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CRITICALIran missile strike on Israel amid fragile ceasefire triggers regional escalation with immediate commodity and FX market exposure.LIVE · 10d agoRead full brief →
Iran–IsraelcriticalLevant (Israel–Hezbollah–Lebanon)criticalPhilippineselevated
Where signals agreeSee all →
Congo - Kinshasa
79thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Congo - Brazzaville
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Palestinian Territories
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
European Union
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Top ThemesAll themes →
🧠 AI Chip Bottleneck
OPP16 signals
🇺🇸 🇹🇼 🇰🇷
🛡 US Defense Surge
OPP15 signals
🇺🇸 🇬🇧 🇵🇱
🏗 India Infrastructure Supercycle
OPP11 signals
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Prediction Markets →
⚡ Market GapsAll gaps →
92pp gappredictit vs polymarket97% / 5%

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Rhode Island?

34pp gappolymarket vs predictit3% / 37%

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

thinThe US will experience stagflation before the end of 2026.
manifoldplay
6%Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
polymarket
thinWill a major internet outage caused by undersea cable failure occur before July 1, 2026?
manifoldplay
thin[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?
manifoldplay
thinWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
manifoldplay
82%Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
polymarket
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Active Scenarios →Signal edge vs market
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AI-generated hypothesis. Not investment advice. Always verify independently with a qualified financial advisor.

Market-Moving Events →
6/10military🇵🇸 🇮🇱41m ago

Death toll from Israeli attacks on Gaza since ceasefire passes 1,000 The number of Palestinians killed by Israeli fire in G…

6/10military🇮🇱 🇱🇧41m ago

Israel plans expanded occupation of Lebanon in defiance of US-Iran pact Submitted by MEE staff on Thu, 06/18/2026 - 18:50 A map …

6/10political🇺🇸 🇬🇧1h ago

Makerfield by-election: This may finally be the end for Starmer Submitted by Peter Oborne on Thu, 06/18/2026 - 16:38 If Labour c…

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