Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades Trade Leaderboard Watchlist Dashboard

Real-time global intelligence

© 2026 OpenWatch. All rights reserved.

For informational and entertainment purposes only. Not investment advice.

Platform

Brief
Signals
Cascade
Trajectories
Wagers
Track Record
Countries
Companies
Industries
Themes
Rankings

Tools

Globe
Analytics
Crises
Clusters
Supply Chain
Alliances
Screener
Watchlist
Portfolio

Developer

Status

Sources

View all sources →

1,000+ tracked sources

Signals updated every 15 minutes

Not investment advice. OpenWatch is provided for informational and entertainment purposes only. While we strive for accuracy, precision, and source attribution in all intelligence assessments, geopolitical analysis involves inherent uncertainty and our conclusions may be incomplete, delayed, or incorrect. Nothing on this platform constitutes financial, investment, legal, or professional advice of any kind. Forward-looking scenarios and probability estimates are analytical hypotheses — not independently validated forecasts. Any actions taken based on information found here are solely your responsibility. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past signal patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.

Methodology
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use

openwatch.io

v·4631b1c

Prediction Markets All Markets Congress Trades Trade Leaderboard Watchlist Dashboard

Search

Congressional trades, bills, prediction markets, hearings, and intelligence signals. Signal search supports: AND OR "exact phrase" -exclude

Keywords

Threat Layer

Military Cyber Economic Disaster Political Criminal Health Supply Chain

Signal Type

Any Crisis Update Resolution

Region

Country

Min. Severity

Any ≥ 3 ≥ 5 ≥ 7 ≥ 9

Date Range

Clear all filters

Sort by

Severity Newest

↓Export CSV (requires API key)

Themes:🧠AI Chip Bottleneck 🛡US Defense Surge 🚢Red Sea Escalation ⚓Shipping Lane Fragmentation

168 signals for Economic+Supply Chain+Cyber+Health+Criminal · United Arab Emirates

Page 1 of 7

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates

+1

13d ago

Oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have plummeted to 95% below normal levels, signaling a severe disruption of one of the world's most critical energy transit routes.

8.2/10·MarketWatch·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+114d ago

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is creating disruptions not seen since the 1970s, forcing Asia and Europe to scramble to manage energy supplies and redirect shipping as one of the world's most critical chokepoints for oil and natural gas becomes impassable or severely constrained.

8.2/10·El País América (Spanish)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates14d ago

The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization warned Wednesday that closure of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger a severe global food price crisis within six to 12 months, describing the disruption as the beginning of a 'systemic agrifood shock' rather than a temporary shipping problem.

7.8/10·Club of Mozambique (additional)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+114d ago

A crisis in the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted approximately one-fifth of global liquefied natural gas flows, with cumulative crude oil supply losses exceeding 1 billion barrels since March. Governments are rationing fuel and urging conservation as the International Energy Agency warns of a 3.9 million barrel daily shortfall for the year.

7.2/10·Oil Price (Energy Intel)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+214d ago

The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization has warned that closure or sustained disruption of the Strait of Hormuz will spark a systemic global food crisis, with prices rising sharply within 6–12 months. The FAO reports its Food Price Index has already risen for three consecutive months due to high energy costs and Middle East conflict disruptions, and forecasts a cascading chain of impacts: energy shortages → fertilizer scarcity → lower yields → commodity inflation → widespread food insecurity, potentially affecting millions. The agency called for alternative trade corridors, relaxed export restrictions, and increased domestic resilience measures to mitigate the crisis.

7.2/10·El Colombiano (Medellín)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇴🇲Oman 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates14d ago

Analysis warns that a sustained closure of the Strait of Hormuz could produce the worst global energy supply disruption in decades, with oil prices potentially approaching $200 per barrel under worst-case conditions.

7.2/10·gCaptain·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

CyberCrisis🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇺🇸United States15d ago

A drone strike near the Barakah Nuclear Power Plant in the United Arab Emirates has prompted an emergency UN Security Council session in New York. IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi briefed council members as regional nuclear safety concerns escalate.

7.2/10·UN News·New York, Abu Dhabi

Primary Source ↗Details →

Supply ChainCrisis🇩🇪Germany 🇮🇷Iran 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates+143d ago

Jet fuel shortages caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have forced Lufthansa to cancel 20,000 flights, with experts warning that further cancellations and price increases are likely across the aviation sector.

7.2/10·Deutsche Welle (DW) English·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates46d ago

Reports of conflict in Dubai [4 sources]

7.0/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

EconomicCrisis🇮🇷Iran 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates 🇴🇲Oman14d ago

More than 160 oil tankers are stranded in the Persian Gulf as Iran tightens its control over the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most critical energy transit routes and a flashpoint for regional tensions.

6.8/10·Nikkei Asia (NAR feed)·Strait Of Hormuz

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates38d ago

Dubai applied coercive pressure in Dubai [3 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates38d ago

Dubai applied coercive pressure on Airline in Dubai [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates38d ago

Dubai applied coercive pressure in Dubai [8 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates38d ago

Australian applied coercive pressure on United Arab Emirates in Dubai [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates38d ago

Dubai applied coercive pressure on Cartel in Dubai [8 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates38d ago

Thai applied coercive pressure on Indonesian in Dubai [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates38d ago

Culprit applied coercive pressure in Dubai [3 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates38d ago

District Court applied coercive pressure on United Arab Emirates in Dubai [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates39d ago

Dubai applied coercive pressure in Dubai [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates39d ago

Residents applied coercive pressure in Zahrani [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates40d ago

Dubai applied coercive pressure in Dubai [70 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates40d ago

Dubai applied coercive pressure on Cartel in Dubai [6 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates40d ago

United Arab Emirates applied coercive pressure in Dubai [4 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates41d ago

Dubai applied coercive pressure in Dubai [30 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →

CriminalUpdate🇦🇪United Arab Emirates41d ago

United Arab Emirates applied coercive pressure on Tourist in United Arab Emirates [5 sources]

6.8/10·GDELT Events Historical

Primary Source ↗Details →