Republic's nuclear programme, as reported by CNN citing multiple diplomatic sources. According to CNN, two sources familiar with the diplomatic negotiations said Geneva was being considered as the venue for the signing ceremony for the deal, with one source stating that the event would mark the beginning of "phase two" of diplomatic engagement, focused on implementing the memorandum of understanding. The development comes after US President Donald Trump on Thursday spoke of a "great settlement" that could end the conflict with Iran, indicating that the agreement could be finalised in the coming days.

6.1/10·Rising Kashmir·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel55d ago

United States President Donald Trump finds himself in a bind as he seeks to end the war against Iran: he is under pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and get US gasoline prices down, but at the same time faces a potential backlash from Iran hawks in his own party over any concessions to Tehran. Trump’s dilemma became clear during a week of hectic diplomacy marked by word of an emerging framework deal that, according to sources familiar with the matter, would extend a current ceasefire and release Iran’s stranglehold on the vital oil-shipping route while deferring discussions of its nuclear programme. Such an interim agreement, if approved by Trump and Iran’s rulers, would amount to the most significant step toward peace since he joined with Israel in attacking Iran on February 28, and could ease the soaring energy prices the conflict has triggered.

6.1/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel+155d ago

# Translation Despite the initial Lebanese anticipation of an expected understanding between the United States and Iran that is supposed to contribute to stabilizing the ceasefire in the war between Israel and Hezbollah due to the latter's major stakes in Iran and its engagement at this level, which gives it justification for stopping the war from its side at least, diplomatic information confirms that the limits of Iran's relationship with the Lebanese file will stop at only this point. While there are confirmations in Washington at least until now of separating the path of negotiations between Lebanon and Israel from the effects of the influence of negotiations on the Iranian file or its repercussions in light of Iran's direct interest in preventing further weakening of Hezbollah and ending its capabilities. As the official Lebanese government succeeded in ensuring the neutralization of Beirut and vital institutions and infrastructure in the ongoing war between Israel and the party that has escalated following a recent escalation between the two sides that threatened to return Israeli bombardment to Hezbollah-controlled areas in Beirut, while Tel Aviv brought up coordination with Washington in order to target a party leader in Shuyifat as a way of revealing that it adheres to American lines drawn regarding the neutralization of the Lebanese capital and even destroying buildings on the pretext of targeting specific leaders or elements, and that it does not deviate from them except with prior coordination in order not to obstruct the ongoing negotiations between Washington and Tehran and in order not to embarrass the Lebanese state and destroy its capabilities, which gives Hezbollah cards of strength against it.

6.1/10·Nahar·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States55d ago

# Translation US President Donald Trump finds himself in a predicament as he seeks to end the war against Iran: he is under pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lower gasoline prices in the United States, but at the same time he may face a fierce backlash from Iran hawks within the Republican Party if he makes any concessions to Tehran. The contours of Trump's dilemma became clear in a week of intensive diplomatic efforts, with informed sources speaking of a preliminary agreement that would extend the current ceasefire and reduce Iran's control over the vital Strait of Hormuz for oil supplies, while postponing discussions about Tehran's nuclear program. This interim agreement, if approved by Trump and Iran's leaders, would be the most significant step toward peace since he joined Israel in the war against the Islamic Republic on February 28, and could ease the rising energy prices resulting from the conflict.

6.1/10·Nahar·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇰🇼Kuwait+155d ago

# Translation The dollar closed lower, and the Brazilian stock exchange ended trading in negative territory on Thursday (28), in a day marked by a reduction in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The disclosure of inflation data in the United States also helped currencies of emerging countries. The commercial dollar closed this Thursday trading at R$ 5.032, with a decline of R$ 0.029 (-0.57%).

6.1/10·Agência Brasil

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇪🇸Spain 🇴🇲Oman+155d ago

# Translation The anthropologist and UN adviser directs a human rights defense entity to restore autonomy to Persian society "after years of foreign interference" and continued wars. US and Iran negotiators reach preliminary agreement to extend ceasefire 60 days, according to Axios. Sanam Naraghi-Anderlini (Iran, 1967) is one of the leading Persian voices in the defense of peace and women's rights.

6.1/10·eldiario.es·Barcelona, Catalonia

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇰🇼Kuwait 🇺🇸United States56d ago

Oil prices bounced higher on Thursday while Asian stocks mostly fell, as new US strikes on Iran marked the latest test of a shaky ceasefire in the Middle East war . The price jumps erased much of Wednesday’s declines on the hopes of an imminent deal to end the conflict that has all but halted shipping through the crucial Strait of Hormuz for months. An American official said the military had shot down four Iranian drones and struck a control centre in the southern city of Bandar Abbas.

6.1/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇬🇧United Kingdom 🇮🇷Iran57d ago

LONDON: Oil prices rebounded back to $100 on Tuesday while stock markets were mixed and the dollar firmed after US military strikes on Iran deflated hopes of an imminent deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The US and Iran have been working on an agreement to end the Middle East war and reopen the crucial waterway to tanker and cargo traffic since a fragile ceasefire on April 8. But the fresh strikes had Tehran warning it was ready to retaliate after it accused Washington of breaching their truce with what US Central Command described as “self-defence strikes”.

6.1/10·DAWN Business·London, England

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel64d ago

Iranian authorities held mass public weddings in Tehran for couples who signed up to a state-sponsored scheme declaring their readiness to sacrifice their lives in the war against the US and Israel. The ceremonies conducted late on Monday involved hundreds of couples in several major squares in the capital, including more than 100 in the vast Imam Hossein square in central Tehran, according to reports in Iranian media. They were broadcast on state TV in a bid to boost wartime morale, with US President Donald Trump repeatedly threatening new military action against Iran amid a shaky ceasefire which halted the fighting that began on February 28.

6.1/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇪🇸Spain11d ago

Authorities and business leaders celebrated a 'historic opportunity' following an agreement that could end the use of a border as a political weapon.

6.0/10·El Confidencial (Spain)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇧🇩Bangladesh11d ago

The central president of the Students' Rights Council stated that Sheikh Hasina has no place left in Bangladesh following the 2024 people's uprising.

6.0/10·Prothom Alo

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterResolution🇪🇸Spain11d ago

A massive wildfire that ravaged over 3,000 hectares in Andalusia, southern Spain, killing 12 people, is showing a positive turn on Saturday, July 11, after two days of intense fire. Many foreign residents, including 1,400 British nationals, were evacuated from the area.

6.0/10·RFI Français·Andalousie, Andalusia

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterResolution🇪🇸Spain11d ago

Firefighters have gained more control over the large forest fire in Almería, southern Spain, which has taken 12 lives. Favorable weather conditions, including less wind and higher humidity, have aided the efforts of around 500 firefighters.

6.0/10·NRK Nyheter (Norway)·Almeria, Andalusia

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterResolution🇪🇸Spain11d ago

A massive forest fire near Almeria, Spain, which has burned 6,600 hectares and killed at least 12 people since Thursday, is expected to be soon brought under control according to Spanish authorities, who expressed optimism on Saturday.

6.0/10·France 24 French·Almeria, Andalusia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel 🇮🇹Italy+112d ago

A US military delegation arrived in Lebanon to help implement a deal between Israel and Hezbollah, aiming to end the conflict, ahead of technical talks in Rome next week.

6.0/10·Middle East Eye·Beirut, Beirut Governorate

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States47d ago

A federal judge in Rhode Island struck down restrictions imposed by President Trump's administration that had blocked asylum requests, work authorizations, green card processing, and citizenship applications for nationals of 39 countries.

6.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo (Brazil — Portuguese)·Providence, Rhode Island

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary 🇺🇦Ukraine49d ago

Hungarian Prime Minister Peter Szijjártó announced a bilateral agreement between Hungary and Ukraine on minority rights for Hungarians, clearing the way for EU accession talks to resume. The accord removes Hungary's previous veto on Ukraine's EU membership negotiations.

6.0/10·OKO.press

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary75d ago

Peter Magyar of the conservative TISZA party was sworn in as Hungary's new Prime Minister, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year grip on power. Magyar now faces a challenging agenda including anti-corruption reforms and a growing budget deficit, with EU support expected but not without conditions.

6.0/10·ORF English (Austrian Broadcasting)·Budapest, Budapest

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran+16d ago

US Vice President JD Vance has said that late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein “seemed to be connected” to elements of the “Israeli deep state” as well as the “highest levels of American intelligence”, while also acknowledging the Trump administration mishandled its response to the case. He made these remarks in a podcast episode with host Joe Rogan that was published on Wednesday. During the episode, Rogan brought up that most people thought Epstein was linked to Israel’s Mossad intelligence agency, to which Vance replied, “Yeah, Mossad or CIA or some other deep state, whether in America, Israel, or another country.” “He clearly had connections to the upper, the highest levels of American intelligence.

5.7/10·Dawn (Pakistan)

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇹🇭Thailand 🇮🇷Iran 🇹🇷Turkey14d ago

Bangkok, Jul 8: Oil prices surged more than 6 percent after US President Donald Trump said Wednesday that the interim agreement with Iran is “over,” though he will allow talks to continue. Trump made the comments following US strikes on Iran in reaction to attacks on three ships in the Strait of Hormuz. The price of Brent crude oil jumped 6.3 percent to USD 78.80 a barrel.

5.7/10·Greater Kashmir·Bangkok, Bangkok

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇹🇷Turkey 🇯🇵Japan14d ago

Dow down 1.09%, or 500 points, as S&P 500 sees a small loss and tech-heavy Nasdaq rises slightly Middle East crisis live US stock markets fell on Wednesday as the US continued strikes on Iran and the Federal Reserve flagged concerns that would warrant higher interest rates. Donald Trump’s declaration at the Nato summit in Ankara that the Iran-US ceasefire is over sent oil prices sharply higher on Wednesday. Brent crude, the global benchmark, jumped more than 5% to crest $80 a barrel.

5.7/10·The Guardian·Ankara, Ankara

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇳India14d ago

Srinagar, July 08: Chief Minister Omar Abdullah on Tuesday said the restoration of Jammu and Kashmir's statehood had already been delayed for too long, asserting that an overwhelming consensus had emerged across civil society in favour of its immediate reinstatement. Speaking to reporters, Abdullah said a meeting attended by around 170 representatives from diverse sections of society—including religious leaders, trade bodies, retired bureaucrats and educationists—had unanimously endorsed the demand for statehood and passed a resolution urging the Centre to act without further delay. "It was not merely a delegation; it was a meeting of the broader civil society," Abdullah said.

5.7/10·Greater Kashmir·Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir

Primary Source ↗Details →