Prediction Markets

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·8d30212

Prediction Markets

Signal Search

Search across all ingested intelligence signals. Supports websearch syntax: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

386 results for "Regional" · Political+Military+Supply Chain+Cyber

Page 3 of 16

PoliticalUpdate🇵🇰Pakistan 🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States

+1

18d ago

Iran's ambassador to Pakistan laid out Tehran's expectation that the end of the US-Israel conflict will trigger new regional political alignments, including a potential alliance of Iran, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Pakistan, while praising Islamabad's role in brokering a fragile US-Iran ceasefire and facilitating direct bilateral talks for the first time in decades.

5.5/10·Dawn·Islamabad, Islamabad Capital Territory

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇹🇷Turkey 🇬🇷Greece 🇨🇾Cyprus+118d ago

Turkey is preparing parliamentary legislation to formally enshrine its maritime claims in disputed waters of the Aegean Sea and eastern Mediterranean, according to Bloomberg reporting. The move risks renewing regional tensions with Greece and Cyprus over control of offshore energy resources and contested sea borders.

5.5/10·Greek Reporter·Aegean Sea

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇨🇺Cuba 🇻🇪Venezuela18d ago

Cuban authorities have provided no clarity on the number of aid workers remaining in Venezuela, while the Venezuelan government has begun dismantling aspects of the alliance that has sustained the Cuban regime's regional presence and economic support.

5.5/10·14ymedio (Cuba — Spanish)·Havana, Havana

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate🇨🇳China 🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman18d ago

China relies on the Strait of Hormuz for over half of its seaborne crude oil imports, making it acutely exposed to disruptions from Middle East regional conflict. Any escalation that threatens shipping through the strait would directly impact Chinese energy security and industrial output.

5.5/10·La Prensa Libre (Guatemala — Spanish, expanded)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇵🇭Philippines 🇺🇸United States18d ago

Philippine Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro Jr. said Friday that next year's Balikatan joint drills with the United States could feature expanded activities and broader multinational participation, as the Philippines and its allies work to strengthen regional defense cooperation amid rising tensions in the Indo-Pacific.

5.5/10·Philippine Daily Inquirer·Manila, National Capital Region

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇲🇲Myanmar19d ago

A regional diplomatic bloc has placed Myanmar's civil war high on its agenda, with indications that talks may be scheduled with the military junta's foreign minister.

5.5/10·Myanmar Now

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇱Israel 🇮🇷Iran 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia+119d ago

A new analysis argues that Israeli-Gulf normalization efforts, despite being framed as peace-building, effectively set the stage for military confrontation with Iran by reshaping regional alliances and strategic pressures across the Middle East.

5.5/10·Foreign Policy

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine19d ago

Ukraine conducted a drone strike against an industrial facility in Perm Krai, according to regional Governor Dmitry Makhonin. The strike represents a continuation of Ukrainian long-range drone operations targeting Russian territory away from the frontline.

5.5/10·Meduza (English)·Perm, Perm Krai

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇲🇲Myanmar 🇧🇳BN 🇰🇭Cambodia+719d ago

Regional leaders are engaging in diplomatic outreach as ASEAN grapples with persistent disagreements over how to respond to Myanmar's military regime, which has held power for more than five years since its 2021 coup.

5.5/10·Myanmar Now

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇷🇴Romania 🇦🇹Austria 🇴🇲Oman20d ago

Romania's four-party governing coalition faces deepening animosity and political crisis, with Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's recent overthrow triggering currency depreciation to historic lows against the euro and underperformance of government bonds. Austrian financial analysts warn that persistent political instability threatens implementation of EU recovery funds while inflation forecasts have risen to 8%—significantly above the regional average—amid exchange rate depreciation pressures.

5.5/10·Romania Insider·Bucharest, Bucharest

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇨🇳China 🇯🇵Japan20d ago

China condemns Japan’s first overseas ‘offensive missile’ test since WWII China condemned what it called Japan’s first “offensive missile” test overseas in eight decades, saying Tokyo’s “neo-militarism” and intensified arms race had gained momentum and threatened regional stability. During the “Balikatan 2026” joint drill led by the United States and the Philippines on Wednesday, Japanese forces fired a Type 88 surface-to-ship missile in the Philippines. According to China, it was the first time Japan had launched an “offensive” weapon abroad since World War II.

5.5/10·South China Morning Post

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate26d ago

Indigenous communities in the Chittagong Hills, bordering Myanmar, are among the worst affected by regional instability. This region faces complex political dynamics involving ethnic tensions and cross-border challenges that disproportionately impact vulnerable populations.

5.5/10·Myanmar Now

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇪🇸Spain 🇴🇲Oman8d ago

The apparatuses of Ferraz and Andalusia block until the municipalities pass the catharsis in the Andalusian federation that some leaders already claim: "We must start from scratch and, the longer we take, the worse" The PSOE says that the failure in Andalusia is of the PP for depending on Vox and ensures that Montero is "the best candidate" Map - What did your neighbors vote for on 17M? The results of the elections in Andalusia, street to street From disaster to disaster until the final victory. That is the consignment in the PSOE after a cycle of regional defeats that had its peak this Sunday in Andalusia, where it reaped the worst result in its history .

5.3/10·eldiario.es

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman11d ago

A Greek-managed oil tanker was among only a handful of vessels to transit the Strait of Hormuz this week as regional tensions continue to disrupt critical global energy shipping routes.

5.2/10·Greek City Times·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇩🇪Germany19d ago

Germany faces a crucial electoral test as the AfD gains strength ahead of September elections in Saxony-Anhalt, posing a challenge to Chancellor Friedrich Merz and raising questions about political stability as the party moves closer to significant power at the regional level.

5.2/10·Asia Times·Berlin, Saxony-Anhalt

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate24d ago

Japan and South Korea are closing ranks as they prepare for high-level meetings aimed at steadying ties amid growing regional volatility, with analysts saying the diplomatic push reflects shared concern over China, North Korea and the reliability of US commitments under President Donald Trump. Both countries appear willing to put past differences aside, at least for now, as they confront an assertive China and an unpredictable US administration that has unsettled long-standing allies and...

5.2/10·South China Morning Post

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate25d ago

California's Delta tunnel project has cleared a significant regulatory milestone, though substantial obstacles remain for full implementation. The infrastructure development involves water management systems affecting regional supply chains and agricultural operations in the Delta region.

5.2/10·CalMatters

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇦🇫Afghanistan 🇺🇸United States8d ago

US Sets Five Conditions in Response to Iran’s Peace Proposal Ebadullah.Ebadi Mon, 05/18/2026 - 17:22 Author TOLOnews Profile Photo Author Short Bio TOLOnews is Afghanistan’s first 24-hour TV/online news channel covering national, regional and world affairs. Author Job TV Network World As political and military tensions between Iran and the United States intensify, Iran’s Fars News Agency, citing an informed source, has reported that the United States has presented five conditions in response to Iran’s latest peace proposal. According to the report, the conditions include no payment of compensation or war damages by the United States, the transfer of 400 kilograms of Iran’s enriched uranium to the US, and limiting Iran to only one active nuclear facility.

5.1/10·TOLOnews (Afghanistan)·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States20d ago

US Declares End to War, Pauses Hormuz Mission Kashmir, Observer, Jammu, Srinagar, Latest Kashmir News, Kashmir News, Kashmir Latest News The United States has abruptly declared the end of its military campaign against Iran while suspending a high-profile naval escort initiative in the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting a fragile ceasefire and a strategic recalibration in a conflict that has reshaped regional power dynamics. The post US Declares End to War, Pauses Hormuz Mission appeared first on Kashmir Observer .

5.1/10·Kashmir Observer

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate20d ago

Paigham-i-Islam Conference awards title of ‘Greatest Victorious General of the Century’ to CDF Asim Munir ISLAMABAD: The Sixth International Paigham-i-Islam Conference, held on Wednesday, awarded the titles of “Leader of Peace” and “Greatest Victorious General of the Century” to Chief of Defence Forces (CDF) and Chief of the Army Staff (COAS) Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, in recognition of his role in promoting peace and strengthening stability across the Muslim Ummah. The conference, organised by the International Tazeem-i-Haramain Sharifain Council and Pakistan Ulema Council, strongly condemned the attacks on Iran by the United States and Israel. The conference also expressed concern over the strikes targeting Arab countries, terming them detrimental to regional stability.

5.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia20d ago

At least 27 people were killed and more than 20 injured in a wave of Russian strikes across eastern Ukraine on Tuesday, according to Reuters and Ukrainian officials, in attacks carried out hours before a proposed ceasefire was due to take effect. One of the deadliest strikes hit the southeastern city of Zaporizhzhia, where regional […] The post Russian Strikes Kill At Least 27 In Eastern Ukraine appeared first on Khaama Press .

5.1/10·Khaama Press (Afghanistan)·Zaporizhzhia, Zaporizhzhia Oblast

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryCrisis🇷🇺Russia21d ago

Russian strike on Zaporizhzhia kills 12; aerial bomb hits Kramatorsk, killing 5 A Russian military strike on Zaporizhzhia on the afternoon of May 5 killed at least 12 people and wounded several others, Ivan Fedorov, head of the Zaporizhzhia regional military administration, said.

5.1/10·Meduza (English)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan21d ago

Shehbaz Sharif condemned reported missile and drone attacks on the United Arab Emirates, expressing support for Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan amid rising regional tensions. Sharif said maintaining the ceasefire is essential to create space for diplomacy and ensure long term peace and stability across the Gulf region. UAE authorities accused Iran of targeting an […] The post Pakistan Condemns UAE Attacks as Gulf Tensions Rise Over Iran appeared first on Khaama Press .

5.1/10·Khaama Press (Afghanistan)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States 🇧🇪Belgium7d ago

General Alexus G. Grynkewich, the supreme commander of NATO forces in Europe, said on Tuesday that the U.S. decision to withdraw an armored brigade of 5,000 soldiers from Europe will not affect NATO's regional defense plans, following a meeting of the alliance's Military Committee.

5.0/10·Digi24 (Romania)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇬🇭Ghana 🇬🇳Guinea18d ago

Ghana has urged stronger regional collaboration, intelligence sharing, and joint maritime operations among Gulf of Guinea states to address worsening insecurity, including piracy and armed robbery at sea.

5.0/10·Joy FM Online (Ghana)·Gulf Of Guinea

Primary Source ↗Details →