Follow the money. Watch the world.

157k+ signals · 1,000 sources 5,500+ STOCK Act disclosures 17k+ prediction markets Explore live signals →

CRITICALSimultaneous Phase 3+ food insecurity across 24 countries signals systemic agricultural and supply-chain collapse with acute currency and sovereign debt implications.LIVE · 3d agoRead full brief →

Sub-Saharan Africa (Sahel & East Africa)criticalMiddle EastcriticalLatin America & Caribbeanelevated

Where signals agreeSee all →

Abbott Laboratories (ABT)

▲78thin · 2 src

ticker2 sources agree

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

▲78thin · 2 src

ticker2 sources agree

Grenada

78thin · 2 src

country2 sources agree

Antigua & Barbuda

78thin · 2 src

country2 sources agree

Top ThemesAll themes →

🏗 India Infrastructure Supercycle

OPP11 signals

🇮🇳

Prediction Markets →

thin = low volume/few traders · play = play-money sentiment

⚡ Market GapsAll gaps →

92pp gappredictit vs polymarket97% / 5%

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Rhode Island?

63pp gappredictit vs polymarket66% / 3%

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Nebraska?

60pp gappolymarket vs predictit1% / 61%

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

thinWill China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

manifoldplay

thinWill the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction]

manifoldplay

thinWill China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030

manifoldplay

thinWill Brent crude futures close above $120 on Friday, June 5, 2026?

manifoldplay

14%Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

polymarket

thin10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?

manifoldplay

All prediction markets →

Active Scenarios →Signal edge vs market

LOW⚡ 145

Generative AI Infrastructure Bottleneck

Ongoing · Technology / Energy · Win US TW · Lose CN TW

↑ NVDA↑ AMD↑ SMCI↓ AMZN