Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

Proudly using no third-party tracking

Illustrative, not investment advice. OpenWatch aggregates public signals for research and information only — it is not personalized financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Prediction Markets
Track Record
Forecast Ledger
Play Crowd Prophet
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings
Activity
Compare

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Data & Map Attribution

Data providers: GDELT · ACLED · USGS · WHO · SEC EDGAR · HKEX · UK Companies House · Japan EDINET · UN OCHA · Reuters · FRED · IMF · World Bank · OpenStreetMap / Nominatim · GDACS · IODA · Mapbox · Databento.

Maps © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap contributors — map and place-name data licensed under ODbL.

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·8612972

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

2,141 signals for Criminal+Military+Supply Chain+Health+Cyber+Disaster · Resolution

Page 1 of 86

CriminalResolution🇲🇽Mexico

🇺🇸

United States

4d ago

Ismael "El Mayo" Zambada, a top leader of the Sinaloa Cartel, has been sentenced to life imprisonment and ordered to forfeit $15 billion in assets by a New York court.

8.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional·New York, New York

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalResolution🇸🇪Sweden10d ago

Haparanda District Court has sentenced a 45-year-old man to five years in prison for raping and subjecting several children to serious abuse in a home setting.

7.5/10·SVT Nyheter (Sweden)·Haparanda, Norrbotten

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon35d ago

Israeli airstrikes in southern Lebanon killed 47 people, but the conflict has now ended with Israel and Hezbollah reaching a ceasefire agreement, according to a U.S. official.

7.5/10·BBC Pashto·southern Lebanon, South Governorate

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran35d ago

A 100-day military conflict between the United States and Iran has officially concluded, though analysts warn the war and its aftermath have destabilized the broader world order.

7.5/10·The Age·Tehran, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran35d ago

The United States and Iran have signed a memorandum of understanding to end their conflict after more than 100 days of war, with follow-up negotiations planned to address outstanding issues.

7.5/10·Le Monde (English)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran35d ago

The United States and Iran have reached a ceasefire after 15 weeks of conflict that began in February 2025, ending a costly military engagement. Former president Barack Obama told NBC News that despite the war's conclusion, the US is effectively "worse off" than before, having spent billions and suffered significant military strain and casualties with minimal strategic advancement.

7.5/10·The Guardian·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon35d ago

Israel's military and Hezbollah have confirmed a ceasefire agreement expected to take effect this afternoon, ending a period of escalating military operations. The agreement comes after Israeli air strikes on South Lebanon killed at least 47 people and injured 97, according to Lebanon's health ministry.

7.5/10·NRK Nyheter (Norway)·South Lebanon, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States57d ago

A ceasefire has been declared in the military standoff between Iran, Israel, and the United States, described as 'fragile' but representing a pause in direct hostilities. Regional analysts characterize it as a frozen conflict state where underlying grievances persist despite the halt in active fighting.

7.5/10·Dagens Nyheter (Sweden)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇷Iran84d ago

Trump says no need for congressional approval on Iran war after ceasefire

7.4/10·Middle East Eye·Ardakān

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇺🇸United States34d ago

Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Israel Katz have ordered a halt to military attacks on southern Lebanon, coordinated with the United States, though Israeli forces will remain in occupied areas. The decision comes after Israeli operations since early March killed at least 4,057 people and wounded 12,121 in southern Lebanon.

7.2/10·Middle East Eye·Southern Lebanon, Southern Province

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthResolution🇿🇦South Africa49d ago

South Africa officially launched Lenacapavir on June 5, a revolutionary HIV preventive injection administered every six months with near-100% efficacy. The government distributed nearly 40,000 doses across 360 clinics nationwide to combat HIV infection in a country where over one in ten people carry the virus.

7.2/10·RFI Français·South Africa

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon51d ago

Israel and Lebanon have renewed their ceasefire agreement, originally enacted on April 16. Under the new terms, Hezbollah commits to halting all attacks against Israel, while the Lebanese army assumes full control of demilitarized zones in southern Lebanon. Israel has reserved the right to maintain operational freedom in response to perceived threats.

7.2/10·Dagens Nyheter (Sweden)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon4d ago

A US-brokered ceasefire agreement will lead to Israeli forces withdrawing from parts of Lebanon they occupied during fighting with Hezbollah, marking a diplomatic breakthrough between the two sides.

7.0/10·BBC World·Lebanon, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran+235d ago

Israel and the Hezbollah movement reached a ceasefire agreement set to begin Friday afternoon, according to U.S. diplomatic sources. The fighting in Lebanon also prompted the postponement of planned U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for Switzerland.

7.0/10·iRozhlas·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran35d ago

A ceasefire has taken effect between Israel and the Lebanese militia following fatal attacks on both sides, marking a pause in escalating hostilities in the region. Iran had previously threatened severe retaliation, adding urgency to the agreement's role in preventing broader regional conflict.

7.0/10·Handelsblatt (Schlagzeilen)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon35d ago

Israel and Hezbollah reached a ceasefire agreement following escalating violence, after a Hezbollah attack killed four Israeli soldiers in Lebanon and prompted heavy Israeli retaliation overnight.

7.0/10·Les Echos (Monde)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇮🇷Iran+136d ago

Israel and Hezbollah have agreed to a ceasefire following deadly clashes in Lebanon, with the agreement confirmed by Israeli military officials. The cessation of hostilities removes a major impediment to ongoing negotiations between Iran and the United States.

7.0/10·Dagens Nyheter (Sweden)·null, null

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States77d ago

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy confirmed a three-day ceasefire with Russia has been arranged, facilitated by U.S. diplomatic efforts aimed at ending a war that has lasted more than four years.

7.0/10·St. Louis Post-Dispatch

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States+277d ago

President Trump announced a US-brokered three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine running May 9–11, with both Zelenskyy and Putin's adviser confirming the agreement, which also includes an exchange of 1,000 prisoners of war per side. The pause coincides with Russia's Victory Day celebrations, though earlier ceasefire attempts this week collapsed almost immediately amid mutual accusations of violations.

7.0/10·Greater Kashmir·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇭🇹Haiti 🇨🇴Colombia77d ago

A Miami federal jury convicted four South Florida men for their roles in the 2021 assassination of Haitian President Jovenel Moïse, finding they recruited and funded roughly two dozen former Colombian soldiers who carried out the killing at Moïse's Port-au-Prince residence — a murder that plunged Haiti into prolonged political chaos.

7.0/10·The Guardian World·Miami, Florida

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States77d ago

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy and former U.S. President Trump confirmed a ceasefire agreement halting all military activity between Russia and Ukraine, with both sides set to exchange 1,000 prisoners each.

7.0/10·Anchorage Daily News

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇦Ukraine 🇺🇸United States77d ago

Russia and Ukraine have agreed to a three-day ceasefire from May 9–11, reached with US mediation, alongside plans to exchange 1,000 prisoners of war — marking one of the most significant diplomatic developments in the conflict in months.

7.0/10·Index.hr

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States77d ago

Ukraine's president confirmed a temporary ceasefire with Russia, brokered by the United States, set to last three days and accompanied by a mutual release of prisoners — the first such agreement to emerge from direct diplomatic engagement in a prolonged and destructive conflict.

7.0/10·La Prensa Libre (Guatemala — Spanish, expanded)

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia77d ago

Ukrainian President Zelensky confirmed a three-day ceasefire with Russia, set to run from May 9 to 11, alongside an agreement to exchange 1,000 prisoners of war — marking one of the most notable pauses in fighting since the full-scale invasion began.

7.0/10·Index.hr

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States77d ago

The US president announced a short-term ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine running from May 9 to 11, with both sides also agreeing to exchange 1,000 prisoners each — a rare moment of agreement in a conflict now entering its third year.

7.0/10·DW World News

Primary Source ↗Details →