Resolution Intelligence

De-escalation signals, diplomatic breakthroughs, ceasefire agreements, and economic normalization indicators. Curated from the global signal stream.

93resolution signals · last 30d

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30d resolution signal volume

2026-04-14 → 2026-05-13

By Threat Layer

1Economic 10Supply Chain 9Political 72Military 1Disaster

Most Active Countries

🇺🇸US·16 🇮🇱IL·15 🇱🇧LB·14 🇺🇦UA·11 🇵🇰PK·5 🇨🇳CN·2 🇵🇼PW·1 🇬🇷GR·1

Economic

1 signals— Markets, trade agreements, sanctions relief, economic normalization

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🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🏗India Infrastructure Supercycle 💰Gulf Capital Deployment

🇷🇴May 5

Romania greenlights signing SAFE loan memorandum with European Commission During an extraordinary meeting, the outgoing government of Romania adopted on Tuesday, May 5, a memorandum regarding the signing of the loan agreement related to the 'Security Action for Europe' (SAFE) fund. According to the agreement signed between Romania and the European Commission, the former will gain access to EUR 16.68 billion. After signing, the agreement will enter the approval procedure by law, in accordance with national legislation on public debt, according to Digi24 .

4.0

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Supply Chain

10 signals— Port reopenings, logistics normalization, trade route restoration

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🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🌽Brazil Agriculture Dominance

🇨🇳May 6

China says will play 'greater role' in ending Middle East conflict China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi said Beijing would play a “greater role” in ending hostilities in the Middle East during talks with his Iranian counterpart on Wednesday, a week before US President Donald Trump is due to meet Xi Jinping . China is a key customer for Iranian oil, defying sanctions imposed by the United States, and is directly affected by the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz, bordered by Iran. Beijing has quietly engaged in efforts to resolve the weekslong crisis and its diplomacy is credited with playing an important role in the fragile ceasefire agreed between Washington and Tehran.

6.1

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸May 7

Iran will control Strait of Hormuz 'forever', former senior US official says Iran will control Strait of Hormuz 'forever', former senior US official says Submitted by Sean Mathews on Wed, 05/06/2026 - 21:15 In a Bloomberg interview, Amos Hochstein said the oil shortages that poor countries are experiencing could move to the West A woman crosses a street near a billboard on the facade of a building depicting the Strait of Hormuz with a caption in Persian reading 'Forever in Iran’s Hand', at Vanak Square in Tehran, Iran, on 6 May 2026 (AFP) Off Iran will control the Strait of Hormuz “forever”, regardless of what a peace deal between the US and the Islamic Republic says, forcing Gulf states to build new pipelines to bypass Iran’s chokehold, a former senior US official said on Tuesday. “The Strait of Hormuz is under Iranian control forever - basically for the foreseeable future,” Amos Hochstein, an energy and Middle East adviser to former US President Joe Biden, told Bloomberg. “Nobody in the market should look at what the deal says eventually and believe it on [the] straits.

5.5

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷May 6

US and Iran close to finalising peace deal New Delhi, May 06: After protracted and tough negotiations, the United States and Iran are close to finalising a deal to end the conflict. The two sides have held marathon talks for weeks to iron out their differences and arrive at a mutually acceptable framework that could pave the way for a formal agreement and long-term peace. "We will close this very soon.

4.9

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🇮🇷May 7

Nearly $1 billion in oil shorts bet just before Iran peace report Observers are once again raising concerns about insider trading on Wednesday after a trader took a colossal crude oil short position just over an hour before a US-Iran peace deal was reported to be on the horizon, causing prices to fall. The Kobeissi Letter, a financial newsletter, reported on X that at 3:40 am on Wednesday, “nearly 10,000 contracts […] The post Nearly $1 billion in oil shorts bet just before Iran peace report appeared first on Asia Times .

3.7

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷May 7

Gold gains as dollar weakens; investors focus on US-Iran peace deal prospects Gold rose for a third straight session on Thursday, ‌supported by a softer dollar as hopes grew for a potential peace deal between the United States and Iran.

3.1

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🇺🇸Apr 26

Trump uninjured after gunfire at Washington press dinner; suspect in custody President Donald Trump safely evacuated the White House Correspondents Dinner at a hotel in Washington, D.C., on Saturday night after shots were fired by an alleged lone gunman. About two hours after the shots were fired, Trump, still wearing his tuxedo, addressed a roomful of reporters also in formalwear at the White House briefing room. […]

3.1

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🇺🇸Apr 26

3.1

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🇺🇸Apr 26

3.1

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🇺🇸Apr 26

3.1

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🇺🇸Apr 26

3.1

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Political

9 signals— Diplomatic agreements, elections, coalition formations, negotiations

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🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🏗India Infrastructure Supercycle 💰Gulf Capital Deployment

May 1

President Trump's administration claims a ceasefire with Iran has 'terminated' hostilities as a legal deadline arrives for congressional notification regarding a two-month Iran war. The statement addresses executive compliance with legislative oversight requirements during active international conflict.

6.5

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🇮🇱May 6

Lebanese PM says premature to talk of any high-level meeting with Israel BEIRUT, May 6 (Reuters) - Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam said it is premature to talk of any high-level meeting between Lebanon and Israel, comments underlining the dim chances of one being held soon as hoped for by U.S. President Donald Trump. Salam, in comments reported by Lebanon's National News Agency (NNA) on Wednesday, said shoring up a ceasefire would be the basis for any new round of negotiations that might be held by Lebanese and Israeli government envoys in Washington.

4.3

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🇮🇱May 6

Lebanese PM says premature to talk of any high-level meeting with Israel Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam said it is premature to talk of any high-level meeting between Lebanon and Israel, comments underlining the dim chances of one being held soon as hoped for by U.S. President Donald Trump. Salam, in comments reported by Lebanon’s National News Agency (NNA) on Wednesday, said shoring up a ceasefire would […]

3.7

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🇮🇷May 7

10-year bond rallies most in four weeks on Iran deal bets Indian government bonds experienced a significant surge on Wednesday, with the benchmark 2035 bond yield dropping 10 basis points. This rally was fueled by optimism surrounding a potential US-Iran peace deal, which is expected to lower crude oil prices, improve risk sentiment, and alleviate inflation worries. Analysts suggest a further rebound is possible if the conflict resolution materializes.

3.5

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷May 6

US stocks today: Dow jumps 450 pts as US stocks rally on Iran peace hopes; oil sinks US stocks surged Wednesday as President Trump hinted at a diplomatic breakthrough in the Iran conflict, leading to a sharp drop in oil prices. Reports suggested a memorandum of understanding could end the conflict and pave the way for broader negotiations, boosting investor sentiment and easing inflation concerns.

3.5

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🇮🇷Apr 29

Regional businesses say Iran war, Trump tariffs are increasing prices, hurting the economy President Donald Trump’s undeclared war with Iran and his sweeping tariffs are increasing costs and dampening the economic outlook, some business and community leaders have told the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. The war will enter its third month on Friday without a clear rationale or goal. A fragile cease-fire is in place, but Iran […]

3.5

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🇮🇷May 6

Trump says too early to prepare for signing peace deal with Iran — newspaper The US president did not confirm any specific plans on signing an agreement

3.1

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Apr 21

Tigray's main political party, TPFL, said it was taking back control of the region's government, effectively voiding a peace deal with Ethiopia's federal government that ended one of the century's deadliest conflicts.

3.0

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May 5

Introducing ‘Project Freedom’ Trump’s latest gambit to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has inflamed the fragile cease-fire with Iran.

2.5

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Military

72 signals— Ceasefires, troop withdrawals, peace negotiations

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🛡US Defense Surge 🧱Eastern Europe Reconstruction 🌽Brazil Agriculture Dominance

🇮🇷May 2

Trump says no need for congressional approval on Iran war after ceasefire

7.4

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🇮🇷May 2

Trump tells Congress ceasefire means he does not need their approval for Iran war

6.8

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Apr 24

US Navy ordered to ‘shoot and kill’ alleged Iranian mine-laying boats amid ceasefire

6.8

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🇱🇧May 1

Deadly Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon despite ceasefire

6.7

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May 2

Intelligence regarding a ceasefire agreement between Hezbollah and Israel that came into force on April 17. The item appears to discuss the status or implications of this military agreement, though the full context is truncated.

6.5

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🇵🇼Apr 28

SECURITY COUNCIL LIVE: Gaza ceasefire is ‘increasingly fragile’, UN warns

6.5

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May 2

Friday marked the expiration of the 60-day deadline for Donald Trump to secure congressional authorization to continue US military action in Iran under the War Powers Resolution. However, the US president argued that the law was unconstitutional and said the conflict had already ended under a ceasefire reached in early April. Simon Moritz has the details.

6.4

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🇮🇱 🇱🇧May 7

Israel strikes Beirut for the first time since ceasefire Israel struck Beirut on Wednesday for the first time since agreeing to a ceasefire with Hezbollah last month, with Israel claiming it targeted a commander of the group’s elite Radwan force in the city’s southern suburbs. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Israel Katz announced the action in a joint statement. Israeli media reported that the commander was killed in the strike, but there was no immediate confirmation from the Israeli military or Hezbollah.

6.1

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🇷🇺 🇺🇦May 6

‘Putin only cares about parades’: fury as Russia rains missiles on Ukraine during 24-hour truce Dozens killed despite ceasefire announced by Zelenskyy, after Moscow asked for Saturday truce for military parade Europe live – latest updates Kyiv has criticised Russia for attacking several Ukrainian cities overnight with more than 100 combat drones and three missiles in spite of a unilateral 24-hour ceasefire called by Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Ukraine’s president had announced the truce after the Kremlin said it wanted a ceasefire on Saturday during its annual military parade in Red Square, but he said he would reciprocate if Vladimir Putin broke Ukraine’s ceasefire, which ends at midnight on Wednesday. Continue reading...

6.1

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🇵🇰May 6

Pakistan's response to any future miscalculation will be more intense, warns Asif in Marka-i-Haq message In a televised message marking Marka-i-Haq , Defence Minister Khawaja Asif on Wednesday warned that Pakistan’s reaction to any miscalculation in the future would be “more intense and decisive”. Last year’s military conflict with India, starting from the April 22 Pahalgam attack to the end of Pakistan’s Operation Bunyanum Marsoos, with a ceasefire ending a military escalation between the two countries on May 10, has been called “ Marka-i-Haq ” (Battle of Truth) by the state. In his message, Asif said Marka-i-Haq was not just a “memorable episode for Pakistan, but a line that we have drawn forever”.

6.1

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷May 6

Middle East War: US-Iran ceasefire appears to hold A ceasefire between Iran and the United States seemed to be holding on Tuesday in spite of missile and drone attacks against vessels and an emirati port on Monday

6.1

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May 2

War 'likely' to resume, says Iran's military headquarters Iran’s military headquarters has released a statement saying the resumption of war between the US and Iran is “likely as evidence shows the US is not committed” to any agreement or treaty. The Iranians believe they have shown enough flexibility before the war began, during talks held in Islamabad and then during the ceasefire, Al Jazeera reported. Tehran does not believe this has been reciprocated by Washington and now expects war to continue.

6.1

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Disaster

1 signals— Recovery operations, aid deliveries, reconstruction

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🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🏗India Infrastructure Supercycle 💰Gulf Capital Deployment

May 2

An aircraft experienced an incident requiring passengers to be safely evacuated before the plane was towed to a gate. The controlled nature of the evacuation and towing suggests the situation was managed without emergency services involvement.

2.5

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