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CRITICALIran missile strike on Israel amid fragile ceasefire triggers regional escalation with immediate commodity and FX market exposure.LIVE · 7d agoRead full brief →
Iran–IsraelcriticalLevant (Israel–Hezbollah–Lebanon)criticalPhilippineselevated
Where signals agreeSee all →
Meta Platforms Inc. (META)
80thin · 2 src
ticker2 sources agree
Palestinian Territories
77thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
European Union
77thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Grenada
76thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Top ThemesAll themes →
🧠 AI Chip Bottleneck
OPP16 signals
🇺🇸 🇹🇼 🇰🇷
🛡 US Defense Surge
OPP15 signals
🇺🇸 🇬🇧 🇵🇱
🏗 India Infrastructure Supercycle
OPP11 signals
🇮🇳
Prediction Markets →
⚡ Market GapsAll gaps →
92pp gappredictit vs polymarket97% / 5%

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Rhode Island?

34pp gappolymarket vs predictit3% / 37%

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

thinThe US will experience stagflation before the end of 2026.
manifoldplay
6%Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
polymarket
thinWill a major internet outage caused by undersea cable failure occur before July 1, 2026?
manifoldplay
thin[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?
manifoldplay
thinWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
manifoldplay
71%Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
polymarket
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Active Scenarios →Signal edge vs market
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AI-generated hypothesis. Not investment advice. Always verify independently with a qualified financial advisor.

Market-Moving Events →
8/10economic🇿🇦20h ago

Sasol fell 12.3% - 3.8σ below 30-day average (21357.00 -> 18736.00)

7/10economic🇹🇭20h ago

PTT PCL Thailand fell 2.8% - 3.3σ below 30-day average (36.00 -> 35.00)

7/10economic🇫🇷20h ago

TotalEnergies fell 4.4% - 3.1σ below 30-day average (76.38 -> 73.00)

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v·f8120c2