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CALMBaseline conditions — use this window to review structureLIVE · just nowRead full brief →
Top ThemesAll themes →
🧠 AI Chip Bottleneck
OPP16 signals
🇺🇸 🇹🇼 🇰🇷
🛡 US Defense Surge
OPP15 signals
🇺🇸 🇬🇧 🇵🇱
🏗 India Infrastructure Supercycle
OPP11 signals
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Prediction Markets →
⚡ Market GapsAll gaps →
92pp gappredictit vs polymarket97% / 5%

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Rhode Island?

34pp gappolymarket vs predictit3% / 37%

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

6%Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
polymarket
81%Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
polymarket
72%Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
polymarket
11%Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
polymarket
12%Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
polymarket
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Active Scenarios →Signal edge vs market
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AI-generated hypothesis. Not investment advice. Always verify independently with a qualified financial advisor.

Market-Moving Events →
6/10economic🇵🇰 🇮🇷6h ago

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said on Friday that a “significant” reduction in fuel prices would be announced later in the day, …

6/10military🇲🇱 🇱🇧6h ago

Israeli strike on Lebanese town of Jamaliyah kills three An Israeli airstrike killed three people in the Lebanese town of Jamali…

6/10economic🇮🇱 🇩🇪6h ago

Revealed: How a German-US corporate giant became the world’s largest foreign financier of Israel’s wars Submitted by Sebastian S…

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