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Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades

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Congress & Markets0 trades · 0 bills · 10 markets · 0 hearings

Prediction Markets(10)

96%Brazilian president's Supreme Court nomination rejected by Senate?manifold

96%PA Supreme Court justices Donohue, Dougherty, and Wecht retention votes? YES or …manifold

95%Mojtaba Khamenei Supreme Leader of Iran on July 1st, 2026manifold

91%

Will Iranian Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council Hossein Deghan s…

manifold

73%Will Americans' confidence in the Supreme Court decline in 2026, according to Ga…manifold

69%No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026?manifold

65%Will a prediction market-related court case reach the Supreme Court before 2029?manifold

64%Will Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?manifold

60%Clarence Thomas becomes longest serving Supreme Court Justice?manifold

45%Will Congress confirm a Supreme Court justice in 2026?predictit

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Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

158 signals for "supreme" · Economic+Military+Disaster+Supply Chain+Health

Page 4 of 7

MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States24d ago

During oral arguments, the Supreme Judicial Court signaled it might order Attorney General Andrea Campbell and Auditor Diana DiZoglio to agree on a narrow scope of issues by a certain date, in an attempt to force forward movement in the long-running fight about auditing the Legislature.

3.5/10·CommonWealth Beacon

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MilitaryUpdate🇨🇦Canada25d ago

Carney appoints former war crimes prosecutor as Canada governor general Louise Arbour will serve as Canada’s representative of King Charles and carry out ceremonial and constitutional duties Canada’s prime minister, Mark Carney, has appointed a former supreme court justice and war crimes prosecutor as the country’s new governor general, saying her appointment would reflect the importance of global institutions. Louise Arbour, a celebrated jurist, served as United Nations commissioner and prosecuted war crimes in the former Yugoslavia and Rwanda, will serve as Canada’s representative of King Charles III. Continue reading...

3.5/10·The Guardian·Ottawa, Ontario

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MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States26d ago

WA Supreme Court bats down referendum attempt targeting income tax Washington’s Supreme Court on Monday denied a conservative political committee’s request to pursue an attempt to repeal the state’s new income tax law with a referendum this fall. The opposition can still move forward with an initiative to overturn the tax on millionaire earners. But that path to challenging the law will require twice as […]

3.5/10·Washington State Standard

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MilitaryUpdate🇺🇦Ukraine 🇮🇷Iran30d ago

The US Supreme Court has ruled that electoral districts should not be drawn based on the predominant ethnicity of a settlement. This decision could give Republicans a few seats in the House of Representatives, some of which could be gained this year. Trump spent an hour and a half on the phone with Vladimir Putin, confusing Ukraine with Iran.

3.5/10·Deník N (Czech Republic)

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MilitaryUpdate32d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court could be ready to overturn a Missouri state court verdict that favored a man who sued the manufacturer of the popular herbicide Roundup for lacking any warning that the product carried a risk of cancer after oral arguments in the case Monday. The arguments focused on whether states could enforce their […]

3.5/10·Tennessee Lookout

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MilitaryUpdate32d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court could be ready to overturn a Missouri state court verdict that favored a man who sued the manufacturer of the popular herbicide Roundup for lacking any warning that the product carried a risk of cancer after oral arguments in the case Monday. The arguments focused on whether states could enforce their […]

3.5/10·Kentucky Lantern

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HealthUpdate32d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court is considering whether to overturn a Missouri state court verdict favoring a plaintiff who sued Roundup manufacturer for lacking cancer risk warnings. Oral arguments focused on whether states could enforce their own product liability standards regarding herbicide safety disclosures.

3.5/10·New Hampshire Bulletin

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Supply ChainCrisis32d ago

Access to Justice group works to increase resources, attract attorneys to rural Kansas TOPEKA — A “civil justice crisis” in state courts and across the country requires systemic change, and Kansas’ multifaceted approach is making a difference, a Kansas Supreme Court justice said Monday. The state is addressing attorney shortages in rural areas and adding self-help resources for Kansans representing themselves, among other projects designed to make the […]

3.5/10·Kansas Reflector

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MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States32d ago

US Supreme Court weighs how far police investigations can go in using cellphone location data The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday appeared likely to allow law enforcement to continue seeking warrants for the location history of cellphones near crime scenes, even as the justices wrestled with how far the government must go to protect Americans’ privacy. Some of the justices appeared to be searching for a middle ground during oral arguments […]

3.5/10·Nebraska Examiner

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MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States33d ago

US Supreme Court weighs how far police investigations can go in using cellphone location data The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday appeared likely to allow law enforcement to continue seeking warrants for the location history of cellphones near crime scenes, even as the justices wrestled with how far the government must go to protect Americans’ privacy. Some of the justices appeared to be searching for a middle ground during oral arguments […]

3.5/10·NC Policy Watch

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MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States33d ago

US Supreme Court weighs how far police investigations can go in using cellphone location data The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday appeared likely to allow law enforcement to continue seeking warrants for the location history of cellphones near crime scenes, even as the justices wrestled with how far the government must go to protect Americans’ privacy. Some of the justices appeared to be searching for a middle ground during oral arguments […]

3.5/10·Washington State Standard

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MilitaryUpdate🇺🇸United States33d ago

Nebraska Supreme Court hears appeal in medical cannabis federal preemption case LINCOLN — The Nebraska Supreme Court heard a technical appeal Monday in a second case in six months asking the high court to void Nebraska’s medical cannabis laws. Both cases have been brought by former State Sen. John Kuehn of Heartwell, a longtime opponent to marijuana, who alleges Nebraska can’t move forward with medical cannabis because […]

3.5/10·Nebraska Examiner

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EconomicCrisis39d ago

The U.S. Customs and Border Protection launched a tariff refund system allowing importers and brokers to recoup $166 billion in import taxes from Trump's emergency tariffs that were invalidated by the Supreme Court in February. Small business advocates characterize the refund process as complex, marking an initial step for entrepreneurs to recover accrued import taxes.

3.5/10·Kansas Reflector

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EconomicCrisis39d ago

The U.S. Customs and Border Protection tariff refund system went live Monday, allowing small businesses and importers to recoup $166 billion in import taxes accrued under President Donald Trump's emergency tariffs that were struck down by the Supreme Court in February. Importers and brokers can now upload documentation to claim refunds through this newly operational system.

3.5/10·New Hampshire Bulletin

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EconomicCrisis40d ago

The U.S. Customs and Border Protection tariff refund system launched Monday to process $166 billion in import tax refunds for small businesses and importers following the Supreme Court's February strike-down of Trump's emergency tariffs. The system allows importers and brokers to upload documentation to reclaim accrued duties.

3.5/10·Washington State Standard

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EconomicUpdate29d ago

The Ohio Supreme Court has issued a ruling unfavorable to third-party submetering companies that manage electricity service and billing at apartment complexes. These companies operate on margin between wholesale and retail energy costs, purchasing electricity in bulk at lower rates and reselling at higher rates to residents.

3.2/10·Ohio Capital Journal

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HealthUpdate🇺🇸United States11d ago

Republicans on a U.S. Senate panel suggested Tuesday a recent Supreme Court decision weakening the federal Voting Rights Act invalidated U.S. House districts in Democratic states where most residents belong to a racial minority group.

3.1/10·Washington State Standard

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Supply ChainUpdate🇺🇸United States11d ago

More than 1.6 million Virginians voted to amend the Virginia Constitution and temporarily redraw congressional districts ahead of this November’s midterm elections. Supporters hoped the measure would counter efforts in Texas and other Republican-controlled states to engineer partisan advantages through midcycle redistricting. On May 8, the Virginia Supreme Court, in a 4-3 decision, nullified the […]

3.1/10·Virginia Mercury

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Supply ChainUpdate🇧🇷Brazil 🇴🇲Oman12d ago

At a time when the Supreme Court (STF) has only one minister among its 10 magistrates, 51% of Brazilians say it is very important and 18% somewhat important to choose a woman for the court. Another 27% say this criterion is not important at all. Read more (05/18/2026 - 23h00)

3.1/10·Folha de S.Paulo

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MilitaryUpdate🇮🇩Indonesia12d ago

TAUD lawyers, including Andrie Yunus, report a panel of military court judges to the Supreme Court, alleging violations of the judges' code of ethics and conduct guidelines.

3.1/10·Tempo (id)

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Supply ChainUpdate🇺🇸United States12d ago

I have two questions. First, why did the U.S. Supreme Court issue its decision gutting the <a href="https://www.adn.com/nation-world/2026/04/30/supreme-court-hollows-out-a-landmark-law-that-had-protected-minority-voting-rights-for-6-decades/" target="_blank" rel="" title="https://www.adn.com/nation-world/2026/04/30/supreme-court-hollows-out-a-landmark-law-that-had-protected-minority-voting-rights-for-6-decades/">Voting Rights Act</a> on April 29?

3.1/10·Anchorage Daily News

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Supply ChainUpdate🇮🇷Iran 🇫🇷France12d ago

Iran's top security body announced on Monday the formation of a new body to manage the Strait of Hormuz, which Tehran has effectively closed and wants to charge ships to traverse. On its official X account, the Supreme National Security Council shared a post for the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) saying it would provide "real?time updates on the #Hormuz_Strait operations and latest developments." FRANCE 24's Reza Sayah reports from Tehran.

3.1/10·France 24 English·Tehran, Tehran

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Supply ChainUpdate🇷🇺Russia12d ago

Russia’s Supreme Court has received its first lawsuit challenging a law that restricts benefits for the unmarried partners of fallen Russian soldiers, the Russian business daily Kommersant reported.

3.1/10·Meduza English

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HealthCrisis🇺🇸United States12d ago

The U.S. Supreme Court’s decision late Friday to reject Virginia Democrats’ emergency appeal over congressional redistricting effectively ended any remaining effort to revive the state’s redistricting referendum, triggering a wave of Democratic campaign suspensions over the weekend and forcing both parties to quickly regroup ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Several Democrats who launched campaigns […]

3.1/10·Virginia Mercury

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Supply ChainUpdate🇪🇸Spain12d ago

Spain's Supreme Court acquits Shakira of tax evasion and the Spanish state is to pay her EUR 69.8 million, equivalent to over SEK 767 million, reports Reuters .

3.1/10·SVT Nyheter (Sweden)

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