Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

Proudly using no third-party tracking

Illustrative, not investment advice. OpenWatch aggregates public signals for research and information only — it is not personalized financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Prediction Markets
Track Record
Forecast Ledger
Play Crowd Prophet
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings
Activity
Compare

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Data & Map Attribution

Data providers: GDELT · ACLED · USGS · WHO · SEC EDGAR · HKEX · UK Companies House · Japan EDINET · UN OCHA · Reuters · FRED · IMF · World Bank · OpenStreetMap / Nominatim · GDACS · IODA · Mapbox · Databento.

Maps © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap contributors — map and place-name data licensed under ODbL.

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·30fbd98

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

1,087 signals for Disaster+Supply Chain+Health+Political · Resolution

Page 3 of 44

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary76d ago

Péter Magyar was sworn in as Hungary's new prime minister, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year grip on power after a landmark election result that reshapes the political landscape of one of the European Union's most contentious member states.

6.5/10·Seattle Times·Budapest, Budapest

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States77d ago

Donald Trump has expressed hope that a temporary ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia could be extended beyond its initial duration, signaling U.S. interest in building toward a more durable halt to the fighting.

6.5/10·DR Nyheder (Denmark)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇧🇷Brazil 🇲🇱Mali77d ago

Presidents Lula and Trump met at the White House for nearly three hours, declaring an end to one of the deepest crises in US-Brazil relations in 200 years and agreeing to set up bilateral channels covering trade, security, and regional cooperation.

6.5/10·MercoPress·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan78d ago

The US and Iran are edging toward a temporary ceasefire deal that would halt fighting and protect shipping lanes while longer-term negotiations continue, with Pakistani officials saying an interim agreement could be reached as early as this weekend and that Tehran is reviewing a US proposal.

6.5/10·The Guardian World·Islamabad, Islamabad

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran78d ago

The United States and Iran are moving toward a short-term agreement to end their current fighting, according to reporting by Kayhan Life, suggesting back-channel diplomacy may be gaining traction between the two long-standing adversaries.

6.5/10·Kayhan London

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution84d ago

President Trump's administration claims a ceasefire with Iran has 'terminated' hostilities as a legal deadline arrives for congressional notification regarding a two-month Iran war. The statement addresses executive compliance with legislative oversight requirements during active international conflict.

6.5/10·Honolulu Star-Advertiser

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine+250d ago

Hungary has agreed to support annual EU sanctions renewals against Russia, moving away from its previous six-month approval model under Viktor Orbán. The shift reflects the new government of Prime Minister Peter Magyar, whose party defeated Orbán partly on promises to restore Budapest's EU relations. The same day, Hungary lifted its veto on Ukraine's EU accession negotiations following a bilateral deal on minority rights and the resumption of oil transit through the Druzhba pipeline.

6.2/10·The Insider Russia·Budapest, Budapest

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthResolution🇿🇦South Africa64d ago

South Africa is rolling out a revolutionary HIV prevention injection administered twice yearly, marking one of its most significant prevention initiatives in decades. The launch on June 5 will test whether the country can scale the intervention effectively as global donor funding tightens.

6.2/10·AllAfrica (Latest Headlines)·South Africa

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇻🇪Venezuela 🇺🇸United States65d ago

Three former Venezuelan metropolitan police officers—Erasmo Bolívar, Héctor Rovaín, and Luis Molina—were released from Phoenix Penitentiary in Lara state after spending more than 20 years imprisoned for alleged involvement in the 2002 coup attempt against Hugo Chávez. The release came via humanitarian probation measures as part of a broader announced plan to free 300 detainees, following U.S. pressure on the Maduro government to release political prisoners.

6.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Caracas, Lara

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthResolution🇿🇦South Africa65d ago

South Africa is beginning a major rollout of a long-acting HIV prevention injection requiring only two doses per year, marking one of the country's most significant HIV prevention initiatives in decades. The launch signals strengthened prevention leadership but faces challenges from shrinking donor funding and global uncertainty.

6.2/10·Mail & Guardian (additional)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary76d ago

Peter Magyar, a centre-right opposition leader, was sworn in as Hungary's prime minister on Saturday, succeeding Viktor Orbán after a campaign centered on economic reform and restoring relations with key Western allies. The change comes after years of economic stagnation and diplomatic tensions under Orbán's tenure.

6.2/10·Folha de S.Paulo·Budapest, Budapest

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary76d ago

Pro-European reformist Peter Magyar was sworn in as Hungary's prime minister after defeating long-dominant nationalist Viktor Orbán in a landslide election, ending 16 years of Orbán's rule and promising sweeping anti-corruption reforms.

6.2/10·France 24 World·Budapest, Budapest

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇬🇧United Kingdom 🇭🇰Hong Kong77d ago

Two men have been convicted at the Old Bailey — the first Chinese spies ever found guilty in British criminal history — for assisting a foreign intelligence service, with evidence emerging that they photographed exiled Hong Kong activist Nathan Law entering the Oxford Union while he was under a £100,000 Chinese government bounty.

6.2/10·The Guardian World·London, England

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇨🇦Canada 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia 🇶🇦Qatar+114d ago

'Shared ambitions': Canada, Saudi Arabia sign deals on defence, investment, and AI Submitted by Yasmine El-Sabawi on Fri, 07/10/2026 - 16:44 Mark Carney's visit followed a similar trip to Qatar in January, as he seeks to curb dependency on the US Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman walk together in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, on 9 July 2026 (Saudi Press Agency handout via Reuters) Off For the first time in more than a quarter of a century, a Canadian prime minister has visited Saudi Arabia. In a series of statements released on Thursday, Mark Carney said he walked away with 13 new commercial agreements and memoranda of understanding (MoUs) worth $700m, spanning health technology, mining, infrastructure, and defence. He called the two countries "complementary economies with shared ambitions".

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Jeddah, Mecca Region

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel18d ago

The funeral of late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was more than a national farewell. The sea of mourners in Tehran sent a message to the United States and Israel that their attempt to break the country had failed. Rather than looking weakened by the war that began with US and Israeli strikes on February 28 , Iran presented itself as defiant, unified and determined to shape what comes next.

6.1/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel 🇮🇷Iran+124d ago

Lebanon’s Israel framework deal draws broad opposition but little appetite for confrontation Submitted by Adam Chamseddine on Tue, 06/30/2026 - 15:08 Criticism has extended beyond Hezbollah’s allies, but political factions appear determined to contain the fallout while awaiting the outcome of Iran-US negotiations US, Lebanese and Israeli officials at a signing ceremony in Washington on 26 June (AFP/Saul Loeb) Off The US -brokered framework agreement signed by Lebanon and Israel in Washington on 26 June has triggered widespread political opposition in Lebanon , raising questions over sovereignty, accountability and the balance of obligations imposed on both sides. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s presentation of the agreement as an achievement for Israel intensified the backlash, reinforcing the view amongst Lebanese critics that Beirut had made substantial concessions without securing an immediate ceasefire or a binding timetable for Israel’s withdrawal. Under the framework, the Lebanese army would assume control of designated “pilot zones”, dismantle the infrastructure of non-state armed groups and verify their disarmament before Israeli forces gradually redeploy.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan 🇨🇭Switzerland31d ago

Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian on Tuesday called for a “united front” of Muslim nations, extending “hands of friendship” for a new regional security structure. Key developments Iranian president holds “ productive ” talks with PM Shehbaz as he and FM Araghchi visit Pakistan Pezeshkian appreciates Pakistan’s peace efforts, highlights “age-old trust” between two nations Prime minister clarifies Iran’s ballistic missile programme not part of MoU with US President Zardari reaffirms Pakistan’s “ principled support ” for Iran’s peace CDF Munir, Pezeshkian discuss “peace initiatives” The Iranian president made the remarks during a one-day official visit to Pakistan, undertaken at PM Shehbaz’s invitation. The two leaders held a meeting at the Prime Minister House, which was followed by delegation-level talks.

6.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel 🇮🇷Iran+131d ago

Lebanon-Israel talks overshadowed by new US-Iran diplomatic track Submitted by Adam Chamseddine on Tue, 06/23/2026 - 14:08 New round of direct negotiations opens amid uncertainty over how it will intersect with deconfliction mechanism negotiated in Switzerland Mourners carry the casket of a slain Hezbollah fighter during his funeral in Nabatieh in southern Lebanon on 23 June 2026 (Abbas Fakih/AFP) Off Lebanon and Israel began a fifth round of direct negotiations in Washington on Tuesday, with Beirut seeking to revive proposals for an Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon even as a new US - Iran diplomatic channel threatens to overshadow the talks. The three-day negotiations come after four previous rounds failed to produce a lasting ceasefire or bridge the wide gap between the two sides. Lebanon is expected to press for a timetable for an Israeli withdrawal, the return of hundreds of thousands of displaced people, the release of Lebanese prisoners and the beginning of reconstruction.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan+131d ago

Following months of all-out conflict that began on February 28, 2026, the United States and Iran have transitioned to a de-escalation phase. On June 17, Presidents Donald Trump and Masoud Pezeshkian signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding to end the war, establishing a 60-day ceasefire extension to negotiate the final terms of a deal. Pakistan served as a key mediator throughout the process.

6.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭Switzerland31d ago

Tehran , June 23 : Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has said that the Strait of Hormuz will not return to its pre-war operational status and asserted that Iran will manage the strategic waterway under its own arrangements, while maintaining adherence to international regulations. According to Iranian state media Press TV, speaking in an interview upon his return from Switzerland on Monday (local time) following the conclusion of the initial round of technical talks with the US as part of the 14-point memorandum of understanding between the two sides, Ghalibaf said Iran would exercise control over the key maritime passage going forward. "Everyone should know that the administration of the Strait of Hormuz will never go back to the way it was before the war," he said.

6.1/10·Rising Kashmir·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭Switzerland 🇺🇸United States32d ago

Oil prices declined on Monday after US-Iran talks concluded in Switzerland with Tehran saying it had secured waivers for oil and petrochemical exports, easing worries about a supply shortage in global markets. Brent crude fell $1.68, or 2.09 per cent, to $78.89 a barrel by 0633 GMT (11:33am PKT). Prices had climbed to $82.30 at the start of trading, fuelled by a bumpy start to the talks with threats from US President Donald Trump to restart the war on Iran and Tehran’s announcement it had again closed the Strait of Hormuz.

6.1/10·DAWN Business·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇨🇭Switzerland 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran+232d ago

Switzerland, June 22 : The United States and Iran have moved to establish a "de-confliction cell" aimed at securing a cessation of military operations in Lebanon, marking a technical milestone in their 14-point memorandum of understanding. The first session of the technical talks between the US and Iran, as part of the 14-point memorandum of understanding (MoU) in Switzerland, concluded with the agreement on the creation of the cell, even as US President Donald Trump threatened to "hit Iran very hard" if it continued to support its 'proxy groups' in the region and Iran noting it as the "1st real test" of the agreement. According to the joint statement issued by mediators Qatar and Pakistan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Monday, a de-confliction cell involving the parties and Lebanon, facilitated by the mediators, will be created to ensure compliance with the termination of military operations in the region under the MoU.

6.1/10·Rising Kashmir

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States36d ago

The US and Iran have agreed to a basic framework. Whether this formal consensus translates into a concrete agreement is an open question. While Iran has officially declared the end of the war, Israel insists “our struggle has not yet ended”.

6.1/10·Dawn (Pakistan)·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇳India 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran39d ago

New Delhi, Jun 15: United States President Donald Trump has announced that Washington and Tehran have finalised a ceasefire agreement aimed at ending months of conflict in West Asia, paving the way for the reopening of the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz and raising hopes of a broader regional peace settlement. In a post on his Truth Social platform, US President Trump declared the agreement complete and authorised the lifting of restrictions on maritime traffic through the Gulf waterway. "The Deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete.

6.1/10·Greater Kashmir·New Delhi, Delhi

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭Switzerland+139d ago

Recap: Peace accord announced after 108 days or war Good morning Middle East Eye readers, The United States and Iran have publicly declared that a peace agreement has been reached, marking the strongest signal yet that the 108-day conflict is nearing a formal end. The accord is expected to be signed in Geneva on Friday, while governments around the world welcomed the breakthrough. Attention is now shifting to implementation, particularly in Lebanon, where disputes remain over ceasefire terms and Israeli military operations.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Geneva, Illinois

Primary Source ↗Details →