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CRITICALIran missile strike on Israel amid fragile ceasefire triggers regional escalation with immediate commodity and FX market exposure.LIVE · 6d agoRead full brief →
Iran–IsraelcriticalLevant (Israel–Hezbollah–Lebanon)criticalPhilippineselevated
Where signals agreeSee all →
Altria Group Inc. (MO)
80thin · 2 src
ticker2 sources agree
Meta Platforms Inc. (META)
80thin · 2 src
ticker2 sources agree
Ford Motor Company (F)
73thin · 2 src
ticker2 sources agree
Citigroup Inc. (C)
73thin · 2 src
ticker2 sources agree
Top ThemesAll themes →
🧠 AI Chip Bottleneck
OPP16 signals
🇺🇸 🇹🇼 🇰🇷
🛡 US Defense Surge
OPP15 signals
🇺🇸 🇬🇧 🇵🇱
🏗 India Infrastructure Supercycle
OPP11 signals
🇮🇳
Prediction Markets →
⚡ Market GapsAll gaps →
92pp gappredictit vs polymarket97% / 5%

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Rhode Island?

34pp gappolymarket vs predictit3% / 37%

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

thinThe US will experience stagflation before the end of 2026.
manifoldplay
6%Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
polymarket
thinWill a major internet outage caused by undersea cable failure occur before July 1, 2026?
manifoldplay
thin[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?
manifoldplay
thinWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
manifoldplay
77%Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
polymarket
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Active Scenarios →Signal edge vs market
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AI-generated hypothesis. Not investment advice. Always verify independently with a qualified financial advisor.

Market-Moving Events →
6/10military🇻🇪 🇺🇸22m ago

The US military attack in Venezuela Friday that killed the leader of the Tren de Aragua gang reflects a strategic shift by US Pr…

6/10military🇱🇧 🇮🇷2h ago

Israeli strikes hit south Lebanon despite US-Iran diplomacy Lebanon says Israel launched new attacks on the country’s south on S…

6/10military🇱🇧 🇮🇷6h ago

Lebanon reported Israeli strikes in the country's south on Saturday, as the Israeli army issued evacuation warnings for the city…

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