Prediction Markets

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·7856fa5

Prediction Markets

Signal Search

Search across all ingested intelligence signals. Supports websearch syntax: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest Relevance

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

133 results for "supreme" · Economic+Disaster+Supply Chain+Cyber+Political

Page 1 of 6

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱

Israel

8d ago

Iran's parliament is expected to vote on a bill that would offer 50 million euros in rewards for the murders of US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper, according to an announcement by Ebrahim Azizi, chairman of Iran's National Security Council, on public television. The measure is framed as retaliation for attacks on Iran's nuclear program and the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

8.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel8d ago

Days after Israeli airstrikes killed Iran's supreme leader and other senior officials, President Trump publicly suggested that an internal change of leadership in Iran would be preferable, effectively endorsing regime change during an active military conflict.

8.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States9d ago

Following Israeli airstrikes that killed Iran's supreme leader and other top officials, President Trump publicly stated the U.S. prefers that someone "from within" Iran assume leadership. According to reporting, the U.S. and Israel have a particular successor in mind: former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, known for his staunch anti-American and anti-Israeli positions.

8.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇳India 🇮🇱Israel+120d ago

Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei has reportedly recovered from severe injuries — including burns and shrapnel wounds — suffered during US-Israeli airstrikes that also killed his father and senior military commanders, and is now personally directing Iran's war strategy and ceasefire negotiations with the United States, communicating exclusively through couriers to avoid surveillance.

7.5/10·Greater Kashmir·Tehran, Tehran Province

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel8d ago

Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered that the country's stockpile of weapons-grade enriched uranium remain within Iran, rejecting a key US demand in peace negotiations. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has stated that any ceasefire agreement must include uranium transfer, elimination of Iranian ballistic missile capabilities, and an end to Tehran's support for regional allied groups—conditions that now appear incompatible with Iran's stated position.

7.2/10·Nahar·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel8d ago

Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered that the country's near-weapons-grade enriched uranium must remain within Iran, according to senior Iranian sources. The directive contradicts a central US negotiating demand and Israeli assurances from Trump that Iran's weapons-grade stockpile will be removed, complicating ongoing peace talks aimed at ending military hostilities.

7.2/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇳🇮Nicaragua32d ago

Supreme Court issued demands in Abuja [5 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States32d ago

Manufacturer made demands of Supreme Court in Missouri [10 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States33d ago

Reports of conflict in Virginia Supreme Court [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States37d ago

State Supreme Court issued demands in Kentucky [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran8d ago

Iran's supreme leader has issued a directive prohibiting the export of uranium enriched to near-weapons-grade levels, according to two senior Iranian officials. The order represents a hardening of Tehran's stance on a key demand from the United States in ongoing nuclear negotiations.

6.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran8d ago

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a directive prohibiting the export of the country's near-weapons-grade uranium, according to senior Iranian sources. The move represents a significant hardening of Iran's nuclear stance.

6.5/10·Daily Sabah (Economy)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States9d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court significantly weakened the Voting Rights Act in an April ruling, reducing federal oversight mechanisms that had protected voting access.

6.5/10·NC Policy Watch

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate26d ago

A manufacturer of the abortion pill mifepristone has petitioned the Supreme Court to immediately restore full access to the medication. The case brings the contentious abortion issue before the justices during an election year.

6.5/10·Honolulu Star-Advertiser

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate27d ago

Commentary on the vulnerability of electoral institutions to organized crime influence, specifically referencing historical patterns of narco-parties and narco-candidates. The author advocates for a more assertive stance from the Supreme Electoral Tribunal in combating these threats to electoral legitimacy.

6.5/10·La Prensa Libre (Guatemala — Spanish, expanded)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate27d ago

President Trump encouraged electoral manipulation following a Supreme Court decision weakening the Voting Rights Act, urging a governor to gerrymander his state and praising another for suspending a primary election. The court's ruling struck down Louisiana's congressional map as unconstitutional while empowering Republican states to alter their electoral districts.

6.5/10·Kansas Reflector

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States27d ago

State Supreme Court engaged in clashes in Natrona County [9 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States27d ago

United States fought with Supreme Court in Maryland [6 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical·Maryland City, Maryland

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States27d ago

State Supreme Court engaged in clashes in Natrona County [9 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical·Cedar City, Utah

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate27d ago

President Trump reportedly urged a governor to gerrymander his state and praised another for suspending a primary, capitalizing on a Supreme Court decision weakening the Voting Rights Act. The court struck down Louisiana's congressional map as unconstitutional while enabling other Republican states to redraw districts.

6.5/10·Ohio Capital Journal

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate27d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court's decision in Louisiana v. Callais significantly weakens federal Voting Rights Act protections, allowing states greater latitude in redrawing congressional districts. This ruling has sweeping consequences for district line drawing at all government levels and could trigger substantial redistricting changes nationwide.

6.5/10·Ohio Capital Journal

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate27d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court's decision in Louisiana v. Callais weakens the federal Voting Rights Act with sweeping consequences for how states and local governments draw district lines at all levels, from Congress downward. The opinion could trigger a new wave of congressional redistricting and potentially upend American politics.

6.5/10·New Hampshire Bulletin

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate27d ago

Report indicates President Trump encouraged gerrymandering and praised suspension of primary elections following a Supreme Court decision weakening the Voting Rights Act. The ruling struck down Louisiana's congressional map and enabled other Republican states to modify electoral boundaries.

6.5/10·New Hampshire Bulletin

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate28d ago

Citizen Action organization questioned expedited constitutional reforms implemented without legislative debate or social/political dialogue. The reforms by New Ideas party modified the Constitution to increase control over the Supreme Electoral Tribunal and enable diaspora representation.

6.5/10·Gato Encerrado El Salvador

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate28d ago

President Trump urged gerrymandering and praised election suspension following a Supreme Court decision that weakened federal Voting Rights Act protections. The ruling struck down Louisiana's congressional map and enabled Republican states to modify district boundaries.

6.5/10·Nebraska Examiner

Primary Source ↗Details →