Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades Watchlist Dashboard

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·0f34acb

Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades Watchlist Dashboard

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest Relevance

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Congress & Markets0 trades · 0 bills · 10 markets · 0 hearings

Found 495 results across markets (10), signals (485)

Prediction Markets(10)

37%Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?polymarket

96%Brazilian president's Supreme Court nomination rejected by Senate?manifold

96%PA Supreme Court justices Donohue, Dougherty, and Wecht retention votes? YES or …manifold

95%Mojtaba Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran on July 1st, 2026manifold

91%Will Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Hossein Deghan s…manifold

73%Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2026, according to Ga…manifold

69%No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026?manifold

65%Will a prediction market-related court case reach the Supreme Court before 2029?manifold

64%Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?manifold

60%Clarence Thomas becomes longest serving Supreme Court Justice?manifold

View all markets →

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

485 signals for "supreme" · Cyber+Political+Supply Chain+Disaster+Economic

Page 7 of 20

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States23d ago

Kentucky Attorney General Russell Coleman and 21 counterparts from other states have filed a petition with the U.S. Supreme Court seeking to prohibit mifepristone from being distributed through the mail. The action addresses access to the medication, which is used with misoprostol to terminate pregnancies within 70 days of conception, following recent shifts in federal regulatory policy governing the drug.

4.5/10·Kentucky Lantern

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States24d ago

Following the U.S. Supreme Court's decision striking down major Voting Rights Act provisions, several states are preparing new congressional district maps before the upcoming election. Ohio, having already completed a bipartisan redistricting process in 2025, is unlikely to join these new mapmaking efforts.

4.5/10·Ohio Capital Journal

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇯🇵Japan27d ago

Japan sees largest protest in support of pacifist constitution as PM Takaichi pushes revisions Japanese leader Sanae Takaichi has called for discussions to revise the constitution, saying it should ‘reflect the demands of the times’ Japan’s prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, has called for “advanced discussions” on revising the pacifist constitution, as large demonstrations were held nationwide to oppose any changes to the country’s supreme law. Speaking during an official visit to Vietnam, Takaichi said the constitution, which was written by US occupation forces after the second world war, “should periodically be updated to reflect the demands of the times”. Continue reading...

4.5/10·The Guardian·Eifuku

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate29d ago

Article from Efecto Cocuyo regarding a group of 94 candidates selected for the Judicial Nominations Committee, which will be responsible for choosing the next Supreme Court justices and other high-ranking judiciary members. The source provides a list of these candidates and discusses the importance of this institutional selection process.

4.5/10·Efecto Cocuyo (Venezuela)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate32d ago

Iran has requested several days to consult with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei before submitting a revised proposal to end the war with the United States. The delay stems from difficulty communicating with the leader whose location is kept secret for security reasons. Mediators expect Tehran to present a fresh draft in the coming days.

4.5/10·Daily K (Kashmir Pakistan side)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate34d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court is hearing oral arguments on the Trump administration's efforts to remove temporary legal status from approximately 350,000 Haitians and 6,000 Syrians. This case could impact multiple lawsuits challenging Trump administration immigration policies and potentially expose affected populations to deportation.

4.5/10·Nebraska Examiner

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇧🇷Brazil 🇴🇲Oman12d ago

Brazil's Supreme Court has been unable to serve notice on federal deputy Mário Frias regarding an investigation into the allocation of $2 million in parliamentary amendments to an NGO linked to the producer of a Bolsonaro biopic. The deputy, who serves as executive producer on the film, has evaded multiple notification attempts, with his office claiming he is on an international mission with no return date.

4.2/10·Agência Brasil·Brasilia, Federal District

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate34d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering whether to overturn a Missouri state court verdict favoring a plaintiff who sued Roundup's manufacturer for failing to warn about cancer risks. The case centers on whether states can enforce their own product liability standards, with potential implications for manufacturer liability and state regulatory authority.

4.2/10·Rhode Island Current

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇳India12d ago

The Supreme Court on Tuesday asked SpiceJet to approach the Delhi High Court with its plea seeking extension of time to deposit Rs 144 crore in connection with its legal dispute with media baron Kalanithi Maran and Kal Airways. A bench of Justices PS Narasimha and Alok Aradhe took note of submissions made by senior advocate Mukul Rohatgi, appearing for Spicejet, that the ongoing West Asia crisis has impacted the airline's operations and finances. Referring to a recent government's bailout programme for airlines, which has an outlay of Rs 5,000 crore, Rohatgi sought three months time to deposit the amount.

4.1/10·Business Standard

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate25d ago

SC, FCC operate as coordinate courts, exercising clearly demarcated jurisdictions: CJP Afridi ISLAMABAD: Chief Justice of Pakistan (CJP) Yahya Afridi has ruled that the constitutional scheme following the passage of the 27th Amendment treated the Supreme Court (SC) and the Federal Constitutional Court (FCC) as coordinate courts exercising clearly demarcated jurisdictions over distinct matters. The ruling was made in a 13-page order authored by the CJP and issued on a set of petitions arising from a Feb 17, 2020 Peshawar High Court consolidated judgement. It was issued by a two-member bench, comprising CJP Afridi and Justice Shahid Bilal Hassan.

4.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇺🇸United States40d ago

WASHINGTON — The U.S. Customs and Border Protection tariff refund system went live Monday, marking what small business advocates call a “complex” first step for entrepreneurs to recoup $166 billion in import taxes accrued under President Donald Trump’s emergency tariffs, which the U.S. Supreme Court struck down in February.

4.1/10·Tennessee Lookout·Washington

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇺🇸United States41d ago

Show me the money: Businesses line up for $166B in refunds from Trump’s illegal tariffs WASHINGTON — The U.S. Customs and Border Protection tariff refund system went live Monday, marking what small business advocates call a “complex” first step for entrepreneurs to recoup $166 billion in import taxes accrued under President Donald Trump’s emergency tariffs, which the U.S. Supreme Court struck down in February.

4.1/10·Virginia Mercury

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇺🇸United States41d ago

Show me the money: Businesses line up for $166B in refunds from Trump’s illegal tariffs WASHINGTON — The U.S. Customs and Border Protection tariff refund system went live Monday, marking what small business advocates call a “complex” first step for entrepreneurs to recoup $166 billion in import taxes accrued under President Donald Trump’s emergency tariffs, which the U.S. Supreme Court struck down in February.

4.1/10·Kentucky Lantern

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇪🇸Spain11d ago

Andalusia's Supreme Court has nullified forced expropriations for a major wastewater treatment plant in Malaga's Vega de Mestanza, ruling that the regional government failed to conduct a genuine environmental assessment. The €138 million facility, which would serve 600,000 residents and help Spain meet EU wastewater treatment standards, must now restart its entire permitting process.

4.0/10·eldiario.es·Malaga, Andalusia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇵🇰Pakistan11d ago

Pakistan's Chief Justice Yahya Afridi met with PTI General Secretary Salman Akram Raja and assured him that petitions concerning access to personal physicians, family members, and counsel for incarcerated former Prime Minister Imran Khan would be scheduled for hearings after Eid. The assurances followed a sit-in protest outside the Supreme Court and address a pending appeal since October 2025 regarding Imran's detention conditions at Adiala jail in Rawalpindi.

4.0/10·Dawn·Islamabad, Islamabad Capital Territory

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇧🇷Brazil14d ago

A sharp exchange between Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Gilmar Mendes and STF President Edson Fachin has exposed deep institutional tensions and emerging judicial factions within the court. Mendes criticized Fachin for being a 'sore loser' and accused him of poor sportsmanship compared to his predecessor Luís Roberto Barroso.

4.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇺🇸United States18d ago

After the Supreme Court ruled some of President Trump's tariffs unconstitutional, the first wave of tariff refunds have begun flowing in.

4.0/10·CNBC Business

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇧🇷Brazil23d ago

Brazil's Federal Supreme Court Second Panel voted on Friday to restore Rodrigo Manga, the mayor of Sorocaba in São Paulo state, to office after his removal by the Federal Police in connection with an investigation into health contract irregularities.

4.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo·Sorocaba, São Paulo

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇺🇸United States23d ago

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump’s trade agenda faced another major setback Thursday when the U.S. Court of International Trade handed a win to two small businesses and the state of Washington after they challenged the president’s 10% global tariffs, imposed after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down his previous emergency tariff regime.

4.0/10·Virginia Mercury·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇺🇸United States23d ago

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump’s trade agenda faced another major setback Thursday when the U.S. Court of International Trade handed a win to two small businesses and the state of Washington after they challenged the president’s 10% global tariffs, imposed after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down his previous emergency tariff regime.

4.0/10·New Hampshire Bulletin·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇺🇸United States24d ago

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump’s trade agenda faced another major setback Thursday when the U.S. Court of International Trade handed a win to two small businesses and the state of Washington after they challenged the president’s 10% global tariffs, imposed after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down his previous emergency tariff regime.

4.0/10·Rhode Island Current·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇦🇷Argentina24d ago

Argentina's Supreme Court has rejected the government's request to use an expedited appeal process (per saltum) to bypass lower courts and halt legal challenges to labor reform legislation. The ruling upholds the standard appellate procedure and maintains judicial oversight of the reform's constitutionality.

4.0/10·Buenos Aires Herald·Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States24d ago

A Tennessee resident expressed concern about state officials moving quickly to redistrict following a Supreme Court decision that weakened key provisions of the Voting Rights Act. The speaker invoked personal sacrifice in civil rights advocacy, suggesting the redistricting may undermine voting access protections.

4.0/10·Tennessee Lookout·Tennessee

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇮🇳India12d ago

Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Tuesday said Naxalism has been completely eradicated from the country ahead of the March 31 deadline due to the valour, courage and supreme sacrifice of the security forces. Addressing a press conference here, Shah said certain dates hold historical significance in the "Naxal-Free India Campaign" -- December 13, 2023, when the BJP government in Chhattisgarh took oath, the resolute campaign for the complete eradication of Naxalism began. The second date is August 24, 2024, when a meeting of the directors general of police (DG) from all states was convened to resolve to make the country Naxal-free by March 31, 2026, Shah said.

3.7/10·Business Standard

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇧🇷Brazil13d ago

Regarded as a historic defeat of the government, the rejection of the president's nominee for the Supreme Federal Court (STF) did not reach the knowledge of more than half of the population, as pointed out by the latest Datafolha survey. Read more (05/18/2026 - 23h00)

3.7/10·Folha de S.Paulo

Primary Source ↗Details →