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CRITICALIran missile strike on Israel amid fragile ceasefire triggers regional escalation with immediate commodity and FX market exposure.LIVE · 11d agoRead full brief →
Iran–IsraelcriticalLevant (Israel–Hezbollah–Lebanon)criticalPhilippineselevated
Where signals agreeSee all →
Grenada
79thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
European Union
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Palestinian Territories
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
South Georgia & South Sandwich Islands
78thin · 2 src
country2 sources agree
Top ThemesAll themes →
🧠 AI Chip Bottleneck
OPP16 signals
🇺🇸 🇹🇼 🇰🇷
🛡 US Defense Surge
OPP15 signals
🇺🇸 🇬🇧 🇵🇱
🏗 India Infrastructure Supercycle
OPP11 signals
🇮🇳
Prediction Markets →
⚡ Market GapsAll gaps →
92pp gappredictit vs polymarket97% / 5%

Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Rhode Island?

34pp gappolymarket vs predictit3% / 37%

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

thinThe US will experience stagflation before the end of 2026.
manifoldplay
6%Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
polymarket
thinWill a major internet outage caused by undersea cable failure occur before July 1, 2026?
manifoldplay
thin[ACX 2026] Will China attack or blockade Taiwan during 2026?
manifoldplay
thinWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
manifoldplay
81%Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
polymarket
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Active Scenarios →Signal edge vs market
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AI-generated hypothesis. Not investment advice. Always verify independently with a qualified financial advisor.

Market-Moving Events →
8/10military🇷🇺 🇺🇦29m ago

Ukraine launched its largest drone attack since Russia's 2022 invasion, striking Moscow overnight and hitting the Kapotnya oil r…

8/10political🇺🇸 🇮🇷3m ago

President Trump signed a memorandum of understanding with Iran on Wednesday intended to end hostilities between the two nations,…

8/10health🇵🇸21m ago

UNICEF reported on Friday that one child dies every day in Gaza on average, with 265 child deaths recorded since a ceasefire beg…

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