Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

Proudly using no third-party tracking

Illustrative, not investment advice. OpenWatch aggregates public signals for research and information only — it is not personalized financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Prediction Markets
Track Record
Forecast Ledger
Play Crowd Prophet
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings
Activity
Compare

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Data & Map Attribution

Data providers: GDELT · ACLED · USGS · WHO · SEC EDGAR · HKEX · UK Companies House · Japan EDINET · UN OCHA · Reuters · FRED · IMF · World Bank · OpenStreetMap / Nominatim · GDACS · IODA · Mapbox · Databento.

Maps © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap contributors — map and place-name data licensed under ODbL.

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·0ac62cf

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

1,130 signals for Supply Chain+Health+Political+Disaster · Resolution

Page 4 of 46

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭

Switzerland

32d ago

Tehran , June 23 : Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has said that the Strait of Hormuz will not return to its pre-war operational status and asserted that Iran will manage the strategic waterway under its own arrangements, while maintaining adherence to international regulations. According to Iranian state media Press TV, speaking in an interview upon his return from Switzerland on Monday (local time) following the conclusion of the initial round of technical talks with the US as part of the 14-point memorandum of understanding between the two sides, Ghalibaf said Iran would exercise control over the key maritime passage going forward. "Everyone should know that the administration of the Strait of Hormuz will never go back to the way it was before the war," he said.

6.1/10·Rising Kashmir·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭Switzerland 🇺🇸United States33d ago

Oil prices declined on Monday after US-Iran talks concluded in Switzerland with Tehran saying it had secured waivers for oil and petrochemical exports, easing worries about a supply shortage in global markets. Brent crude fell $1.68, or 2.09 per cent, to $78.89 a barrel by 0633 GMT (11:33am PKT). Prices had climbed to $82.30 at the start of trading, fuelled by a bumpy start to the talks with threats from US President Donald Trump to restart the war on Iran and Tehran’s announcement it had again closed the Strait of Hormuz.

6.1/10·DAWN Business·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇨🇭Switzerland 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran+233d ago

Switzerland, June 22 : The United States and Iran have moved to establish a "de-confliction cell" aimed at securing a cessation of military operations in Lebanon, marking a technical milestone in their 14-point memorandum of understanding. The first session of the technical talks between the US and Iran, as part of the 14-point memorandum of understanding (MoU) in Switzerland, concluded with the agreement on the creation of the cell, even as US President Donald Trump threatened to "hit Iran very hard" if it continued to support its 'proxy groups' in the region and Iran noting it as the "1st real test" of the agreement. According to the joint statement issued by mediators Qatar and Pakistan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Monday, a de-confliction cell involving the parties and Lebanon, facilitated by the mediators, will be created to ensure compliance with the termination of military operations in the region under the MoU.

6.1/10·Rising Kashmir

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States37d ago

The US and Iran have agreed to a basic framework. Whether this formal consensus translates into a concrete agreement is an open question. While Iran has officially declared the end of the war, Israel insists “our struggle has not yet ended”.

6.1/10·Dawn (Pakistan)·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇳India 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran39d ago

New Delhi, Jun 15: United States President Donald Trump has announced that Washington and Tehran have finalised a ceasefire agreement aimed at ending months of conflict in West Asia, paving the way for the reopening of the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz and raising hopes of a broader regional peace settlement. In a post on his Truth Social platform, US President Trump declared the agreement complete and authorised the lifting of restrictions on maritime traffic through the Gulf waterway. "The Deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete.

6.1/10·Greater Kashmir·New Delhi, Delhi

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭Switzerland+140d ago

Recap: Peace accord announced after 108 days or war Good morning Middle East Eye readers, The United States and Iran have publicly declared that a peace agreement has been reached, marking the strongest signal yet that the 108-day conflict is nearing a formal end. The accord is expected to be signed in Geneva on Friday, while governments around the world welcomed the breakthrough. Attention is now shifting to implementation, particularly in Lebanon, where disputes remain over ceasefire terms and Israeli military operations.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Geneva, Illinois

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭Switzerland40d ago

Live: US and Iran confirm peace accord, signing set for Friday in Geneva Submitted by Qazi Zaid on Mon, 06/15/2026 - 07:42 Trump says agreement is 'complete' as Tehran confirms text has been finalised Key Points Pakistan says accord will be formally signed in Geneva on 19 June Deal promises to reopen maritime routes and end hostilities US to release $12bn of Iran's frozen assets, state media reports War on Iran War on Iran Iran Israel Lebanon Palestine US Live: US and Iran confirm peace accord, signing set for Friday in Geneva Recap: Peace accord announced after 108 days or war Good morning Middle East Eye readers, The United States and Iran have publicly declared that a peace agreement has been reached, marking the strongest signal yet that the 108-day conflict is nearing a formal end. The accord is expected to be signed in Geneva on Friday, while governments around the world welcomed the breakthrough. Attention is now shifting to implementation, particularly in Lebanon, where disputes remain over ceasefire terms and Israeli military operations.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇨🇭Switzerland+140d ago

Recap: US and Iran declare peace accord The United States and Iran say they have reached a peace agreement that will formally end the conflict after more than three months of fighting. Both sides confirmed the text has been finalised, with a signing ceremony expected in Geneva on 19 June. Despite the diplomatic breakthrough, Israeli strikes and Hezbollah activity continued in Lebanon, raising questions about how quickly the agreement can be implemented on the ground.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Geneva, Illinois

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran41d ago

  following a televised interview concerning a potential peace agreement with the United States. A video shared by the Fars news agency showed women clad in black chadors waving red and black flags while chanting, "Death to dishonourable Araghchi, the infiltrator," in front of the premises on Saturday.   The demonstration highlights growing domestic friction as the peace deal faces severe pushback from hardline Iranian political factions.

6.1/10·Rising Kashmir·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇨🇭Switzerland43d ago

 Washington DC [US], June 12  : Despite Iranian officials maintaining that reports of a deal with the US to end the conflict in West Asia remain "merely speculation", a memorandum of understanding between Tehran and Washington is expected to be signed in Geneva, Switzerland, with the proposed agreement reportedly including an extension of the ceasefire, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and a framework for further talks on the Islamic Republic's nuclear programme, as reported by CNN citing multiple diplomatic sources. According to CNN, two sources familiar with the diplomatic negotiations said Geneva was being considered as the venue for the signing ceremony for the deal, with one source stating that the event would mark the beginning of "phase two" of diplomatic engagement, focused on implementing the memorandum of understanding. The development comes after US President Donald Trump on Thursday spoke of a "great settlement" that could end the conflict with Iran, indicating that the agreement could be finalised in the coming days.

6.1/10·Rising Kashmir·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel57d ago

United States President Donald Trump finds himself in a bind as he seeks to end the war against Iran: he is under pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and get US gasoline prices down, but at the same time faces a potential backlash from Iran hawks in his own party over any concessions to Tehran. Trump’s dilemma became clear during a week of hectic diplomacy marked by word of an emerging framework deal that, according to sources familiar with the matter, would extend a current ceasefire and release Iran’s stranglehold on the vital oil-shipping route while deferring discussions of its nuclear programme. Such an interim agreement, if approved by Trump and Iran’s rulers, would amount to the most significant step toward peace since he joined with Israel in attacking Iran on February 28, and could ease the soaring energy prices the conflict has triggered.

6.1/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel+157d ago

# Translation Despite the initial Lebanese anticipation of an expected understanding between the United States and Iran that is supposed to contribute to stabilizing the ceasefire in the war between Israel and Hezbollah due to the latter's major stakes in Iran and its engagement at this level, which gives it justification for stopping the war from its side at least, diplomatic information confirms that the limits of Iran's relationship with the Lebanese file will stop at only this point. While there are confirmations in Washington at least until now of separating the path of negotiations between Lebanon and Israel from the effects of the influence of negotiations on the Iranian file or its repercussions in light of Iran's direct interest in preventing further weakening of Hezbollah and ending its capabilities. As the official Lebanese government succeeded in ensuring the neutralization of Beirut and vital institutions and infrastructure in the ongoing war between Israel and the party that has escalated following a recent escalation between the two sides that threatened to return Israeli bombardment to Hezbollah-controlled areas in Beirut, while Tel Aviv brought up coordination with Washington in order to target a party leader in Shuyifat as a way of revealing that it adheres to American lines drawn regarding the neutralization of the Lebanese capital and even destroying buildings on the pretext of targeting specific leaders or elements, and that it does not deviate from them except with prior coordination in order not to obstruct the ongoing negotiations between Washington and Tehran and in order not to embarrass the Lebanese state and destroy its capabilities, which gives Hezbollah cards of strength against it.

6.1/10·Nahar·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States57d ago

# Translation US President Donald Trump finds himself in a predicament as he seeks to end the war against Iran: he is under pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lower gasoline prices in the United States, but at the same time he may face a fierce backlash from Iran hawks within the Republican Party if he makes any concessions to Tehran. The contours of Trump's dilemma became clear in a week of intensive diplomatic efforts, with informed sources speaking of a preliminary agreement that would extend the current ceasefire and reduce Iran's control over the vital Strait of Hormuz for oil supplies, while postponing discussions about Tehran's nuclear program. This interim agreement, if approved by Trump and Iran's leaders, would be the most significant step toward peace since he joined Israel in the war against the Islamic Republic on February 28, and could ease the rising energy prices resulting from the conflict.

6.1/10·Nahar·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇪🇸Spain 🇴🇲Oman+157d ago

# Translation The anthropologist and UN adviser directs a human rights defense entity to restore autonomy to Persian society "after years of foreign interference" and continued wars. US and Iran negotiators reach preliminary agreement to extend ceasefire 60 days, according to Axios. Sanam Naraghi-Anderlini (Iran, 1967) is one of the leading Persian voices in the defense of peace and women's rights.

6.1/10·eldiario.es·Barcelona, Catalonia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel67d ago

Iranian authorities held mass public weddings in Tehran for couples who signed up to a state-sponsored scheme declaring their readiness to sacrifice their lives in the war against the US and Israel. The ceremonies conducted late on Monday involved hundreds of couples in several major squares in the capital, including more than 100 in the vast Imam Hossein square in central Tehran, according to reports in Iranian media. They were broadcast on state TV in a bid to boost wartime morale, with US President Donald Trump repeatedly threatening new military action against Iran amid a shaky ceasefire which halted the fighting that began on February 28.

6.1/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainResolution🇨🇳China79d ago

China says will play 'greater role' in ending Middle East conflict China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi said Beijing would play a “greater role” in ending hostilities in the Middle East during talks with his Iranian counterpart on Wednesday, a week before US President Donald Trump is due to meet Xi Jinping . China is a key customer for Iranian oil, defying sanctions imposed by the United States, and is directly affected by the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz, bordered by Iran. Beijing has quietly engaged in efforts to resolve the weekslong crisis and its diplomacy is credited with playing an important role in the fragile ceasefire agreed between Washington and Tehran.

6.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇳Indiayesterday

Activist Sonam Wangchuk ended his 26-day hunger strike after receiving assurances from Union Ministers JP Nadda and Jitendra Singh that the government would not register cases against peaceful protesters and would discuss issues like exam paper leaks and education reforms in Parliament. Prime Minister Narendra Modi also urged Wangchuk to focus on his health. While the hunger strike has concluded, a related group, the Cockroach Janta Party, stated their protest would continue until the Union Education Minister resigns.

6.0/10·Greater Kashmir·Gurugram, Haryana

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇳Indiayesterday

Sonam Wangchuk has ended his 26-day hunger strike after extensive negotiations and in light of concerns about potential violence in the country.

6.0/10·DW World News

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇪🇸Spain13d ago

Authorities and business leaders celebrated a 'historic opportunity' following an agreement that could end the use of a border as a political weapon.

6.0/10·El Confidencial (Spain)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇧🇩Bangladesh13d ago

The central president of the Students' Rights Council stated that Sheikh Hasina has no place left in Bangladesh following the 2024 people's uprising.

6.0/10·Prothom Alo

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterResolution🇪🇸Spain14d ago

A massive wildfire that ravaged over 3,000 hectares in Andalusia, southern Spain, killing 12 people, is showing a positive turn on Saturday, July 11, after two days of intense fire. Many foreign residents, including 1,400 British nationals, were evacuated from the area.

6.0/10·RFI Français·Andalousie, Andalusia

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterResolution🇪🇸Spain14d ago

Firefighters have gained more control over the large forest fire in Almería, southern Spain, which has taken 12 lives. Favorable weather conditions, including less wind and higher humidity, have aided the efforts of around 500 firefighters.

6.0/10·NRK Nyheter (Norway)·Almeria, Andalusia

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterResolution🇪🇸Spain14d ago

A massive forest fire near Almeria, Spain, which has burned 6,600 hectares and killed at least 12 people since Thursday, is expected to be soon brought under control according to Spanish authorities, who expressed optimism on Saturday.

6.0/10·France 24 French·Almeria, Andalusia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel 🇮🇹Italy+114d ago

A US military delegation arrived in Lebanon to help implement a deal between Israel and Hezbollah, aiming to end the conflict, ahead of technical talks in Rome next week.

6.0/10·Middle East Eye·Beirut, Beirut Governorate

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States49d ago

A federal judge in Rhode Island struck down restrictions imposed by President Trump's administration that had blocked asylum requests, work authorizations, green card processing, and citizenship applications for nationals of 39 countries.

6.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo (Brazil — Portuguese)·Providence, Rhode Island

Primary Source ↗Details →