Prediction Markets

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·8157f44

Prediction Markets

Signal Search

Search across all ingested intelligence signals. Supports websearch syntax: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest Relevance

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

80 results for "Regional" · Political+Criminal+Economic+Health+Disaster+Supply Chain · Crisis

Page 1 of 4

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States

🇵🇰

Pakistan

+1

7d ago

Pakistan's Interior Minister is conducting emergency mediation in Tehran as US-Iran ceasefire negotiations stall over disputes on nuclear programme, sanctions relief, and regional security. President Trump has warned of renewed strikes if no deal is reached within a limited timeframe, while Iran's Revolutionary Guards threatened confrontation extending beyond the Middle East. Both sides remain locked in hostile rhetoric despite Saudi and Turkish backing for continued talks.

7.8/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇧🇷Brazil9d ago

Rio de Janeiro police discovered the body of federal judge Alcides Martins Ribeiro Filho, who served on Brazil's Federal Regional Court of the 2nd Region, after he had been missing for more than a month.

7.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo·Rio De Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthCrisis🇨🇩Congo 🇺🇬Uganda 🇨🇮Ivory Coast+19d ago

Médecins Sans Frontières is responding to an active Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo caused by the Bundibugyo virus, which has no approved vaccine or treatment. As of May 19, 2026, authorities reported over 500 suspected cases and more than 130 deaths, with confirmed cases in North Kivu province including the city of Goma, and two confirmed cases across the border in Uganda. The outbreak is complicated by ongoing regional conflict, displacement, and limited diagnostic capacity.

7.5/10·Doctors Without Borders (MSF)·Goma, North Kivu

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis1568d ago

A devastating landslide struck the La Esneda neighborhood of Dosquebradas on February 8, killing 16 residents and injuring 34 others. The disaster was foreseeable—regional environmental authorities had identified the area as high-risk for over 15 years, with warnings documented since 2008 regarding hydrological and geotechnical hazards. Officials acknowledge approximately 2,000 additional homes in similar high-risk zones along the Otún River remain vulnerable, requiring urgent relocation efforts.

7.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇴🇲Oman7d ago

More than 160 oil tankers are stranded in the Persian Gulf as Iran tightens its control over the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most critical energy transit routes and a flashpoint for regional tensions.

6.8/10·Nikkei Asia (NAR feed)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthCrisis27d ago

Unregulated mines in Myanmar's lawless borderlands are poisoning downstream Thai communities through water contamination. Rivers and Rights director Pianporn Deetes discusses the transboundary environmental health impact and identifies Bangkok as having the regulatory authority to address this escalating regional crisis.

6.5/10·The Irrawaddy

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis28d ago

Weather extremes are fueling wildfires across tens of thousands of acres across the southeast, including North Carolina. This disaster event threatens multiple sectors through direct property damage, environmental degradation, and cascading impacts on regional infrastructure and services.

6.5/10·The Assembly NC

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States28d ago

United States engaged in clashes in Oxbow Regional Park [8 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States28d ago

United States engaged in clashes in Oxbow Regional Park [8 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇨🇴Colombia8d ago

Colombia's Air-e electricity distributor, serving 1.3 million customers across three departments, has seen its debt more than double since government intervention 20 months ago, reaching $2.1–3.9 trillion. The company loses over half its purchased energy to illegal connections and unpaid bills, while thermal generators supplying 35% of regional power operate at a loss and face imminent refusal to continue generation. The crisis disproportionately affects low-income populations in the Caribbean region, where 85% of users belong to lower income strata.

6.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Barranquilla, Atlántico

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia 🇨🇺Cuba10d ago

Colombian military and regional authorities report that FARC dissidents operating in Meta and Guaviare departments are beheading citizens and coercing rural voters ahead of the presidential election. The former mayor of Cubarral and his government secretary, who was coordinating a presidential candidate's campaign, were killed in a motorcycle attack. Authorities confirm insurgent groups are forcing residents to register to vote and using violence to control the electorate in southern Meta.

6.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Meta, Meta

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis🇮🇳India14d ago

A violent thunderstorm with heavy rain and hail swept through Uttar Pradesh, India's most populous state, killing nearly 90 people, according to regional disaster management authorities.

6.2/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Uttar Pradesh

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+220d ago

Iran's rhetoric and policies toward Gulf states have sharply escalated, threatening years of regional diplomatic progress amid rising maritime tensions and deepening mutual distrust.

6.2/10·Al-Monitor·Persian Gulf

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇳China 🇵🇰Pakistan+220d ago

Iran's actions have disrupted Hormuz shipping lanes, destabilizing Gulf trade and energy markets. China's pre-built corridor infrastructure and strong industrial capacity position it to gain relative advantage, while Pakistan has begun routing transit through Iran via Chinese-built corridors—a shift that redirects regional trade away from traditional UAE ports and consolidates Beijing's influence over critical supply chains.

6.2/10·Oil Price (Energy Intel)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇿🇦South Africa21d ago

The International Monetary Fund has warned that regional economic growth in Africa is expected to contract by 0.3 percentage points, with approximately 20 million people now at risk of food insecurity as the Iran conflict drives up global energy and food prices.

6.2/10·AfricaNews

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis31d ago

The Foreign Investors Council warns that Romania's ongoing political crisis—triggered by the PSD's withdrawal from the governing coalition—threatens economic stability and investor confidence. With 53% of surveyed companies reporting deteriorated legislative predictability and historical FDI sensitivity to policy uncertainty, prolonged instability could reduce annual foreign direct investment inflows from the recent EUR 6-7 billion average, particularly given elevated public debt and regional competitive pressures.

6.2/10·Romania Insider

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇪🇸Spain10d ago

The rise of the lefts at the territorial level could hinder the process of rebuilding the progressive alliance at the state level, and some voices publicly ask to choose the new brand now and the new leadership Forward 'surpasses' Por Andalucía and deepens the crisis of Sumar The overturning in the panorama of the alternative left in Andalusia has once again focused on the weakness of the progressive formations at the state level in the face of the rise of the territorial. The great result of the Andalusians of Adelante, who quadrupled their results and clearly surpassed Por Andalucía, threatens to hinder the process of rebuilding the alliance between IU, Movimiento Sumar, Más Madrid and the Comuns, and the first voices calling for its acceleration have already begun to emerge. And it also puts Podemos in a brete, since the purples aspire to do "tandem" with a Gabriel Rufián who, precisely, proposes that progressive parties at the state level withdraw or, at least, take a back seat in the next general elections in favor of left-wing formations at the regional level.

6.1/10·eldiario.es

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇵🇰Pakistan 🇨🇳China21d ago

ISLAMABAD: The Ministry of Finance and the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Thursday showed unanimous optimism over economic growth and achieving fiscal and current account targets despite the regional crisis. The development comes amid anticipated approval of disbursements worth over $1.2bn by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Friday and the scheduled visit of another mission for next year’s budget formulation on May 15. Testifying before the National Assembly’s Standing Committee on Finance and Revenue, SBP Governor Jameel Ahmed confirmed that the SBP had purchased about $27bn from the market over the past three years, including $4.5bn so far this year, to boost foreign exchange reserves.

6.1/10·DAWN Business

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇳India 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel9d ago

India state-fuel retailers raised petrol and diesel prices by less than a rupee per litre on Tuesday, the second increase in a week to recover some losses from high crude prices resulting from the Iran war. After the rise of roughly 0.9 Indian rupees ($0.0093), consumers will pay 98.64 Indian rupees for a litre of petrol in New Delhi and 91.58 Indian rupees for a litre of diesel, dealers said. Prices vary across the country because of regional taxes.

5.7/10·DAWN Business·New Delhi, Delhi

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇨🇳China 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine+19d ago

Russian President Vladimir Putin arrives in Beijing on Tuesday for talks with his Chinese counterpart and his “long-time good friend” Xi Jinping, intending to show their ties are unshakeable days after a visit by Donald Trump. The confirmation of Putin’s trip came just hours after Trump wrapped up his visit on Friday, the first by a US president to China in nearly a decade and one aimed at stabilising their turbulent relations. Putin and Xi are set to discuss how to “further strengthen” Russia and China’s strategic partnership and “exchange views on key international and regional issues”, according to a Kremlin statement.

5.7/10·Dawn·Beijing, Beijing

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalCrisis🇲🇽Mexico22d ago

Who Is El Jardinero? By "Karamazov" for Borderland Beat   Audias Flores Silva, a.k.a “El Jardinero,” “Gabriel Raigosa Plascencia,” “Comandante,” “El Bravo 2,” “Audi,” and “Mata Jefes,” is a senior regional commander of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG), one of Mexico’s most powerful and violent transnational criminal organizations. He was captured by Mexican security forces during a major military operation in Nayarit on April 27, 2026.

5.7/10·Borderland Beat

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇰🇷South Korea9d ago

South Korea's Journal of Commerce Index collapsed to its lowest level in a year, raising concerns about the nation's economic trajectory and raising alarm about potential broader regional impacts.

5.5/10·CNBC Indonesia·Seoul, Seoul

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran10d ago

US President Donald Trump warned Iran on Sunday to quickly reach a peace deal or face destruction, as ongoing tensions with Tehran and its regional allies continue to disrupt negotiations, drive up oil prices, and destabilize the Middle East.

5.5/10·France 24 English·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia 🇨🇺Cuba 🇹🇷Turkey11d ago

Roger, a campaign coordinator for political candidate Abelardo de la Espriella, was killed in a motorcycle attack near Cubarral in Meta department, Colombia, after collecting campaign materials in Villavicencio. Authorities are investigating the attack as tensions mount during the electoral period, with the regional governor convening an extraordinary security council to address public order concerns.

5.5/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Villavicencio, Meta

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇨🇳China 🇺🇸United States 🇹🇼Taiwan14d ago

Chinese President Xi Jinping warned Donald Trump that Beijing and Washington could enter into conflict if the U.S. mishandles the Taiwan issue. Taiwanese officials responded by characterizing China as "the only risk" to regional peace, marking a significant rhetorical escalation in cross-strait tensions.

5.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Beijing, Beijing

Primary Source ↗Details →