Follow the money. Watch the world.

157k+ signals · 1,000 sources5,500+ STOCK Act disclosures17k+ prediction marketsExplore live signals →
CRITICALIran missile strike on Israel amid fragile ceasefire triggers regional escalation with immediate commodity and FX market exposure.LIVE · 12d agoRead full brief →
Iran–IsraelcriticalLevant (Israel–Hezbollah–Lebanon)criticalPhilippineselevated
Where signals agreeSee all →
Grenada
79thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
European Union
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Palestinian Territories
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
South Georgia & South Sandwich Islands
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Top ThemesAll themes →
🧠 AI Chip Bottleneck
OPP16 signals
🇺🇸 🇹🇼 🇰🇷
🛡 US Defense Surge
OPP15 signals
🇺🇸 🇬🇧 🇵🇱
🏗 India Infrastructure Supercycle
OPP11 signals
🇮🇳
Prediction Markets →
⚡ Market GapsAll gaps →
92pp gappredictit vs polymarket97% / 5%

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Rhode Island?

34pp gappolymarket vs predictit3% / 37%

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

thinThe US will experience stagflation before the end of 2026.
manifoldplay
6%Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
polymarket
thinWill a major internet outage caused by undersea cable failure occur before July 1, 2026?
manifoldplay
thin[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?
manifoldplay
thinWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
manifoldplay
81%Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
polymarket
All prediction markets →
Active Scenarios →Signal edge vs market
All scenarios →

AI-generated hypothesis. Not investment advice. Always verify independently with a qualified financial advisor.

Market-Moving Events →
9/10political🇺🇸12m ago

An allegation has emerged that the sitting president orchestrated or ordered the killing of an individual named Héctor Rusthenfo…

8/10military🇷🇺 🇺🇦8h ago

Ukraine launched its largest drone attack since Russia's 2022 invasion, striking Moscow overnight and hitting the Kapotnya oil r…

8/10political🇬🇧4h ago

Senior UK government ministers allied to Prime Minister Keir Starmer have given him an ultimatum to announce a departure timelin…

View all signals →
v·6c0062c