Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

Proudly using no third-party tracking

Illustrative, not investment advice. OpenWatch aggregates public signals for research and information only — it is not personalized financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Prediction Markets
Track Record
Forecast Ledger
Play Crowd Prophet
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings
Activity
Compare

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Data & Map Attribution

Data providers: GDELT · ACLED · USGS · WHO · SEC EDGAR · HKEX · UK Companies House · Japan EDINET · UN OCHA · Reuters · FRED · IMF · World Bank · OpenStreetMap / Nominatim · GDACS · IODA · Mapbox · Databento.

Maps © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap contributors — map and place-name data licensed under ODbL.

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·8612972

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

2,171 signals for Criminal+Military+Supply Chain+Cyber+Economic · Resolution

Page 2 of 87

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine

🇷🇺

Russia

🇺🇸United States

77d ago

President Trump announced a three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine beginning May 9, paired with a prisoner exchange of 1,000 soldiers from each side — marking a notable, if temporary, halt to a war that has ground on for over two years.

7.0/10·France 24 World

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine78d ago

Russia's unilateral ceasefire in the war against Ukraine took effect at midnight on May 8. The Russian Defense Ministry had announced the halt in fighting would last until May 10.

7.0/10·Meduza (English)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran84d ago

Trump tells Congress ceasefire means he does not need their approval for Iran war

6.8/10·BBC World·Nowshahr

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution91d ago

US Navy ordered to ‘shoot and kill’ alleged Iranian mine-laying boats amid ceasefire

6.8/10·Defense One

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇱🇧Lebanon84d ago

Deadly Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon despite ceasefire

6.7/10·BBC World

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution

To Salvage the Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire, Work within Its Limits

6.5/10·International Crisis Group

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainResolution🇵🇸Palestineyesterday

Food security and child nutrition have improved across the Gaza Strip due to increased humanitarian aid and commercial activity, though this progress is fragile and could be reversed without continued access, funding, and recovery support.

6.5/10·UN News - Humanitarian

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇲🇽Mexico4d ago

Ismael \"El Mayo\" Zambada, co-founder of the Sinaloa Cartel, has been convicted and ordered to pay $15 billion after admitting to trafficking vast quantities of drugs to the United States. The conviction marks a major blow to one of the world's largest drug trafficking organizations.

6.5/10·BBC World·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇨🇺Cuba 🇺🇸United States9d ago

Cuba's electrical grid was fully restored Wednesday after the island suffered its third nationwide blackout in less than ten days, a crisis the government attributes to fuel scarcity and U.S. sanctions.

6.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalResolution19d ago

A major Europol-coordinated operation called Medusa led to the arrest of 57 people across multiple countries in connection with sexual exploitation crimes similar to those in the high-profile Gisèle Pelicot case.

6.5/10·La Repubblica·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇴🇲Oman20d ago

A ceasefire has been established with negotiations proceeding and maritime traffic resuming through the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz, marking a de-escalation after earlier tensions.

6.5/10·Business Standard (India)·Strait Of Hormuz, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel+321d ago

The United States and Iran announced a ceasefire agreement ending a four-month conflict that devastated regional infrastructure and disrupted global energy supplies, with crude oil prices falling 24% and shipping resuming through the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz, though diplomatic observers warn the pact remains precarious with continued armed clashes and disputes over Iran's nuclear program unresolved.

6.5/10·La Nación (Argentina)·El Paso, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalResolution🇵🇰Pakistan34d ago

A Pakistani court has sentenced the father and uncle of 14-year-old Hira Anwar to life imprisonment for her murder in Quetta in January 2025, concluding an investigation that revealed the family members had shot her over objections to her social media use and Western lifestyle.

6.5/10·Dawn·Quetta, Balochistan

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran35d ago

Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz surged to its busiest pace in two months following a US-Iran ceasefire agreement, with 25 commercial vessels transiting Thursday compared to a three-month average of just seven per day, according to maritime tracking data.

6.5/10·Al-Monitor·Strait Of Hormuz, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel35d ago

Iran and the United States signed a preliminary ceasefire agreement allowing the Strait of Hormuz to reopen for commercial shipping, with Iran waiving all passage fees for a 60-day negotiation period and requiring ships to submit applications 48 hours in advance. The reopening was confirmed by a spike in vessel transits, with 25 commercial ships passing through on Thursday—the highest daily count since mid-April and more than five times the early-June average.

6.5/10·The Insider Russia·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran35d ago

The US and Iran signed an agreement to unblock the Strait of Hormuz, allowing millions of barrels of oil to resume transit through the critical waterway as of Thursday, though full normalization of shipping traffic remains slow.

6.5/10·Les Echos (Monde)·Strait Of Hormuz, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇮🇳India48d ago

Governments worldwide executed a coordinated drawdown of strategic oil reserves while Gulf producers shifted shipments to alternative export routes, signaling a coordinated response to supply chain disruptions affecting global energy markets.

6.5/10·Business Standard (India)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia49d ago

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that 185 Ukrainian soldiers, including defenders of Mariupol, have returned to Ukraine as part of a prisoner of war exchange with Russia.

6.5/10·OKO.press

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalResolution🇺🇸United States63d ago

U.S. violent crime fell sharply in 2025 according to preliminary FBI data, with murders dropping an estimated 18.1% and overall violent crime declining 9.3%. If sustained, the figures would represent the lowest national homicide rate on record.

6.5/10·New Hampshire Bulletin

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇰🇷South Korea64d ago

Samsung Electronics' union suspended a strike scheduled to begin Thursday after reaching a tentative pay deal with the company, preventing action that could have disrupted South Korea's economy and global semiconductor supply.

6.5/10·France 24 English·Seoul, Seoul

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇳India 🇵🇰Pakistan65d ago

A ceasefire between India and Pakistan has held for one year following a brief but intense military conflict that raised concerns about potential nuclear escalation between the two neighbors. Both sides deployed advanced weaponry during the clash, marking a departure from typical border skirmishes.

6.5/10·Asia Times

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇺🇸United States 🇩🇪Germany 🇫🇷France+266d ago

European Union lawmakers and member states agreed on a trade pact with the United States early Wednesday, settling negotiations that had stalled for months. The agreement came under pressure from President Trump's threat of fresh tariffs if the accord wasn't approved by July 4.

6.5/10·France 24 English

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇺🇸United States 🇨🇳China68d ago

Presidents Xi Jinping and Donald Trump agreed to lower certain tariffs between the US and China in a move aimed at boosting bilateral trade, according to Chinese state media.

6.5/10·Nikkei Asia (NAR feed)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇺🇸United States70d ago

The Trump administration announced a 45-day extension of the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, prolonging the pause in hostilities between the two sides.

6.5/10·Asahi Shimbun (ja)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇺🇸United States70d ago

Israel and Lebanon have agreed to extend their ceasefire by 45 days, the U.S. State Department confirmed Friday. The extension builds on a ceasefire originally announced by President Trump on April 16.

6.5/10·iRozhlas·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →