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Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades Watchlist Dashboard

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Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

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Congress & Markets0 trades · 0 bills · 10 markets · 0 hearings

Found 573 results across markets (10), signals (563)

Prediction Markets(10)

37%Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?polymarket

96%Brazilian president's Supreme Court nomination rejected by Senate?manifold

96%PA Supreme Court justices Donohue, Dougherty, and Wecht retention votes? YES or …manifold

95%Mojtaba Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran on July 1st, 2026manifold

91%Will Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Hossein Deghan s…manifold

73%Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2026, according to Ga…manifold

69%No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026?manifold

65%Will a prediction market-related court case reach the Supreme Court before 2029?manifold

64%Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?manifold

60%Clarence Thomas becomes longest serving Supreme Court Justice?manifold

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Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

563 signals for "supreme" · Supply Chain+Disaster+Military+Economic+Cyber+Political

Page 7 of 23

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States25d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court, through Justice Samuel Alito, has temporarily paused implementation of a ban on telehealth abortion pill care, creating uncertainty among Ohio reproductive rights advocates and abortion clinics about future access. Advocates warn that losing telehealth abortion pill options would directly harm public health and wellbeing in the state.

5.5/10·Ohio Capital Journal

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PoliticalUpdate🇮🇳India26d ago

Are people of J-K being punished for not electing a BJP CM? Omar Abdullah on statehood delay Srinagar, May 06: It is deeply unfair to the people of Jammu and Kashmir that the promise of statehood is not being kept, says Jammu and Kashmir Chief Minister Omar Abdullah while going on to ask if they are being punished for not electing a BJP chief minister. "If that is the case, the BJP should have stood up in Parliament or told the Supreme Court that till a BJP chief minister sits in Jammu and Kashmir, you will not get statehood… Then I would have believed that these people are telling the truth,” Abdullah, who was elected to power nearly 20 months ago, told PTI.

5.3/10·Greater Kashmir

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PoliticalUpdate🇮🇳India30d ago

West Bengal rejected Supreme Court in Puducherry [10 sources]

5.3/10·GDELT Events Historical·Puducherry

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DisasterCrisis🇲🇽Mexico8d ago

A federal judge in Mexico is set to rule within days on whether to terminate the Río Sonora Trust, the legal mechanism overseeing environmental remediation from a major mining disaster in Sonora state. Basin Committees have raised alarms that the closure would violate a Supreme Court ruling and leave communities still contaminated with heavy metals without medical services or cleanup infrastructure.

5.2/10·Pie de Página (Mexico — Spanish)·Sonora River basin, Sonora

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel11d ago

Iran's Supreme Leader has ordered the country to retain its near-weapons-grade uranium domestically rather than send it abroad, hardening Tehran's position on a central demand in U.S. peace negotiations and potentially complicating efforts to resolve tensions.

5.2/10·Al-Monitor·Tehran, Tehran

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PoliticalUpdate🇧🇷Brazil23d ago

A Federal Police operation targeting Senator Ciro Nogueira of the Progressive Party and the Senate's rejection of Jorge Messias's nomination to Brazil's Supreme Court signal escalating political conflict between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, with broader stakes for the judiciary and separation of powers.

5.2/10·Folha de S.Paulo

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇿🇦South Africa24d ago

Virginia's Supreme Court on Friday struck down a congressional district map drawn by Democrats and approved by the state's voters in a recent referendum. The ruling marks another setback for Democrats in an intensifying national conflict with Republicans over electoral redistricting.

5.2/10·Folha de S.Paulo·Richmond, Virginia

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PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States 🇿🇦South Africa24d ago

Virginia's Supreme Court has blocked a newly drawn congressional map that Democrats had designed to flip four Republican-held seats in the U.S. House of Representatives. The ruling is a procedural victory for Trump's party as the nation heads toward November's congressional elections.

5.2/10·ORF English (Austrian Broadcasting)·Virginia, Virginia

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MilitaryUpdate30d ago

The Representative of Iran’s Supreme Leader in India has said that Iran was forced into the war despite efforts to avoid conflict through negotiations.

5.2/10·The Hindu

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PoliticalUpdate32d ago

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis' office cited an upcoming Supreme Court decision on race and congressional redistricting to justify a proposed redistricting map. The governor's general counsel argued against the use of race in redistricting while unveiling the map.

5.2/10·Washington State Standard

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EconomicCrisis41d ago

Customs and Border Protection unveiled a process for businesses to recover approximately $166 billion in import taxes from Trump's emergency tariffs that were later invalidated by the U.S. Supreme Court. Advocates characterized the refund process as complex, raising concerns about accessibility for affected businesses.

5.2/10·Maryland Matters

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MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States 🇧🇪Belgium13d ago

General Alexus G. Grynkewich, the supreme commander of NATO forces in Europe, said on Tuesday that the U.S. decision to withdraw an armored brigade of 5,000 soldiers from Europe will not affect NATO's regional defense plans, following a meeting of the alliance's Military Committee.

5.0/10·Digi24 (Romania)

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PoliticalCrisis🇵🇾Paraguay24d ago

Paraguay's Supreme Court of Justice issued a public denunciation of threats and intimidations directed at Claudia Lucrecia Paredes Castañeda, the president of the Judicial Branch, and called for enhanced security measures to protect her.

5.0/10·La Prensa Libre (Guatemala — Spanish, expanded)

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States25d ago

The day after the U.S. Supreme Court decision curtailing the federal Voting Rights Act, NAACP President Derrick Johnson addressed members and supporters, ranking the ruling alongside landmark cases that excluded Black Americans from citizenship and upheld segregation. Johnson's comparison signals the organization's view of the decision as a fundamental threat to voting rights protections.

5.0/10·Washington State Standard

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States25d ago

The day after the U.S. Supreme Court weakened the federal Voting Rights Act, NAACP President Derrick Johnson told members and supporters that the ruling ranks among the Court's most infamous decisions in American history, comparing it to landmark cases like Dred Scott and Plessy that entrenched racial discrimination.

5.0/10·Nebraska Examiner

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PoliticalUpdate🇮🇳India30d ago

West Bengal criticized Supreme Court in New Delhi [5 sources]

4.9/10·GDELT Events Historical

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MilitaryCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel14d ago

Iran’s top security body announced on Monday the formation of a new body to manage the Strait of Hormuz, which Tehran has effectively closed and wants to charge ships to traverse. On its official X account, the Supreme National Security Council shared a post for the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) saying it would provide “real-time updates on the #Hormuz_Strait operations and latest developments”. The account of the Revolutionary Guards’ navy shared the same post.

4.7/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

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EconomicUpdate🇧🇷Brazil4d ago

Brazil's Federal Supreme Court has facilitated a loan guarantee arrangement involving the Credit Guarantee Fund (FGC) to stabilize Brasília Bank, a major private financial institution. Major Brazilian private banks learned of the agreement and its operational structure through media reports rather than direct notification from authorities, raising questions about the transparency of the arrangement negotiated between the Lula government's economic team and the Federal District administration.

4.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo·Brasilia, Federal District

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PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States4d ago

The Trump administration's Department of Justice has asked the U.S. Supreme Court to allow states to review voter rolls for noncitizens in the days immediately before elections, a position that voting rights groups warn could lead to the disenfranchisement of eligible American voters.

4.5/10·Washington State Standard

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇳India 🇺🇦Ukraine6d ago

New Delhi, May 26: Union Home Minister Amit Shah on Tuesday announced that the Centre has constituted a high-level committee under retired Supreme Court judge Justice Prakash Prabhakar Naolekar to assess demographic changes across India due to "illegal immigration and other unnatural causes". In a message on 'X' in Hindi, he said infiltration and other reasons are causing "unnatural" demographic change, which poses a significant challenge to the present and future of any nation. "To address this very challenge, on August 15, 2025, Prime Minister @narendramodi ji had announced the 'high-level committee on demographic change'.

4.5/10·Greater Kashmir·New Delhi, Delhi

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MilitaryUpdate🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States6d ago

Following American attacks on the Iranian army from Monday to Tuesday, Iran's supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, threatened the United States. He stated that countries in the Middle East "no longer represent a shield for American bases," reports focus.de.

4.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)

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PoliticalCrisis🇵🇱Poland11d ago

The voting system at Poland's XVII National Congress of Physicians was disrupted by deliberate signal jamming, according to the Supreme Medical Chamber. Police responded to the scene as proceedings descended into disorder and organizational confusion.

4.5/10·Rzeczpospolita

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇷🇺Russia 🇨🇴Colombia+112d ago

Mohammad Rashid Mazaheri, a former Iranian national football team goalkeeper, has been jailed in solitary confinement in Urmia in northwestern Iran. His wife publicly announced his detention on May 19, stating he was imprisoned for his political stance after he posted a critical message about Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on Instagram in February. Iranian judicial authorities confirmed his arrest was related to an attempt to illegally cross the western border while disguised and allegedly bribing officials. The case is part of a broader crackdown on Iranian athletes and public figures critical of the government.

4.5/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Urmia, West Azerbaijan

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PoliticalUpdate🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States12d ago

A US newspaper has reported claims that Israel's airstrikes at the beginning of the current conflict were intended to help free Mahmoud Ahmadinejad from house arrest, raising questions about US and Israeli strategy toward Iran's government. Ahmadinejad, who served as president from 2005 to 2013 and has since become a critic of the regime under Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, has positioned himself as a champion of Iran's poor.

4.5/10·The Guardian World

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MilitaryUpdate🇮🇷Iran13d ago

NATO has not yet developed a formal plan for military involvement in securing the Strait of Hormuz amid Iranian blockade concerns, but is actively considering such contingencies, according to General Alexus Grynkewich, supreme commander of allied forces, in remarks to the press on Tuesday.

4.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Strait Of Hormuz

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