Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·b646403

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

75 signals for Disaster+Health+Political · United States · Resolution

Page 1 of 3

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran4d ago

President Trump announced that Iran has agreed not to acquire nuclear weapons. The statement references Mojtaba Khamenei (the Supreme Leader's son) in connection with the agreement, though the content appears incomplete.

8.5/10·IranWire

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel13d ago

A ceasefire has been announced in the conflict involving Iran, the United States, and Israel. The day after the announcement, Soran Mansournia received a direct call, suggesting ongoing diplomatic coordination.

8.5/10·IranWire

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon6d ago

US President Donald Trump announced Monday that he conducted separate phone calls with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Hezbollah leadership, resulting in both parties agreeing not to attack each other.

8.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon+15d ago

U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Monday that Israel and Hezbollah have agreed to cease mutual attacks, following his phone conversations with representatives of Hezbollah and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in response to Iranian threats.

7.5/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States29d ago

President Trump announced a three-day ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war to coincide with Russia's May 9 Victory Day celebrations, marking a notable diplomatic intervention in one of the world's most consequential ongoing conflicts.

7.5/10·DR Nyheder (Denmark)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇱Israel 🇱🇧Lebanon 🇺🇸United States2d ago

Israel and Lebanon have agreed to renew their ceasefire and create pilot security zones in southern Lebanon where Hezbollah operatives would be barred, following US-mediated talks in Washington. The arrangement requires a complete halt to Hezbollah attacks and withdrawal of its forces from the border region to the Litani River, with further comprehensive negotiations scheduled for June 22.

7.2/10·Greater Kashmir·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States 🇵🇰Pakistan29d ago

Peace talks over the 10-week Iran war have produced a concrete 14-point memorandum of understanding, drafted by U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, which Pakistani mediators have transmitted to Tehran for review — the most substantive diplomatic development since the conflict began.

7.2/10·France 24 World·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States30d ago

The U.S. Court of International Trade blocked Trump's across-the-board 10% tariff on most imports, ruling that the president had improperly invoked a decades-old trade law as the legal basis for the duties.

7.2/10·La Prensa Libre (Guatemala — Spanish, expanded)·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇨🇳China17d ago

President Donald Trump visited China from May 13–15 at the invitation of President Xi Jinping, marking his first visit to Chinese territory in nine years. The two leaders held strategic talks on bilateral relations, world peace, and development, and reached multiple agreements to guide future Sino-U.S. cooperation.

7.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇨🇳China17d ago

President Donald Trump conducted a state visit to China from May 13–15, 2026, at the invitation of President Xi Jinping. The first such visit in nine years, the meeting included frank discussions on bilateral relations, world peace, and development, with both leaders reaching important agreements on the direction of US-China relations.

7.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo Internacional

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States10d ago

The US Supreme Court ruled 5-4 in favor of Terry Pitchford, a Black man on death row in Mississippi, finding that his capital murder conviction was affected by racial bias in jury selection. The decision overturns the conviction or mandates a new trial, affirming constitutional protections against discriminatory jury practices.

6.5/10·The Guardian World·Jackson, Mississippi

Primary Source ↗Details →

HealthResolution🇺🇸United States12d ago

Opioid-related overdose deaths in Maryland have plummeted 57% from their pandemic peak, dropping from over 2,500 deaths to just under 1,100 in 2025, according to a Capital News Service analysis.

6.5/10·Maryland Matters·Maryland

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇶🇦Qatar+218d ago

The US president announced a decision to postpone resumption of hostilities against Iran following requests from Qatar, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia.

6.5/10·TASS

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States18d ago

Donald Trump has withdrawn a $10 billion lawsuit against tax authorities. As part of the settlement, Trump has been granted personal exoneration and the government has agreed to establish a $1.776 billion fund to compensate victims of judicial abuse.

6.5/10·Les Echos (Monde)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇦Ukraine 🇷🇺Russia 🇺🇸United States29d ago

Donald Trump has expressed hope that a temporary ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia could be extended beyond its initial duration, signaling U.S. interest in building toward a more durable halt to the fighting.

6.5/10·DR Nyheder (Denmark)

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇧🇷Brazil 🇲🇱Mali30d ago

Presidents Lula and Trump met at the White House for nearly three hours, declaring an end to one of the deepest crises in US-Brazil relations in 200 years and agreeing to set up bilateral channels covering trade, security, and regional cooperation.

6.5/10·MercoPress·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇵🇰Pakistan31d ago

The US and Iran are edging toward a temporary ceasefire deal that would halt fighting and protect shipping lanes while longer-term negotiations continue, with Pakistani officials saying an interim agreement could be reached as early as this weekend and that Tehran is reviewing a US proposal.

6.5/10·The Guardian World·Islamabad, Islamabad

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran31d ago

The United States and Iran are moving toward a short-term agreement to end their current fighting, according to reporting by Kayhan Life, suggesting back-channel diplomacy may be gaining traction between the two long-standing adversaries.

6.5/10·Kayhan London

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇻🇪Venezuela 🇺🇸United States17d ago

Three former Venezuelan metropolitan police officers—Erasmo Bolívar, Héctor Rovaín, and Luis Molina—were released from Phoenix Penitentiary in Lara state after spending more than 20 years imprisoned for alleged involvement in the 2002 coup attempt against Hugo Chávez. The release came via humanitarian probation measures as part of a broader announced plan to free 300 detainees, following U.S. pressure on the Maduro government to release political prisoners.

6.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Caracas, Lara

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel9d ago

United States President Donald Trump finds himself in a bind as he seeks to end the war against Iran: he is under pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and get US gasoline prices down, but at the same time faces a potential backlash from Iran hawks in his own party over any concessions to Tehran. Trump’s dilemma became clear during a week of hectic diplomacy marked by word of an emerging framework deal that, according to sources familiar with the matter, would extend a current ceasefire and release Iran’s stranglehold on the vital oil-shipping route while deferring discussions of its nuclear programme. Such an interim agreement, if approved by Trump and Iran’s rulers, would amount to the most significant step toward peace since he joined with Israel in attacking Iran on February 28, and could ease the soaring energy prices the conflict has triggered.

6.1/10·Dawn·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇷Iran 🇮🇱Israel+19d ago

# Translation Despite the initial Lebanese anticipation of an expected understanding between the United States and Iran that is supposed to contribute to stabilizing the ceasefire in the war between Israel and Hezbollah due to the latter's major stakes in Iran and its engagement at this level, which gives it justification for stopping the war from its side at least, diplomatic information confirms that the limits of Iran's relationship with the Lebanese file will stop at only this point. While there are confirmations in Washington at least until now of separating the path of negotiations between Lebanon and Israel from the effects of the influence of negotiations on the Iranian file or its repercussions in light of Iran's direct interest in preventing further weakening of Hezbollah and ending its capabilities. As the official Lebanese government succeeded in ensuring the neutralization of Beirut and vital institutions and infrastructure in the ongoing war between Israel and the party that has escalated following a recent escalation between the two sides that threatened to return Israeli bombardment to Hezbollah-controlled areas in Beirut, while Tel Aviv brought up coordination with Washington in order to target a party leader in Shuyifat as a way of revealing that it adheres to American lines drawn regarding the neutralization of the Lebanese capital and even destroying buildings on the pretext of targeting specific leaders or elements, and that it does not deviate from them except with prior coordination in order not to obstruct the ongoing negotiations between Washington and Tehran and in order not to embarrass the Lebanese state and destroy its capabilities, which gives Hezbollah cards of strength against it.

6.1/10·Nahar·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇮🇷Iran 🇺🇸United States9d ago

# Translation US President Donald Trump finds himself in a predicament as he seeks to end the war against Iran: he is under pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and lower gasoline prices in the United States, but at the same time he may face a fierce backlash from Iran hawks within the Republican Party if he makes any concessions to Tehran. The contours of Trump's dilemma became clear in a week of intensive diplomatic efforts, with informed sources speaking of a preliminary agreement that would extend the current ceasefire and reduce Iran's control over the vital Strait of Hormuz for oil supplies, while postponing discussions about Tehran's nuclear program. This interim agreement, if approved by Trump and Iran's leaders, would be the most significant step toward peace since he joined Israel in the war against the Islamic Republic on February 28, and could ease the rising energy prices resulting from the conflict.

6.1/10·Nahar·Tehran, Tehran

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United Statesyesterday

A federal judge in Rhode Island struck down restrictions imposed by President Trump's administration that had blocked asylum requests, work authorizations, green card processing, and citizenship applications for nationals of 39 countries.

6.0/10·Folha de S.Paulo (Brazil — Portuguese)·Providence, Rhode Island

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇮🇱Israel17d ago

A U.S. federal court invalidated sanctions imposed by the Trump Administration against Francesca Albanese, the UN Special Rapporteur on human rights in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, after finding they likely violated constitutional protections for freedom of expression. The Treasury Department removed her name from the OFAC sanctions list following the May 13 court ruling, restoring her ability to travel and conduct financial transactions.

5.5/10·eldiario.es·Washington, District of Columbia

Primary Source ↗Details →

PoliticalResolution🇺🇸United States 🇨🇭Switzerland 🇵🇸Palestine+317d ago

The US Treasury Department has lifted sanctions against UN special rapporteur on Palestinian territories Francesca Albanese after a federal judge found the Trump administration likely violated her free speech rights by penalizing her public criticism of Israel's conduct in Gaza. The ruling represents a significant judicial limitation on executive power to weaponize sanctions against speech.

5.5/10·Middle East Eye (RSS)·Geneva, Illinois

Primary Source ↗Details →