Cross-domain signals60thin · 2 src2 sources

Country risk1OSINT1

NEUTRAL

50Signal Score · /100

342

Signals 7d

0%

Market Gap

↑44%

Signal Trend

↓ Export Brief ⇄ Compare

Thailand signals are stable with no significant trend. 342 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Ground Conditions

Threat level

Critical

492/wk · base 342

Signal trend

44%

30-day baseline

Market Implication

Thesis score

49.8 /100

neutral

How strong is the investment case

Market gap

−0%

vs. model value

Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.

Investment thesis strength

NEUTRAL

Threat signal intensity

72h window

Thesis components

1.8/30

15/25

8/25

10/20

Total: 34.8/100Methodology →

Sentiment↑

49.8/100 · Top 30% of 297 countries · ⓘ

Score Trend (30d)

Industries

Opportunities

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Risks

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Companies

Opportunities

No tracked companies for this country yet

Risks

No tracked companies for this country yet

Investment Thesis

Thailand signals are stable with no significant trend. 342 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

What drove this? →

Supporting signals

9/104/20/2026

Cambodian reported tensions with Thai in Bangkok [8 sources]

→ Details

9/104/20/2026

Thailand carried out physical assault in Narathiwat [4 sources]

→ Details

⚠ Coalition fragility could trigger snap election ⚠ Household debt at 91% of GDP constrains consumption

Structural Risk Indicators

Complete

Debt / GDP

69.7%

% of GDP

Healthy

FX Reserves

7.5 mo

months import cover

Strong

Fiscal Balance

-0.8%

% of GDP

Sustainable

Current Account

+2.7%

% of GDP

Stable

Debt Service

3.5%

% of exports

Manageable

IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026

US-listed funds with exposure

THDiShares MSCI Thailand ETF100% · Single-country VWOVanguard Emerging Markets ETF~2% weight · Broad EM/DM EEMiShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF~2% weight · Broad EM/DM

📡 News clusters · 72hAll 342 →

🗳Political12

Cambodian reported tensions with Thai in Bangkok [8 sources]

sig 8.512 signals

⚔️Military6

Thailand carried out physical assault in Narathiwat [4 sources]

sig 8.56 signals

🔍Criminal2

Fighter Jet reported tensions in Sob Moei [10 sources]

sig 8.52 signals

🎯 Key scenariosAll →

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📈 Key stocksAll →

No company data available.

Market Pricing Analysis

Market gap0%

Signal trend (7d)↑ 44% vs 7d avg

Recommended actionNEUTRAL

Score Breakdown — 50 / 100

Signal trend (direction + momentum)2 / 30

Market pricing gap15 / 25

Source quality + recency8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind10 / 20

Total50 / 100

Key Opportunity Signals

✦Cambodian reported tensions with Thai in Bangkok [8 sources]✦Thailand carried out physical assault in Narathiwat [4 sources]✦Fighter Jet reported tensions in Sob Moei [10 sources]

Key Risk Factors

⚠Coalition fragility could trigger snap election ⚠Household debt at 91% of GDP constrains consumption

Recent Signals

6/28/2026

🇹🇭 Thailand

Industries

Companies