Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades Watchlist Dashboard

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·d1576ec

Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades Watchlist Dashboard

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest Relevance

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Congress & Markets0 trades · 0 bills · 10 markets · 0 hearings

Found 194 results across markets (10), signals (184)

Prediction Markets(10)

37%Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?polymarket

96%Brazilian president's Supreme Court nomination rejected by Senate?manifold

96%PA Supreme Court justices Donohue, Dougherty, and Wecht retention votes? YES or …manifold

95%Mojtaba Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran on July 1st, 2026manifold

91%Will Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Hossein Deghan s…manifold

73%Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2026, according to Ga…manifold

69%No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026?manifold

65%Will a prediction market-related court case reach the Supreme Court before 2029?manifold

64%Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?manifold

60%Clarence Thomas becomes longest serving Supreme Court Justice?manifold

View all markets →

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

184 signals for "supreme" · Military+Cyber+Supply Chain+Disaster+Economic+Criminal

Page 7 of 8

Supply ChainUpdate🇺🇸United States 🇿🇦South Africa24d ago

WASHINGTON. An attempt to redraw Virginia constituencies in favor of Democrats was annulled Friday by the state's Supreme Court. The decision represents a heavy victory for the Republicans ahead of this fall's important midterm elections.

3.1/10·Dagens Nyheter (Sweden)·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇰🇷South Korea25d ago

SEOUL, May 8 (Yonhap) -- The Supreme Court on Friday upheld a two-year prison se...

3.1/10·Yonhap News Agency·Seoul, Seoul

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇵🇰Pakistan26d ago

On the first anniversary of the Supreme Court of Pakistan’s ruling that trials of civilians by military courts are constitutional, Isabelle Lassee, Amnesty International’s Deputy Regional Director for South Asia, said: “The Supreme Court’s 2025 decision has fundamentally undermined the right to a fair trial and the right to liberty in Pakistan. Such courts flout […] The post Pakistan: Authorities must end ongoing injustice of civilian trials by military courts appeared first on Amnesty International .

3.1/10·Amnesty International

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate🇷🇺Russia27d ago

Moscow’s Replacement of Dagestan Leadership Likely Making Bad Situation Worse Executive Summary: Long known to be unhappy with the situation in Dagestan, Russian President Vladimir Putin is replacing Dagestan Governor Sergey Melikov with Fyodor Shchukin, head of Dagestan’s Supreme Court (Vedomosti, April 6; Govorit Nemoskva, April 30; Kavkazskii Uzel, May 4). Dagestan is increasingly restive at a time when it is ever more important to […] The post Moscow’s Replacement of Dagestan Leadership Likely Making Bad Situation Worse appeared first on Jamestown .

3.1/10·Jamestown Foundation

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate27d ago

Attorney: Kracht investigation aimed to find crime at any cost Discussing the Tallinn Circuit Court decision clearing Kersti Kracht, attorney-at-law Oliver Nääs notes that the prosecution ignored exculpatory evidence and aimed to find a crime where none existed. Prosecutor's Office may still take the case to Supreme Court.

3.1/10·ERR News English (Estonia)

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States27d ago

US Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving nationwide abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11. The administrative stay, issued by Justice Samuel Alito, pauses Friday’s decision by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals.

3.1/10·Kentucky Lantern

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States27d ago

US Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving nationwide abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11. The administrative stay, issued by Justice Samuel Alito, pauses Friday’s decision by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals.

3.1/10·Ohio Capital Journal

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States27d ago

‘I’m not the exception’: Nebraska Supreme Court highlights success of problem-solving courts LINCOLN — Almost three years ago, Alex Strong began his journey with the Sarpy County adult drug court, battling addiction but trying an alternative to prosecution that offered him a new path. “I wasn’t thinking about the future. I wasn’t thinking about purpose.

3.1/10·Nebraska Examiner

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States27d ago

US Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving nationwide abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11. The administrative stay, issued by Justice Samuel Alito, pauses Friday’s decision by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals.

3.1/10·Tennessee Lookout

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate🇭🇹Haiti27d ago

Conditions in Haiti ‘grave’ as Supreme Court weighs allowing revoked legal status and deportation About 45,000 Haitians in Ohio are waiting nervously as the U.S. Supreme Court weighs a Trump-administration move to force them back to their homeland. As they do, a new assessment says that conditions in Haiti are about as bad as anywhere in the world.

3.1/10·Ohio Capital Journal

Primary Source ↗Details →

MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

Peleliu chiefs sue over land deal tied to U.S. military use Lawsuit claims transfer of public lands to national government violated constitution and bypassed public process By: L.N. Reklai KOROR, Palau — A group of traditional leaders and residents from Peleliu has filed a lawsuit in the Palau Supreme Court seeking to overturn a land deal that transferred dozens of public land parcels to the national […] The post Peleliu chiefs sue over land deal tied to U.S.

3.1/10·Island Times (Papua New Guinea)

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

Ellis wants lawmakers back to redistrict, veteran reporter retires, in political notes Sen. Arthur Ellis makes another redistricting pitch after Supreme Court's Voting Rights Act ruling, AP veteran Brian Witte packs it in, Ed Wykowski moves up in the comptroller's office and Frank Waesche gets a seat on the MdTA board, in political notes.

3.1/10·Maryland Matters

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

US Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving nationwide abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11. The administrative stay, issued by Justice Samuel Alito, pauses Friday’s decision by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals.

3.1/10·Virginia Mercury

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

Vermont Supreme Court agrees to step in quickly on appeal of overturned return-to-office mandate The court will try to take up the issue in June, as Gov. Phil Scott’s administration reports “disruption and uncertainty.” Read the story on VTDigger here: Vermont Supreme Court agrees to step in quickly on appeal of overturned return-to-office mandate .

3.1/10·VTDigger

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

US Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving nationwide abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11. The administrative stay, issued by Justice Samuel Alito, pauses Friday’s decision by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals.

3.1/10·Kansas Reflector

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay Monday on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11.

3.1/10·Maryland Matters

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

US Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving nationwide abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11. The administrative stay, issued by Justice Samuel Alito, pauses Friday’s decision by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals.

3.1/10·Nebraska Examiner

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

US Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving nationwide abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11. The administrative stay, issued by Justice Samuel Alito, pauses Friday’s decision by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals.

3.1/10·Rhode Island Current

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

US Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving nationwide abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11. The administrative stay, issued by Justice Samuel Alito, pauses Friday’s decision by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals.

3.1/10·Washington State Standard

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

US Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving nationwide abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11. The administrative stay, issued by Justice Samuel Alito, pauses Friday’s decision by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals.

3.1/10·New Hampshire Bulletin

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

US Supreme Court issues temporary stay preserving nationwide abortion drug access The U.S. Supreme Court issued a temporary stay on an appeals court ruling from Friday that was blocking remote access to an abortion drug, restoring access until at least May 11. The administrative stay, issued by Justice Samuel Alito, pauses Friday’s decision by the 5th Circuit Court of Appeals.

3.1/10·NC Policy Watch

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

US Supreme Court weighs case that could hinder cheaper drug manufacturing By Zara Norman/Medill News Service WASHINGTON — John Bailey said he’s saved tens of thousands of dollars over the last decade by relying on a generic prescription to lower his cholesterol. The 68-year-old from central Texas was able to get a generic because the patent on a brand-name medication expired. He and many other Americans […]

3.1/10·Ohio Capital Journal

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

US Supreme Court weighs case that could hinder cheaper drug manufacturing By Zara Norman/Medill News Service WASHINGTON — John Bailey said he’s saved tens of thousands of dollars over the last decade by relying on a generic prescription to lower his cholesterol. The 68-year-old from central Texas was able to get a generic because the patent on a brand-name medication expired. He and many other Americans […]

3.1/10·Rhode Island Current

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainUpdate🇺🇸United States28d ago

Ohio Supreme Court sides with AEP, denies $75 million in refunds for scandal-ridden coal plants The Ohio Supreme Court has ruled that a major utility company does not need to refund customers nearly $75 million after being accused of overcharging to support two unprofitable and scandal-ridden coal plants. On Wednesday, the justices unanimously affirmed that the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (PUCO) was allowed to let American Electric Power (AEP) […]

3.1/10·Ohio Capital Journal

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate30d ago

A US court has banned the mailing of abortion pills. The drug's manufacturer has appealed the decision to the country's Supreme Court.

3.1/10·Digi24 (Romania)

Primary Source ↗Details →