🇳🇵 Nepal — Investment Hypothesis

How the 68/100 neutral score was derived from OSINT signals.

Investment Thesis

NP signals are stable with no significant trend. 51 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Score Breakdown

Signal trend (direction + momentum)

30 / 30

Market pricing gap

15 / 25

Source quality + recency

8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind

10 / 20

Total Score68 / 100

Key Risk Factors

⚠Chronic coalition instability→ signals ⚠India-China balancing limits big deals→ signals ⚠Seismic risk in hydropower regions→ signals ⚠Capital market depth constraints→ signals

Supporting Signals — Last 30 Days (15 highest-significance)

Military — 8 signals

4/23/20268.5

Nepali carried out physical assault on Nepalese in Muktinath [8 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/22/20268.3

Minist reported tensions in Sundari Jal [5 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/22/20268.3

Nepal reported tensions in Kathmandu [4 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/21/20268.3

Nepal reported tensions in Kathmandu [4 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/28/20268.3

Reports of tensions in Balaju [6 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/23/20268.2

Nepal carried out physical assault on Commander in Nepal [8 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/26/20267.5

Armed Police deployed military forces in Gairigaun [10 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/24/20267.5

Security Force deployed military forces in Kathmandu Valley [8 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

Political — 3 signals

4/26/20268.5

Reports of tensions in Maharajganj [8 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/26/20268.5

Reports of tensions in Nepal [10 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/21/20268.5

Reports of tensions in Mount Everest [7 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

Criminal — 4 signals

4/24/20268.2

Reports of coercive pressure in Biratnagar [10 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/25/20268.2

Kathmandu applied coercive pressure in Kathmandu [3 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/24/20268.2

Government applied coercive pressure in Kathmandu [5 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/20/20268.2

Nepal applied coercive pressure in Butwal [6 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

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