Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades Trade Leaderboard Watchlist Dashboard

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·5eb0bd0

Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades Trade Leaderboard Watchlist Dashboard

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

88 signals for Economic+Health+Supply Chain+Disaster · United Arab Emirates

Page 1 of 4

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates

+1

14d ago

Oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have plummeted to 95% below normal levels, signaling a severe disruption of one of the world's most critical energy transit routes.

8.2/10·MarketWatch·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+114d ago

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is creating disruptions not seen since the 1970s, forcing Asia and Europe to scramble to manage energy supplies and redirect shipping as one of the world's most critical chokepoints for oil and natural gas becomes impassable or severely constrained.

8.2/10·El País América (Spanish)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates14d ago

The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization warned Wednesday that closure of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger a severe global food price crisis within six to 12 months, describing the disruption as the beginning of a 'systemic agrifood shock' rather than a temporary shipping problem.

7.8/10·Club of Mozambique (additional)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+114d ago

A crisis in the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted approximately one-fifth of global liquefied natural gas flows, with cumulative crude oil supply losses exceeding 1 billion barrels since March. Governments are rationing fuel and urging conservation as the International Energy Agency warns of a 3.9 million barrel daily shortfall for the year.

7.2/10·Oil Price (Energy Intel)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+214d ago

The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization has warned that closure or sustained disruption of the Strait of Hormuz will spark a systemic global food crisis, with prices rising sharply within 6–12 months. The FAO reports its Food Price Index has already risen for three consecutive months due to high energy costs and Middle East conflict disruptions, and forecasts a cascading chain of impacts: energy shortages → fertilizer scarcity → lower yields → commodity inflation → widespread food insecurity, potentially affecting millions. The agency called for alternative trade corridors, relaxed export restrictions, and increased domestic resilience measures to mitigate the crisis.

7.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates14d ago

Analysis warns that a sustained closure of the Strait of Hormuz could produce the worst global energy supply disruption in decades, with oil prices potentially approaching $200 per barrel under worst-case conditions.

7.2/10·gCaptain·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇩🇪Germany 🇮🇷Iran 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+143d ago

Jet fuel shortages caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have forced Lufthansa to cancel 20,000 flights, with experts warning that further cancellations and price increases are likely across the aviation sector.

7.2/10·Deutsche Welle (DW) English·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates46d ago

Reports of conflict in Dubai [4 sources]

7.0/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇴🇲Oman14d ago

More than 160 oil tankers are stranded in the Persian Gulf as Iran tightens its control over the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most critical energy transit routes and a flashpoint for regional tensions.

6.8/10·Nikkei Asia (NAR feed)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇳India 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇴🇲Oman8d ago

A critical logistics route for Indian pharmaceuticals destined for African patients has been disrupted by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic maritime chokepoint. The disruption threatens access to essential medicines across both continents and exposes fragility in global pharmaceutical supply chains.

6.5/10·Deutsche Welle (DW) English·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates35d ago

United Arab Emirates reduced relations with in United Arab Emirates [10 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates36d ago

Dubai reduced relations with Tel Aviv in Dubai [6 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates401d ago

The Us reduced relations with United Kingdom in Dubai [4 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates40d ago

Dubai reduced diplomatic relations in Dubai [9 sources]

6.4/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates42d ago

Dubai reduced diplomatic relations in Dubai [10 sources]

6.4/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates43d ago

Tokyo reduced diplomatic relations with Dubai in Dubai [5 sources]

6.4/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman14d ago

The head of the UAE's state oil company ADNOC stated that full oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz will not resume before the first or second quarter of 2027, even if Middle East conflict ended immediately—indicating extended disruption to critical global energy infrastructure.

6.2/10·gCaptain·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman+326d ago

More than two months into the US-Israeli conflict with Iran, seafarers working in the Persian Gulf are facing severe mental health crises and dangerous working conditions, according to maritime charities. Ship crews—from captains to engineers and galley staff—have been stranded aboard vessels caught in the crossfire of drone and missile attacks, creating both immediate physical risk and cumulative psychological trauma.

6.2/10·Al-Monitor·Persian Gulf

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇳China 🇵🇰Pakistan+227d ago

Iran's actions have disrupted Hormuz shipping lanes, destabilizing Gulf trade and energy markets. China's pre-built corridor infrastructure and strong industrial capacity position it to gain relative advantage, while Pakistan has begun routing transit through Iran via Chinese-built corridors—a shift that redirects regional trade away from traditional UAE ports and consolidates Beijing's influence over critical supply chains.

6.2/10·Oil Price (Energy Intel)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthCrisis🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇦🇴Angola 🇦🇺Australia180d ago

See all DONs related to this event Read more about Mpox Situation at a glance The purpose of this report is to raise awareness about the local transmission of clade Ib monkeypox virus (MPXV) among men who have sex with men (MSM) in countries previously unaffected or to date reporting only cases linked to travel. This report summarizes recent epidemiological developments, response activities, and the associated global public health risk. The second declaration of a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC) for mpox was lifted on 5 September 2025.

6.1/10·WHO Disease Outbreak News

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel14d ago

Dubai has approved a second economic incentive package worth $408 million to support struggling businesses amid fallout from Iranian missile strikes and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The new measures include fee exemptions for hotels and restaurants, reduced customs fines, and lower aviation permit costs, bringing total incentives announced in two months to $680 million.

5.8/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Dubai, Dubai

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+114d ago

Oil prices fell 6% as President Trump announced US-Iran negotiations were in final stages, though Brent crude remains elevated at $104.64/barrel. Only three supertankers crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday compared to 130 daily before the conflict, leaving 6 million barrels stranded. Analysts warn global oil markets are underpricing supply disruption risk, with Brent potentially reaching $120–$200/barrel if the strait remains largely closed.

5.8/10·DAWN Business·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia35d ago

The United Arab Emirates announced its withdrawal from OPEC, signaling a major split within the cartel and diminishing Saudi Arabia's ability to coordinate production among member states. The move allows the UAE to independently manage its oil output, adding to concerns about OPEC's stability and future influence over global energy markets.

5.8/10·Deutsche Welle (DW) English

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇴🇲Oman 🇮🇷Iran14d ago

The International Energy Agency warned Thursday that overlapping peak harvest demand and possible Strait of Hormuz closure could push global oil markets into crisis this summer. IEA Director Fatih Birol expressed hope for reopening the vital shipping lane, cautioning that sustained supply disruptions combined with declining stocks pose serious risks to agricultural operations and broader market stability.

5.5/10·Nahar·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates20d ago

The United Arab Emirates announced plans to complete a new oil pipeline by next year that would bypass the Strait of Hormuz, allowing the country to secure crude oil exports independent of the strategic waterway that currently handles roughly one-fifth of global petroleum traffic.

5.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)

Primary Source ↗Details →