Follow the money. Watch the world.

157k+ signals · 1,000 sources5,500+ STOCK Act disclosures17k+ prediction marketsExplore live signals →
CRITICALSimultaneous Phase 3+ food insecurity across 24 countries signals systemic agricultural and supply-chain collapse with acute currency and sovereign debt implications.LIVE · 1d agoRead full brief →
Sub-Saharan Africa (Sahel & East Africa)criticalMiddle EastcriticalLatin America & Caribbeanelevated
Where signals agreeSee all →
Abbott Laboratories (ABT)
▲78thin · 2 src
ticker2 sources agree
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)
▲78thin · 2 src
ticker2 sources agree
Grenada
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Antigua & Barbuda
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Top ThemesAll themes →
🧠 AI Chip Bottleneck
OPP16 signals
🇺🇸 🇹🇼 🇰🇷
🛡 US Defense Surge
OPP15 signals
🇺🇸 🇬🇧 🇵🇱
🏗 India Infrastructure Supercycle
OPP11 signals
🇮🇳
Prediction Markets →

thin = low volume/few traders · play = play-money sentiment

⚡ Market GapsAll gaps →
92pp gappredictit vs polymarket97% / 5%

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Rhode Island?

63pp gappredictit vs polymarket66% / 3%

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Nebraska?

37pp gappredictit vs polymarket38% / 1%

Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

thinWill China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
manifoldplay
thinWill the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction]
manifoldplay
thinWill China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030
manifoldplay
thinWill Brent crude futures close above $120 on Friday, June 5, 2026?
manifoldplay
14%Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
polymarket
thin10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?
manifoldplay
All prediction markets →
Active Scenarios →Signal edge vs market
All scenarios →

AI-generated hypothesis. Not investment advice. Always verify independently with a qualified financial advisor.

Market-Moving Events →
6/10military🇨🇭 🇮🇱2m ago

US and Iranian negotiators were in Switzerland on Sunday for talks on their interim agreement to end the Iran war. Pakistani and…

6/10military🇨🇭 🇮🇷2m ago

Switzerland, June 22: High-level negotiations in Switzerland seeking a permanent end to the Iran war have ended, mediators said …

6/10political🇮🇷 🇨🇭52m ago

In today’s newsletter: Our senior political correspondent talks about how the coming days and weeks may unfold for the Labour go…

View all signals →
v·1bb66b0