Cross-domain signals42thin · 2 src2 sources

Country risk1OSINT1

NEUTRAL

48Signal Score · /100

171

Signals 7d

0%

Market Gap

↑56%

Signal Trend

↓ Export Brief ⇄ Compare

NP signals are stable with no significant trend. 171 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Ground Conditions

Threat level

Critical

266/wk · base 171

Signal trend

56%

30-day baseline

Market Implication

Thesis score

48 /100

neutral

How strong is the investment case

Market gap

−0%

vs. model value

Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.

Investment thesis strength

NEUTRAL

Threat signal intensity

72h window

Thesis components

0/30

15/25

8/25

10/20

Total: 33/100Methodology →

Sentiment↓

48/100 · Top 40% of 297 countries · ⓘ

Score Trend (30d)

Industries

Opportunities

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Risks

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Companies

Opportunities

No tracked companies for this country yet

Risks

No tracked companies for this country yet

Investment Thesis

NP signals are stable with no significant trend. 171 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

What drove this? →

Supporting signals

9/104/26/2026

Reports of tensions in Nepal [10 sources]

→ Details

9/104/26/2026

Reports of tensions in Maharajganj [8 sources]

→ Details

⚠ Chronic coalition instability ⚠ India-China balancing limits big deals ⚠ Seismic risk in hydropower regions ⚠ Capital market depth constraints

Structural Risk Indicators

Partial

Debt / GDP

—

% of GDP

No Data

FX Reserves

13.0 mo

months import cover

Strong

Fiscal Balance

—

% of GDP

No Data

Current Account

—

% of GDP

No Data

Debt Service

1.2%

% of exports

Manageable

IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026

US-listed funds with exposure

📡 News clusters · 72hAll 171 →

⚔️Military11

Nepali carried out physical assault on Nepalese in Muktinath [8 sources]

sig 7.911 signals

🗳Political5

Reports of tensions in Nepal [10 sources]

sig 8.05 signals

🔍Criminal4

Nepal applied coercive pressure in Butwal [6 sources]

sig 8.24 signals

🎯 Key scenariosAll →

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📈 Key stocksAll →

No company data available.

Market Pricing Analysis

Market gap0%

Signal trend (7d)↑ 56% vs 7d avg

Recommended actionNEUTRAL

Score Breakdown — 48 / 100

Signal trend (direction + momentum)0 / 30

Market pricing gap15 / 25

Source quality + recency8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind10 / 20

Total48 / 100

Key Opportunity Signals

✦Reports of tensions in Nepal [10 sources]✦Reports of tensions in Maharajganj [8 sources]✦Reports of tensions in Mount Everest [7 sources]

Key Risk Factors

⚠Chronic coalition instability ⚠India-China balancing limits big deals ⚠Seismic risk in hydropower regions ⚠Capital market depth constraints

Recent Signals

🇳🇵 Nepal

Industries

Companies