Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

Proudly using no third-party tracking

Illustrative, not investment advice. OpenWatch aggregates public signals for research and information only — it is not personalized financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Prediction Markets
Track Record
Forecast Ledger
Play Crowd Prophet
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings
Activity
Compare

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Data & Map Attribution

Data providers: GDELT · ACLED · USGS · WHO · SEC EDGAR · HKEX · UK Companies House · Japan EDINET · UN OCHA · Reuters · FRED · IMF · World Bank · OpenStreetMap / Nominatim · GDACS · IODA · Mapbox · Databento.

Maps © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap contributors — map and place-name data licensed under ODbL.

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·8612972

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

2,501 signals for Disaster+Political+Health+Military · Resolution

Page 2 of 101

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States

🇮🇱

Israel

🇱🇧Lebanon

4d ago

A US-brokered ceasefire agreement will lead to Israeli forces withdrawing from parts of Lebanon they occupied during fighting with Hezbollah, marking a diplomatic breakthrough between the two sides.

7.0/10·BBC World·Lebanon, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran9d ago

US President Donald Trump announced the release of an American citizen who had been detained in Iran since December.

7.0/10·IranWire

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman9d ago

President Trump announced that Iran has released an American citizen who had been detained since December 2024, with the woman now safe outside Iranian territory. Trump characterized the release as a "gesture of goodwill" from the Iranian regime, signaling a potential thaw in diplomatic tensions between the two countries.

7.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States13d ago

Iran increased oil transfers through the Strait of Hormuz after a ceasefire agreement with the US, aiming to boost exports before potential renewed conflict.

7.0/10·VnExpress (vi)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran13d ago

Israel has agreed to gradually withdraw from areas of southern Lebanon where it has deployed troops to fight Hezbollah, as part of a framework agreement reached on June 26.

7.0/10·The Hindu·Lebanon

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran14d ago

US agrees to continue negotiations with Iran after recent clashes, according to President Trump.

7.0/10·VnExpress (vi)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran+235d ago

Israel and the Hezbollah movement reached a ceasefire agreement set to begin Friday afternoon, according to U.S. diplomatic sources. The fighting in Lebanon also prompted the postponement of planned U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for Switzerland.

7.0/10·iRozhlas·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran35d ago

A ceasefire has taken effect between Israel and the Lebanese militia following fatal attacks on both sides, marking a pause in escalating hostilities in the region. Iran had previously threatened severe retaliation, adding urgency to the agreement's role in preventing broader regional conflict.

7.0/10·Handelsblatt (Schlagzeilen)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon35d ago

Israel and Hezbollah reached a ceasefire agreement following escalating violence, after a Hezbollah attack killed four Israeli soldiers in Lebanon and prompted heavy Israeli retaliation overnight.

7.0/10·Les Echos (Monde)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran+136d ago

Israel and Hezbollah have agreed to a ceasefire following deadly clashes in Lebanon, with the agreement confirmed by Israeli military officials. The cessation of hostilities removes a major impediment to ongoing negotiations between Iran and the United States.

7.0/10·Dagens Nyheter (Sweden)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon36d ago

Israel and Hezbollah have reached a ceasefire agreement, which the United Nations has welcomed as a positive development, though civilians continue fleeing the region amid lingering security concerns.

7.0/10·UN News Global·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran36d ago

The United States has ended its naval blockade of Iran and restored maritime access to Iranian ports under a new agreement designed to reduce regional tensions and advance broader diplomatic negotiations.

7.0/10·Khaama Press (Afghanistan)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇫🇷France37d ago

President Trump signed an agreement with Iran two days ahead of schedule, granting Tehran the ability to retain its missile capabilities—a concession that analysts view as a strategic loss for the United States despite Trump's earlier demands for unconditional Iranian capitulation. French President Macron and other G7 leaders played a key role in persuading Trump to accept the terms.

7.0/10·Deník N (Czech Republic)·Tehran, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran49d ago

Israel and Lebanon have announced a renewed ceasefire agreement that requires Hezbollah to halt attacks and withdraw from southern Lebanon. The deal marks a potential turning point in the conflict between Israeli forces and the Iranian-backed militant group.

7.0/10·France 24 World

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary 🇺🇦Ukraine 🇪🇺EU51d ago

Hungary has lifted its veto on EU accession negotiations with Ukraine after reaching an agreement on protections for Hungarian minorities. The breakthrough clears the way for the EU to begin formal membership discussions, marking a significant diplomatic win for President Zelensky's westward pivot.

7.0/10·Les Echos (Monde)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇨🇳China65d ago

President Donald Trump visited China from May 13–15 at the invitation of President Xi Jinping, marking his first visit to Chinese territory in nine years. The two leaders held strategic talks on bilateral relations, world peace, and development, and reached multiple agreements to guide future Sino-U.S. cooperation.

7.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇨🇳China65d ago

President Donald Trump conducted a state visit to China from May 13–15, 2026, at the invitation of President Xi Jinping. The first such visit in nine years, the meeting included frank discussions on bilateral relations, world peace, and development, with both leaders reaching important agreements on the direction of US-China relations.

7.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary76d ago

Peter Magyar has won a landslide election in Hungary, ousting Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power and pledging sweeping reforms as the country's new leader.

7.0/10·DW World News

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary76d ago

Péter Magyar was sworn in as Hungary's new prime minister in Budapest, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule after his pro-European Tisza party won a landslide parliamentary election victory a month prior.

7.0/10·The Guardian World·Budapest, Budapest

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States77d ago

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed a three-day ceasefire with Russia has been arranged, facilitated by U.S. diplomatic efforts aimed at ending a war that has lasted more than four years.

7.0/10·St. Louis Post-Dispatch

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary77d ago

Peter Magyar was sworn in as Hungary's new prime minister in Budapest on Saturday, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year grip on power in a landmark democratic transition for the Central European nation.

7.0/10·France 24 World·Budapest, Budapest

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇭🇺Hungary77d ago

Opposition leader Peter Magyar was sworn in as Hungary's prime minister, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year grip on power after a landslide election victory built on anti-corruption and pro-democracy promises.

7.0/10·France 24 World·Budapest, Budapest

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States+277d ago

President Trump announced a US-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine running May 9–11, with both Zelenskyy and Putin's adviser confirming the agreement, which also includes an exchange of 1,000 prisoners of war per side. The pause coincides with Russia's Victory Day celebrations, though earlier ceasefire attempts this week collapsed almost immediately amid mutual accusations of violations.

7.0/10·Greater Kashmir·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States77d ago

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and former U.S. President Trump confirmed a ceasefire agreement halting all military activity between Russia and Ukraine, with both sides set to exchange 1,000 prisoners each.

7.0/10·Anchorage Daily News

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine 🇺🇸United States77d ago

Russia and Ukraine have agreed to a three-day ceasefire from May 9–11, reached with US mediation, alongside plans to exchange 1,000 prisoners of war — marking one of the most significant diplomatic developments in the conflict in months.

7.0/10·Index.hr

Primary Source ↗Details →