Prediction Markets

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·806d91a

Prediction Markets

Signal Search

Search across all ingested intelligence signals. Supports websearch syntax: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

18 results for "Regional" · Health+Criminal+Supply Chain+Disaster

Page 1 of 1

HealthCrisis🇨🇩Congo 🇺🇬Uganda 🇨🇮Ivory Coast

+1

7d ago

Médecins Sans Frontières is responding to an active Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo caused by the Bundibugyo virus, which has no approved vaccine or treatment. As of May 19, 2026, authorities reported over 500 suspected cases and more than 130 deaths, with confirmed cases in North Kivu province including the city of Goma, and two confirmed cases across the border in Uganda. The outbreak is complicated by ongoing regional conflict, displacement, and limited diagnostic capacity.

7.5/10·Doctors Without Borders (MSF)·Goma, North Kivu

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate24d ago

International fertilizer producer warns that regional war and shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz threaten global fertilizer and raw material supplies. The supply disruption could affect up to 10 billion meals weekly worldwide, with disproportionate impact on poor countries and global food production capacity.

7.2/10·BBC Pashto

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis1566d ago

A devastating landslide struck the La Esneda neighborhood of Dosquebradas on February 8, killing 16 residents and injuring 34 others. The disaster was foreseeable—regional environmental authorities had identified the area as high-risk for over 15 years, with warnings documented since 2008 regarding hydrological and geotechnical hazards. Officials acknowledge approximately 2,000 additional homes in similar high-risk zones along the Otún River remain vulnerable, requiring urgent relocation efforts.

7.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthCrisis25d ago

Unregulated mines in Myanmar's lawless borderlands are poisoning downstream Thai communities through water contamination. Rivers and Rights director Pianporn Deetes discusses the transboundary environmental health impact and identifies Bangkok as having the regulatory authority to address this escalating regional crisis.

6.5/10·The Irrawaddy

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis27d ago

Weather extremes are fueling wildfires across tens of thousands of acres across the southeast, including North Carolina. This disaster event threatens multiple sectors through direct property damage, environmental degradation, and cascading impacts on regional infrastructure and services.

6.5/10·The Assembly NC

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

United States applied coercive pressure in Adobe Dam Regional Park [3 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States29d ago

Reports of conflict in Western Regional Jail [6 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis🇮🇳India12d ago

A violent thunderstorm with heavy rain and hail swept through Uttar Pradesh, India's most populous state, killing nearly 90 people, according to regional disaster management authorities.

6.2/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Uttar Pradesh

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇨🇳China 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine+17d ago

Russian President Vladimir Putin arrives in Beijing on Tuesday for talks with his Chinese counterpart and his “long-time good friend” Xi Jinping, intending to show their ties are unshakeable days after a visit by Donald Trump. The confirmation of Putin’s trip came just hours after Trump wrapped up his visit on Friday, the first by a US president to China in nearly a decade and one aimed at stabilising their turbulent relations. Putin and Xi are set to discuss how to “further strengthen” Russia and China’s strategic partnership and “exchange views on key international and regional issues”, according to a Kremlin statement.

5.7/10·Dawn·Beijing, Beijing

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalCrisis🇲🇽Mexico20d ago

Who Is El Jardinero? By "Karamazov" for Borderland Beat   Audias Flores Silva, a.k.a “El Jardinero,” “Gabriel Raigosa Plascencia,” “Comandante,” “El Bravo 2,” “Audi,” and “Mata Jefes,” is a senior regional commander of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG), one of Mexico’s most powerful and violent transnational criminal organizations. He was captured by Mexican security forces during a major military operation in Nayarit on April 27, 2026.

5.7/10·Borderland Beat

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthUpdate🇨🇩Congo 🇺🇬Uganda 🇨🇬CG6d ago

The UN health agency chief stated Wednesday that the deadly Ebola outbreak affecting the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda poses a high risk at national and regional levels, though it does not currently constitute a global pandemic emergency.

5.5/10·AllAfrica News

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalCrisis🇨🇴Colombia 🇨🇺Cuba 🇹🇷Turkey9d ago

Roger, a campaign coordinator for political candidate Abelardo de la Espriella, was killed in a motorcycle attack near Cubarral in Meta department, Colombia, after collecting campaign materials in Villavicencio. Authorities are investigating the attack as tensions mount during the electoral period, with the regional governor convening an extraordinary security council to address public order concerns.

5.5/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Villavicencio, Meta

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainResolution🇧🇳BN 🇰🇭Cambodia 🇮🇩Indonesia+717d ago

ASEAN leaders have agreed to create a shared fuel reserve designed to buffer the bloc against future energy crises. The initiative aims to enhance regional energy security by enabling member states to draw on pooled resources during supply disruptions.

5.5/10·Nikkei Asia

Primary Source ↗Details →

DisasterCrisis🇮🇷Iran17d ago

Satellite images have detected an oil slick off the island of Charg, pointing to a potential marine spill in a sensitive regional waterway. The extent and source of the pollution remain under investigation.

5.5/10·ORF English (Austrian Broadcasting)·Charg Island

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate🇨🇳China 🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman18d ago

China relies on the Strait of Hormuz for over half of its seaborne crude oil imports, making it acutely exposed to disruptions from Middle East regional conflict. Any escalation that threatens shipping through the strait would directly impact Chinese energy security and industrial output.

5.5/10·La Prensa Libre (Guatemala — Spanish, expanded)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthUpdate🇨🇩Congo 🇺🇬Uganda 🇨🇬CG6d ago

The World Health Organization stated that an Ebola outbreak affecting the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda poses a serious regional and national threat, though it does not yet constitute a global pandemic emergency.

5.2/10·UN News - Health

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman11d ago

A Greek-managed oil tanker was among only a handful of vessels to transit the Strait of Hormuz this week as regional tensions continue to disrupt critical global energy shipping routes.

5.2/10·Greek City Times·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate25d ago

California's Delta tunnel project has cleared a significant regulatory milestone, though substantial obstacles remain for full implementation. The infrastructure development involves water management systems affecting regional supply chains and agricultural operations in the Delta region.

5.2/10·CalMatters

Primary Source ↗Details →