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Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades

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Congress & Markets0 trades · 0 bills · 10 markets · 0 hearings

Prediction Markets(10)

96%Brazilian president's Supreme Court nomination rejected by Senate?manifold

96%PA Supreme Court justices Donohue, Dougherty, and Wecht retention votes? YES or …manifold

95%Mojtaba Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran on July 1st, 2026manifold

91%

Will Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Hossein Deghan s…

manifold

73%Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2026, according to Ga…manifold

69%No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026?manifold

65%Will a prediction market-related court case reach the Supreme Court before 2029?manifold

64%Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?manifold

60%Clarence Thomas becomes longest serving Supreme Court Justice?manifold

45%Will Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2026?predictit

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Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

561 signals for "supreme" · Economic+Disaster+Political+Cyber+Criminal+Supply Chain+Military

Page 7 of 23

PoliticalUpdate🇧🇷Brazil22d ago

Opposition party PSOL-Rede and the Brazilian Press Association asked Brazil's Supreme Court to strike down a new law that would reduce sentences for those convicted over the January 8, 2023 insurrection attempt, potentially shielding former President Jair Bolsonaro from accountability.

5.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo·Brasilia, Federal District

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PoliticalCrisis🇧🇷Brazil22d ago

Major Brazilian corporations have found ways to circumvent a Supreme Court compensation regime established in March for the judiciary and Public Prosecutor's Office. Although the ruling was intended to standardize indemnity payments and enforce constitutional salary limits, it has instead legitimized payments exceeding the constitutional ceiling by 70% for senior judicial officials—a significant loophole in Brazil's legal framework.

5.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo

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PoliticalCrisis🇹🇩Chad22d ago

Eight opposition leaders in Chad have been sentenced to eight years in prison while the Supreme Court simultaneously dissolved their anti-Déby political coalition, in a sweeping crackdown on organized dissent against President Mahamat Idriss Déby's government.

5.5/10·AfricaNews·N'Djamena, N'Djamena

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PoliticalUpdate🇦🇷Argentina22d ago

An Argentine court has accepted a government request to suspend implementation of a university funding law until the Supreme Court issues a final ruling on the matter.

5.5/10·Buenos Aires Herald·Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires

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EconomicCrisis🇺🇸United States22d ago

The U.S. Court of International Trade dealt President Trump's trade agenda a major blow Thursday, siding with two small businesses and Washington state in their challenge to his 10% global tariffs. The 2-1 decision came after the U.S. Supreme Court had previously struck down an earlier emergency tariff program, suggesting a pattern of judicial skepticism toward the legal basis for the president's unilateral tariff authority.

5.5/10·Ohio Capital Journal·Washington, District of Columbia

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States22d ago

The day after the U.S. Supreme Court weakened the federal Voting Rights Act, NAACP President Derrick Johnson addressed members and supporters, ranking the decision among the court's most notorious cases—including Dred Scott, which denied Black citizenship before the Civil War, and Plessy, which upheld segregation.

5.5/10·Tennessee Lookout

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EconomicUpdate🇺🇸United States23d ago

A federal trade court dealt President Trump another legal defeat Thursday, ruling in favor of two small businesses and the state of Washington who challenged his 10% global tariffs. The decision, issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in a 2-1 vote, came after the Supreme Court had previously struck down an earlier emergency tariff regime, constraining the president's unilateral trade authority.

5.5/10·Washington State Standard·Washington, District of Columbia

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PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States23d ago

The legal battle over telehealth access to medication abortion entered a new phase after an appeals court blocked nationwide access, only for Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito to issue a temporary stay days later — leaving advocates and opponents alike uncertain about what comes next.

5.5/10·Washington State Standard

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PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States23d ago

The legal status of telehealth access to medication abortion remains uncertain after an appeals court blocked nationwide access to the drug, only for Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito to issue a temporary stay days later, preserving telehealth prescribing while the case continues.

5.5/10·Nebraska Examiner·Washington, District of Columbia

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States23d ago

The day after the U.S. Supreme Court weakened the federal Voting Rights Act, NAACP President Derrick Johnson addressed members and supporters and compared the ruling to the Court's most infamous decisions, including Dred Scott (which excluded Black Americans from citizenship before the Civil War) and Plessy v. Ferguson (which enshrined racial segregation).

5.5/10·Kansas Reflector

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PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States23d ago

The legal fight over telehealth access to medication abortion entered a new phase after an appeals court blocked nationwide access, only for Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito to issue a temporary stay days later — restoring access for now while the case heads toward a likely Supreme Court showdown.

5.5/10·Kentucky Lantern·Washington, District of Columbia

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States23d ago

The day after the U.S. Supreme Court significantly weakened the federal Voting Rights Act, NAACP President Derrick Johnson addressed a virtual gathering of members and supporters, ranking the landmark decision alongside the Court's most infamous cases, including Dred Scott v. Sandford (which denied Black people citizenship) and Plessy v. Ferguson (which established 'separate but equal').

5.5/10·Kentucky Lantern

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States23d ago

The day after the U.S. Supreme Court decision crippling the federal Voting Rights Act, NAACP President and CEO Derrick Johnson addressed the organization's members and supporters, ranking the ruling alongside the Supreme Court's most infamous cases—including Dred Scott (which excluded Black people from American citizenship) and Plessy v. Ferguson (which enshrined racial segregation).

5.5/10·Ohio Capital Journal

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PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States23d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court, through Justice Samuel Alito, has temporarily paused implementation of a ban on telehealth abortion pill care, creating uncertainty among Ohio reproductive rights advocates and abortion clinics about future access. Advocates warn that losing telehealth abortion pill options would directly harm public health and wellbeing in the state.

5.5/10·Ohio Capital Journal

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PoliticalUpdate🇮🇳India24d ago

Are people of J-K being punished for not electing a BJP CM? Omar Abdullah on statehood delay Srinagar, May 06: It is deeply unfair to the people of Jammu and Kashmir that the promise of statehood is not being kept, says Jammu and Kashmir Chief Minister Omar Abdullah while going on to ask if they are being punished for not electing a BJP chief minister. "If that is the case, the BJP should have stood up in Parliament or told the Supreme Court that till a BJP chief minister sits in Jammu and Kashmir, you will not get statehood… Then I would have believed that these people are telling the truth,” Abdullah, who was elected to power nearly 20 months ago, told PTI.

5.3/10·Greater Kashmir

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PoliticalUpdate🇮🇳India29d ago

West Bengal rejected Supreme Court in Puducherry [10 sources]

5.3/10·GDELT Events Historical·Puducherry

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DisasterCrisis🇲🇽Mexico6d ago

A federal judge in Mexico is set to rule within days on whether to terminate the Río Sonora Trust, the legal mechanism overseeing environmental remediation from a major mining disaster in Sonora state. Basin Committees have raised alarms that the closure would violate a Supreme Court ruling and leave communities still contaminated with heavy metals without medical services or cleanup infrastructure.

5.2/10·Pie de Página (Mexico — Spanish)·Sonora River basin, Sonora

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PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel9d ago

Iran's Supreme Leader has ordered the country to retain its near-weapons-grade uranium domestically rather than send it abroad, hardening Tehran's position on a central demand in U.S. peace negotiations and potentially complicating efforts to resolve tensions.

5.2/10·Al-Monitor·Tehran, Tehran

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PoliticalUpdate🇧🇷Brazil21d ago

A Federal Police operation targeting Senator Ciro Nogueira of the Progressive Party and the Senate's rejection of Jorge Messias's nomination to Brazil's Supreme Court signal escalating political conflict between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, with broader stakes for the judiciary and separation of powers.

5.2/10·Folha de S.Paulo

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PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇿🇦South Africa22d ago

Virginia's Supreme Court on Friday struck down a congressional district map drawn by Democrats and approved by the state's voters in a recent referendum. The ruling marks another setback for Democrats in an intensifying national conflict with Republicans over electoral redistricting.

5.2/10·Folha de S.Paulo·Richmond, Virginia

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PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States 🇿🇦South Africa22d ago

Virginia's Supreme Court has blocked a newly drawn congressional map that Democrats had designed to flip four Republican-held seats in the U.S. House of Representatives. The ruling is a procedural victory for Trump's party as the nation heads toward November's congressional elections.

5.2/10·ORF English (Austrian Broadcasting)·Virginia, Virginia

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MilitaryUpdate28d ago

The Representative of Iran’s Supreme Leader in India has said that Iran was forced into the war despite efforts to avoid conflict through negotiations.

5.2/10·The Hindu

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PoliticalUpdate31d ago

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis' office cited an upcoming Supreme Court decision on race and congressional redistricting to justify a proposed redistricting map. The governor's general counsel argued against the use of race in redistricting while unveiling the map.

5.2/10·Washington State Standard

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EconomicCrisis39d ago

Customs and Border Protection unveiled a process for businesses to recover approximately $166 billion in import taxes from Trump's emergency tariffs that were later invalidated by the U.S. Supreme Court. Advocates characterized the refund process as complex, raising concerns about accessibility for affected businesses.

5.2/10·Maryland Matters

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MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States 🇧🇪Belgium11d ago

General Alexus G. Grynkewich, the supreme commander of NATO forces in Europe, said on Tuesday that the U.S. decision to withdraw an armored brigade of 5,000 soldiers from Europe will not affect NATO's regional defense plans, following a meeting of the alliance's Military Committee.

5.0/10·Digi24 (Romania)

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