Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

Proudly using no third-party tracking

Illustrative, not investment advice. OpenWatch aggregates public signals for research and information only — it is not personalized financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Prediction Markets
Track Record
Forecast Ledger
Play Crowd Prophet
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings
Activity
Compare

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Data & Map Attribution

Data providers: GDELT · ACLED · USGS · WHO · SEC EDGAR · HKEX · UK Companies House · Japan EDINET · UN OCHA · Reuters · FRED · IMF · World Bank · OpenStreetMap / Nominatim · GDACS · IODA · Mapbox · Databento.

Maps © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap contributors — map and place-name data licensed under ODbL.

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·8612972

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

2,802 signals for Disaster+Health+Cyber+Military+Economic+Political · Resolution

Page 7 of 113

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran

🇺🇸

United States

28d ago

US President Donald Trump said Saturday that Iran would "no longer exist" if the United States is "forced" to resume the war, as he accused Tehran of violating a ceasefire. The threat came after US forces said they struck "multiple" Iranian targets Saturday in another tit-for-tat response to attacks on shipping in the vital Strait of Hormuz. "United States aircraft just struck Iranian missile and drone storage locations, and coastal radar sites, for violating the Cease Fire Agreement, AGAIN!" Trump wrote on Truth Social.

6.1/10·Al-Monitor·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States28d ago

Lebanon and Israel sign 'framework agreement' to end war Submitted by Yasmine El-Sabawi on Fri, 06/26/2026 - 18:41 The agreement signed in Washington is a first step towards a wider agreement to end the ongoing war US Secretary of State Marco Rubio (C) applauds after the signing of a framework agreement between Israel and Lebanon at the State Department in Washington DC, on 26 June 2026 (Ken Cedeno/Reuters) Off Lebanon and Israel have agreed to a deal as part of a trilateral framework with the United States in Washington on Friday, following five rounds of talks hosted by US President Donald Trump's administration. The details have yet to be disclosed, but US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has called it "the beginning of the beginning" in remarks to reporters moments before the signing. "Obviously, the people of Israel deserve to live in peace and security.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman28d ago

Dubai, Jun 26: Authorities in the United Arab Emirates on Friday sounded an incoming missile alert for Dubai but shortly afterward told the public to “disregard the previous warning,” an indication that it was likely triggered by mistake. The brief text message from the UAE's Interior Ministry, the first of its kind during the Iran war, seemed to signal an accidental alert that went out to the public. It wasn't immediately clear what sparked the warning just after 5:15 pm local time.

6.1/10·Greater Kashmir·Dubai, Dubai

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel 🇮🇶Iraq29d ago

A long-awaited ceasefire has brought relative calm to Lebanon, but it hasn’t brought peace of mind to Hussein Merhi. He is among tens of thousands who remain displaced because their homes were destroyed in Israeli strikes or their hometowns fall within a swathe of the south occupied by Israel’s military or, as in his case, both. “I still can’t go back to my village.

6.1/10·Dawn·Sidon, South Governorate

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan31d ago

Iran's ballistic missiles were 'never on the table' in US talks Submitted by MEE staff on Tue, 06/23/2026 - 16:53 Pakistan says one of the main objectives of the US-Israel war on Iran was not even a topic of discussion during negotiations Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian shaking hands with Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif during his ceremonial reception at the Prime Minister House in Islamabad on 23 June 2026 (Pakistan's Prime Minister Office/AFP) Off Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said on Tuesday that  Iran's ballistic missiles were "never on the table" during US -Iran talks, despite the US and Israel citing it as one of the primary reasons for going to war with the Islamic Republic.  "This MOU does not mention ballistic missiles. It was never on the table, it was never on the agenda and the Iranian side never even wanted to discuss it. This is not an impression, but a fact of [the] matter," Sharif said , referring to the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding (MOU).

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Islamabad, Islamabad

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan 🇨🇭Switzerland31d ago

Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian on Tuesday called for a “united front” of Muslim nations, extending “hands of friendship” for a new regional security structure. Key developments Iranian president holds “ productive ” talks with PM Shehbaz as he and FM Araghchi visit Pakistan Pezeshkian appreciates Pakistan’s peace efforts, highlights “age-old trust” between two nations Prime minister clarifies Iran’s ballistic missile programme not part of MoU with US President Zardari reaffirms Pakistan’s “ principled support ” for Iran’s peace CDF Munir, Pezeshkian discuss “peace initiatives” The Iranian president made the remarks during a one-day official visit to Pakistan, undertaken at PM Shehbaz’s invitation. The two leaders held a meeting at the Prime Minister House, which was followed by delegation-level talks.

6.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel 🇮🇷Iran+131d ago

Lebanon-Israel talks overshadowed by new US-Iran diplomatic track Submitted by Adam Chamseddine on Tue, 06/23/2026 - 14:08 New round of direct negotiations opens amid uncertainty over how it will intersect with deconfliction mechanism negotiated in Switzerland Mourners carry the casket of a slain Hezbollah fighter during his funeral in Nabatieh in southern Lebanon on 23 June 2026 (Abbas Fakih/AFP) Off Lebanon and Israel began a fifth round of direct negotiations in Washington on Tuesday, with Beirut seeking to revive proposals for an Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon even as a new US - Iran diplomatic channel threatens to overshadow the talks. The three-day negotiations come after four previous rounds failed to produce a lasting ceasefire or bridge the wide gap between the two sides. Lebanon is expected to press for a timetable for an Israeli withdrawal, the return of hundreds of thousands of displaced people, the release of Lebanese prisoners and the beginning of reconstruction.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan+131d ago

Following months of all-out conflict that began on February 28, 2026, the United States and Iran have transitioned to a de-escalation phase. On June 17, Presidents Donald Trump and Masoud Pezeshkian signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding to end the war, establishing a 60-day ceasefire extension to negotiate the final terms of a deal. Pakistan served as a key mediator throughout the process.

6.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭Switzerland32d ago

Tehran , June 23 : Iran's Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has said that the Strait of Hormuz will not return to its pre-war operational status and asserted that Iran will manage the strategic waterway under its own arrangements, while maintaining adherence to international regulations. According to Iranian state media Press TV, speaking in an interview upon his return from Switzerland on Monday (local time) following the conclusion of the initial round of technical talks with the US as part of the 14-point memorandum of understanding between the two sides, Ghalibaf said Iran would exercise control over the key maritime passage going forward. "Everyone should know that the administration of the Strait of Hormuz will never go back to the way it was before the war," he said.

6.1/10·Rising Kashmir·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇨🇭Switzerland 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran32d ago

BURGENSTOCK, Switzerland (AFP)—The United States suspended sanctions on Iranian oil on Monday after Vice President JD Vance said Iran would allow UN nuclear inspectors to return to the country. "We laid a very good foundation for a successful final deal," Vance told reporters following talks at Switzerland's luxury Burgenstock resort aimed at ending the US-Israeli war with Iran. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei said for his part that "a very brief discussion took place regarding the nuclear issue, but there was no discussion of details." In Washington, President Donald Trump said the Strait of Hormuz, the critical channel for much of the world's oil, is now "totally open" to shipping.

6.1/10·Jamaica Observer·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel 🇵🇸Palestine32d ago

Ben Gvir says Lebanon should be 'Israel's playground', urges Netanyahu to defy Trump Submitted by Mera Aladam on Mon, 06/22/2026 - 12:50 The far-right minister also threatened Beirut, likening its future to that of north Gaza's Beit Hanoun which has been largely destroyed by Israel Lebanese women mourn victims of an Israeli strike, in the village of Qennarit, in southern Lebanon, 21 June 2026 (Aziz Taher/Reuters) Off Israeli  National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir rejected a potential ceasefire in Lebanon  on Monday, saying that the country should instead be "Israel's playground".  During his Otzma Yehudit party’s weekly faction meeting in the Knesset, Ben Gvir called on Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to communicate the rejection of any peace deal with Lebanon to US  President Donald Trump. "Netanyahu needs to go to President Trump, embrace him and say to him: ‘President Trump, thank you, but what can we do, we cannot fulfil this agreement,'" he said. "You wouldn’t tolerate having Nazis on your border.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Beirut, Beirut

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇨🇭Switzerland 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran+232d ago

Switzerland, June 22 : The United States and Iran have moved to establish a "de-confliction cell" aimed at securing a cessation of military operations in Lebanon, marking a technical milestone in their 14-point memorandum of understanding. The first session of the technical talks between the US and Iran, as part of the 14-point memorandum of understanding (MoU) in Switzerland, concluded with the agreement on the creation of the cell, even as US President Donald Trump threatened to "hit Iran very hard" if it continued to support its 'proxy groups' in the region and Iran noting it as the "1st real test" of the agreement. According to the joint statement issued by mediators Qatar and Pakistan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Monday, a de-confliction cell involving the parties and Lebanon, facilitated by the mediators, will be created to ensure compliance with the termination of military operations in the region under the MoU.

6.1/10·Rising Kashmir

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇨🇭Switzerland 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇺🇸United States+132d ago

Morning update Good morning Middle East Eye readers, US and Iranian negotiators made what mediators described as encouraging progress during high-level talks in Switzerland, agreeing on a roadmap toward a final agreement within 60 days. While discussions advanced on sanctions, frozen assets and regional security, disputes over Lebanon and sharp rhetoric from both Washington and Tehran underscored the fragility of the diplomatic process. Here are the latest updates:  Pakistan and Qatar said US and Iranian negotiators made encouraging progress during talks in Switzerland.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇨🇭Switzerland 🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan+333d ago

Switzerland, June 22: High-level negotiations in Switzerland seeking a permanent end to the Iran war have ended, mediators said early Monday, while technical talks will go on there for the rest of the week. Pakistan and Qatar, the two mediators there, issued a statement making the announcement. The United States did not immediately acknowledge it.

6.1/10·Greater Kashmir

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States33d ago

WITH the signing of a memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran, an interim deal has been agreed. In what will be a two-step peace process the first phase freezes the war by extending the ceasefire for another 60 days. It commits Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz and the US to end its blockade.

6.1/10·Dawn·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭Switzerland 🇱🇧Lebanon+133d ago

Key developments: US-Iran agree to a roadmap toward a final deal within 60 days; technical-level talks to continue for the rest of the week in Switzerland US-Iran agree to set up a communication line” to avoid incidents in the Strait of Hormuz; agree to a mechanism to end war in Lebanon Iran’s foreign minister says “tireless” efforts by Pakistan Qatar has delivered “major progress” to end Lebanon war; says Iran has secured waivers for oil and petrochemical exports, the release of some frozen assets and the launch of a reconstruction and development plan After hours-long negotiations in the Swiss resort of Burgenstock, the United States and Iran agreed on a roadmap towards reaching a final peace deal in 60 days, a joint statement issued by mediators Pakistan and Qatar said on Monday. The talks, which began on Sunday and stretched into Monday, were held under the framework of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) that was signed between the two sides on Thursday. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif had also signed the breakthrough interim peace deal as a mediator, marking a significant step toward ending the conflict that began in late February.

6.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇵🇰Pakistan 🇮🇳India 🇮🇷Iran+133d ago

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif while speaking to the press in Burgenstock, where US, Iranian, Qatari and Pakistani delegations gathered for peace talks on Sunday, praised the Iranian delegation’s dignity and attempts at de-escalation. “I think they genuinely mean to promote peace in the region,” PM Shehbaz said of the Iranian leadership, adding, “So does President Trump.” “I have no second thoughts about the fact that he is a man of peace — He has demonstrated that during the war between Pakistan and India,” he said. The premier was optimistic about the “renewed friendship” with the US, and hoped it would grow into a relationship of close coordination and cooperation between the two countries.

6.1/10·Dawn (Pakistan)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States+133d ago

There is 'no restriction on Israeli soldiers to act on threats' in Lebanon, says Katz Israel's defence minister said on Sunday that there was and is no restriction on Israeli soldiers to act against any threat encountered inside Lebanon. "There has never been, and there is currently no restriction on [Israeli] soldiers in Lebanon from acting to eliminate threats... As Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and I have made clear: Israel will not withdraw from the security zone in Lebanon," Israel Katz said in a statement, referring to an area extending roughly 10 kilometres into Lebanese territory where Israeli forces remain.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇨🇭Switzerland+133d ago

Ninety-two percent of Israelis think Iran has won war, new poll finds Submitted by MEE staff on Sun, 06/21/2026 - 12:48 Survey from Hebrew University of Jerusalem finds vast majority of Israelis view war on Iran and deal with US negatively Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu holds a news conference following a US-Iran deal in Jerusalem on 15 June 2026 (Reuters) Off When Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu initiated the US -Israeli war on Iran at the end of February, Israel's objectives appeared clear: dismantling Iran 's nuclear and ballistic missile programmes and bringing about the collapse of the Iranian government. Now, following the signing of an agreement between Iran and the US, with negotiations between the two countries continuing in Switzerland, a new poll has found that 92 percent of Israelis believe Iran has won the war. The survey, conducted by the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, found that Israelis overwhelmingly view the war and subsequent deal with the US in a negative way, with 83 percent of those polled saying the campaign has weakened Israel's long-term security and 86 percent feeling negatively about the outcome.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye·Jerusalem, Jerusalem

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭Switzerland+233d ago

Talks between the United States and Iran have begun in Burgenstock, Switzerland, with Qatar and Pakistan participating in a mediatory role, the Qatari Foreign Ministry announced on Sunday, with the heads of each delegation expected to address the meeting. The ‘technical-level’ talks today seek to iron out the details of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed between Tehran and Washington to cease hostilities and negotiate a framework to end the war. Under the agreement , the US and Iran have agreed on a framework to end the war, lift the US blockade of Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

6.1/10·Dawn

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇨🇭Switzerland 🇮🇷Iran 🇶🇦Qatar+133d ago

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Chief of Defence Forces (CDF) Field Marshal Asim Munir held a bilateral meeting with the US negotiating team, led by Vice President JD Vance, ahead of the highly anticipated talks in Switzerland’s Burgenstock resort on Sunday, state broadcaster PTV reported. Delegations from the US, Iran, Qatar, and Pakistan arrived at the venue earlier for ‘technical-level’ talks to iron out details of a Memorandum of Understanding signed between Tehran and Washington to cease hostilities and negotiate a framework to end the war. Under the agreement , the US and Iran have agreed on a framework to end the war, lift the US blockade of Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

6.1/10·Dawn (Pakistan)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicResolution🇨🇭Switzerland 🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States34d ago

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Chief of Defence Forces Field Marshal Asim Munir departed early on Sunday morning for Switzerland to attend technical-level talks between Iran and the United States set for today. The development comes after the long-awaited peace deal was signed on Thursday, heralding an end to months of bitter animosity that had gripped the Middle East and plunged the world into an economic crisis. Under the agreement, the US and Iran have agreed on a framework to end the war, lift the US blockade of Iran and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

6.1/10·Dawn (Pakistan)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇨🇭Switzerland35d ago

United States Vice President JD Vance is poised to take on his biggest role yet on the international stage as President Donald Trump’s chief negotiator to end the three-month war with Iran, a moment that could shape Vance’s prospects as a White House successor. The two nations agreed to a provisional peace agreement on Wednesday that suspended hostilities but left core issues unresolved, deferring decisions on Iran’s ‌nuclear programme, its support for regional groups and the economically vital Strait of Hormuz to 60 days of talks. The discussions are a high-risk scenario for all sides in the conflict, the broader Middle East, and for Vance’s political ambitions.

6.1/10·Dawn (Pakistan)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇱Israel35d ago

'All of Lebanon must burn,' Israeli minister Ben Gvir declares Submitted by Ayse Betul on Fri, 06/19/2026 - 15:47 A social media clash between senior Israeli and Iranian ministers broke out just hours before Israel and Hezbollah announced a ceasefire Smoke rises after an Israeli bombardment in southern Lebanon, 19 June 2026 (Jalaa Marey/AFP) Off Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir said "all of Lebanon must burn" in a social media post after the deaths of four Israeli soldiers in southern Lebanon , drawing a response from the Iranian foreign minister, who labelled the Israeli leadership a "threat to all of humanity". “For every tear of an Israeli mother, a thousand Lebanese mothers should cry," Ben Gvir wrote on X on Friday. "With all due respect to the Americans, Israel must make it clear to the entire world that the blood of our sons and the security of our citizens is not in vain.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Tel Aviv, Tel Aviv

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇺🇸United States35d ago

Israel kills dozens in Lebanon as minister calls to 'open the gates of hell' Submitted by Shraddha Joshi on Fri, 06/19/2026 - 12:29 Iranian officials have postponed talks with the US following Israel's latest escalation in Lebanon People walk amid the rubble of their destroyed home in the southern Lebanese town of Toul on 18 June 2026 (Mahmoud Zayyat/AFP) Off Israeli strikes have killed at least 21 and wounded over 39 others in southern Lebanon since Thursday night, the Lebanese Ministry of Public Health announced.  Lebanese President Joseph Aoun denounced "a dangerous and reprehensible escalation" that has cost the lives of "dozens of innocent people, including women and children". These strikes "undermine all ongoing efforts to consolidate the ceasefire and end the war, particularly in light of recent developments between the United States and Iran", he said in a statement. The United States and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on Wednesday aimed at ending over 100 days of war in the Middle East, including in Lebanon.

6.1/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)

Primary Source ↗Details →