Prediction Markets

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

API Reference
Developer Keys
Webhooks
Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·36e136c

Prediction Markets

Signal Search

Search across all ingested intelligence signals. Supports websearch syntax: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

333 results for "supreme" · Disaster+Political+Criminal+Supply Chain+Economic

Page 1 of 14

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱

Israel

7d ago

Iran's parliament is expected to vote on a bill that would offer 50 million euros in rewards for the murders of US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper, according to an announcement by Ebrahim Azizi, chairman of Iran's National Security Council, on public television. The measure is framed as retaliation for attacks on Iran's nuclear program and the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

8.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel7d ago

Days after Israeli airstrikes killed Iran's supreme leader and other senior officials, President Trump publicly suggested that an internal change of leadership in Iran would be preferable, effectively endorsing regime change during an active military conflict.

8.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel 🇺🇸United States7d ago

Following Israeli airstrikes that killed Iran's supreme leader and other top officials, President Trump publicly stated the U.S. prefers that someone "from within" Iran assume leadership. According to reporting, the U.S. and Israel have a particular successor in mind: former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, known for his staunch anti-American and anti-Israeli positions.

8.5/10·Digi24 (Romania)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇳India 🇮🇱Israel+118d ago

Iran's supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei has reportedly recovered from severe injuries — including burns and shrapnel wounds — suffered during US-Israeli airstrikes that also killed his father and senior military commanders, and is now personally directing Iran's war strategy and ceasefire negotiations with the United States, communicating exclusively through couriers to avoid surveillance.

7.5/10·Greater Kashmir·Tehran, Tehran Province

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States29d ago

State Supreme Court applied coercive pressure on United States in Santa Clara County [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇳🇮Nicaragua30d ago

Supreme Court issued demands in Abuja [5 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇻🇳Vietnam30d ago

Supreme Court applied coercive pressure in Vietnam [10 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States30d ago

Supreme Court applied coercive pressure in Washington [10 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States30d ago

Manufacturer made demands of Supreme Court in Missouri [10 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States30d ago

Industry applied coercive pressure on Supreme Court in Multnomah [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States30d ago

State Supreme Court applied coercive pressure on United States in Santa Clara County [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States30d ago

Supreme Court applied coercive pressure in Kentucky [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States31d ago

Reports of conflict in Virginia Supreme Court [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States34d ago

State Supreme Court applied coercive pressure on United States in Manhattan [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇺🇸United States34d ago

State Supreme Court applied coercive pressure in Connecticut [9 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States35d ago

State Supreme Court issued demands in Kentucky [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇵🇰Pakistan 🇴🇲Oman7d ago

Pakistan's Supreme Court reviewed an honour killing case in which a young woman named Sidra from Rawalpindi was murdered in July 2025 after a jirga rejected her choice of husband. Her brother and other family members were granted bail by the Lahore High Court despite prosecution arguments that they were directly involved in a premeditated killing. The Supreme Court issued notices to the accused and adjourned proceedings, signalling potential intervention in a pattern affecting hundreds of Pakistani women annually.

6.5/10·Dawn·Rawalpindi, Punjab

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States8d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court significantly weakened the Voting Rights Act in an April ruling, reducing federal oversight mechanisms that had protected voting access.

6.5/10·NC Policy Watch

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate24d ago

Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Flávio Dino has indefinitely upheld the removal of Macapá's vice-mayor Mário Neto under investigation for bid-rigging and embezzlement of health funds. The decision maintains suspension of multiple officials and prohibits their access to public buildings, citing risk of interference with investigations into Operation Paroxysm, which focuses on alleged contract manipulation and misappropriation of R$70 million in health sector funds.

6.5/10·Agência Brasil

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate24d ago

A manufacturer of the abortion pill mifepristone has petitioned the Supreme Court to immediately restore full access to the medication. The case brings the contentious abortion issue before the justices during an election year.

6.5/10·Honolulu Star-Advertiser

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate25d ago

Commentary on the vulnerability of electoral institutions to organized crime influence, specifically referencing historical patterns of narco-parties and narco-candidates. The author advocates for a more assertive stance from the Supreme Electoral Tribunal in combating these threats to electoral legitimacy.

6.5/10·La Prensa Libre (Guatemala — Spanish, expanded)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate25d ago

President Trump encouraged electoral manipulation following a Supreme Court decision weakening the Voting Rights Act, urging a governor to gerrymander his state and praising another for suspending a primary election. The court's ruling struck down Louisiana's congressional map as unconstitutional while empowering Republican states to alter their electoral districts.

6.5/10·Kansas Reflector

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States25d ago

State Supreme Court engaged in clashes in Natrona County [9 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalUpdate🇺🇸United States25d ago

United States fought with Supreme Court in Maryland [6 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical·Maryland City, Maryland

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalCrisis🇺🇸United States25d ago

State Supreme Court engaged in clashes in Natrona County [9 sources]

6.5/10·GDELT Events Historical·Cedar City, Utah

Primary Source ↗Details →