Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

Proudly using no third-party tracking

Illustrative, not investment advice. OpenWatch aggregates public signals for research and information only — it is not personalized financial, legal, or tax advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Data & Map Attribution

Data providers: GDELT · ACLED · USGS · WHO · SEC EDGAR · HKEX · UK Companies House · Japan EDINET · UN OCHA · Reuters · FRED · IMF · World Bank · OpenStreetMap / Nominatim · GDACS · IODA · Mapbox · Databento.

Maps © Mapbox © OpenStreetMap contributors — map and place-name data licensed under ODbL.

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·5162cb8

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation 🏗India Infrastructure Supercycle

27 signals for Political+Criminal · TO

Page 1 of 2

PoliticalUpdate🇹🇴TO75d ago

Africa staged protests in Togo [5 sources]

7.3/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇹🇴TO68d ago

Ecowas engaged in clashes in Togo [10 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical·Anié

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇹🇴TO70d ago

Nigeria applied coercive pressure in Togo [3 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇹🇴TO78d ago

Togolese issued criticism in Niamtougou [3 sources]

5.7/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇹🇴TO79d ago

The Drc expressed disapproval of African Union in Togo [9 sources]

5.7/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇳🇿New Zealand 🇹🇴TO61d ago

It’s time for a political health check-up six months out from the election, writes Madeleine Chapman in today’s excerpt from The Bulletin. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here . National brings in the cash A turbulent past month for Christopher Luxon has ended with some sweet relief: the National Party has money to spend in the six months till November 7.

5.3/10·The Spinoff

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalCrisis🇹🇴TO50d ago

Clinicians around the country are observing a concerning rise in young people being strangled during sexual assault, reports Alex Casey. Since 2018, strangulation and suffocation has been a criminal offence punishable by up to seven years in prison. Defined as “intentionally or recklessly impeding another person’s normal breathing, blood circulation, or both” through applying pressure to the throat, neck or blocking the nose or mouth, the crime was introduced along with other legislative changes to combat family violence rates .

5.1/10·The Spinoff

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇹🇴TO28d ago

TONGAN Lands Minister, Dr Taniela Fusimalohi, has been found guilty of electoral bribery – the third cabinet member linked to misconduct in the 2025 general election. The post Tonga’s political crisis deepens, third minister guilty of election bribes appeared first on Islands Business .

4.7/10·Islands Business

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇵🇼PW 🇫🇯FJ 🇹🇴TO41d ago

In this bulletin: 1. PACIFIC — Pacific cannot ‘arrest’ its way out of organised crime, says NZ Customs Minister2. FIJI — Fiji Police seize nearly $10m in drug-linked assets and unexplained wealth3.

4.7/10·Islands Business

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇹🇴TO 🇨🇰CK57d ago

Nuku'alofa, Tonga Pacific Games Council President Vidhya Lakhan and CEO Andrew Minogue with Prime Minister Lord Fakafanua and TASANOC President Michael Bloomfield. Nuku'alofa. 12 May 2026.

4.7/10·Matangi Tonga

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇫🇯FJ 🇵🇬Papua New Guinea 🇸🇧SB+719d ago

The announcement follows complaints by several political parties in the French Pacific territory, with less than two weeks to go before the crucial provincial elections.

3.7/10·Radio New Zealand Pacific

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇹🇴TO 🇹🇬TG19d ago

https://www.mewc.org/index.php/tools/political-participation-a-election-monitroing/2025-elections-monitoring/12410-togo-senatorial-elections-2025

3.7/10·GDELT 2.0 Master Files

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇹🇴TO 🇦🇺Australia21d ago

Nuku'alofa, Tonga At the Australia–Pacific Ocean Business Leaders Summit, from left, Ministry of MEIDECC CEO , Sione 'Akauola, Minister for the Environment and Water of Australia Senator the Hon Murray Watt, MEIDECC Senior Advisor, Integrated Ocean Governance, Dr. Fononga Vainga Mangisi-Mafileo. Cairns Convention Centre, Queensland, Australia, 11–12 June 2026.

3.7/10·Matangi Tonga

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇫🇯FJ 🇵🇬Papua New Guinea 🇸🇧SB+322d ago

BOUGAINVILLE President Ishmael Toroama has reaffirmed the region’s commitment to its political aspirations, economic development, and peacebuilding efforts, while urging greater recognition of its history and the democratic will of its people. The post Toroama reaffirms Bougainville’s self-determination appeared first on Islands Business .

3.7/10·Islands Business

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇿🇦South Africa 🇮🇳India 🇬🇹Guatemala+312d ago

South Africa's sugar industry has lost an estimated R1.5 billion due to a surge in cheap sugar imports, primarily from India, Guatemala, Brazil, and Thailand. Despite a recent deal saving Tongaat Hulett and thousands of jobs, stakeholders like SA Canegrowers and Cosatu KZN are urgently calling on the government to implement trade protection measures and adjust tariffs to safeguard the struggling sector from further collapse.

3.5/10·Mail & Guardian (additional)

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇹🇴TO20d ago

TONGA’S criminal threat landscape has changed fast, and Acting Chief Superintendent Selosia Fatukala-Satini says the shift is forcing... The post Tonga police see crime growing more regional and digital appeared first on Islands Business .

3.5/10·Islands Business

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇹🇴TO98d ago

Nuku'alofa, Tonga MBF Bank Limited has announced strong financial results for the Financial Year 2025 ( FY2025 ), marking a year of solid growth and strategic transformation focused on supporting entrepreneurs, Small and Medium Enterprises ( SME s), and women led businesses. Despite a challenging global economic environment, MBF Bank recorded a 10.0% increase in net profit after tax to TOP 6.0 million, driven by lending growth, improved operational efficiencies, and rising digital adoption. Total assets increased by 6.6% to TOP 186.8 million, while the Bank maintained capital levels well above regulatory requirements, reinforcing its financial strength and stability.

3.5/10·Matangi Tonga

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇹🇴TO15d ago

https://www.ecowas.int/at-lome-ecowas-strengthens-the-capacities-of-women-and-cross-border-trade-stakeholders-for-better-trade-facilitation/

3.1/10·GDELT 2.0 Master Files

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇫🇯FJ 🇵🇬Papua New Guinea 🇸🇧SB+318d ago

THE Western Pacific Regional Fishery Management Council has welcomed President Donald Trump’s proclamation, Restoring American Commercial Fishing in the Pacific. The post Trump reopens Pacific waters to commercial fishing appeared first on Islands Business .

3.1/10·Islands Business

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇧🇹BT 🇭🇷Croatia 🇹🇴TO+119d ago

June the 18th, 2026 – Bhutan has officially recognised the Republic of Croatia, opening up the pathway for new bilateral relations and deeper cooperation. Only Tonga and Niger still don’t officially recognise the country. This recognition comes over 30 years after the rest of the world, but it marks a very significant step in diplomatic ...

3.1/10·Total Croatia News

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇫🇯FJ 🇵🇬Papua New Guinea 🇸🇧SB+320d ago

The 4th Regional Aviation Ministers Meeting delivered a clear mandate for regional cooperation, new international partnerships, and a... The post Pacific aviation ministers chart bold course for a more connected, resilient region appeared first on Islands Business .

3.1/10·Islands Business

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇬🇧United Kingdom 🇹🇴TO21d ago

https://www.clactonandfrintongazette.co.uk/news/national/26197355.social-media-ban-children-no-silver-bullet-minister-says/

3.1/10·GDELT 2.0 Master Files

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇫🇯FJ 🇵🇬Papua New Guinea 🇸🇧SB+323d ago

THE Autonomous Bougainville Government has launched four new passenger vessels to improve transport, emergency access and trade links for remote atoll communities. The post New boats to cut isolation for Bougainville atolls appeared first on Islands Business .

3.1/10·Islands Business

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇹🇴TO 🇿🇼Zimbabwe23d ago

Attempts to take over Tongaat Hulett have been shadowed by suspicions that the initiative is driven by politically exposed Zimbabweans pushing to externalise their cash and their influence by gaining control of the sugar value chain in Southern Africa. The latest revelations in the legal battle involving the stalled business rescue of Tongaat Hulett and its possible liquidation.

3.1/10·Daily Maverick (additional)

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇫🇯FJ 🇵🇬Papua New Guinea 🇸🇧SB+326d ago

PACIFIC governments are tightening cooperation on border security and labour mobility as regional migration, crime and security pressures intensify, with immigration leaders meeting in Suva this week to mark 30 years of the Pacific Immigration Development Community (PIDC). The post Pacific immigration leaders mark 30 years of regional cooperation appeared first on Islands Business .

3.1/10·Islands Business·Suva, Central

Primary Source ↗Details →