Side-by-side country risk comparison
| Metric | ๐บ๐ธ United States | ๐จ๐ณ China |
|---|---|---|
| Debt / GDP | 142.1%โ | 126.8%โ |
| Fiscal Deficit | -3.1% GDPโ | -6.4% GDPโ |
| Current Account | -3.6% GDPโ | 2.8% GDPโ |
| FX Reserves |
AI-matched prediction markets โ agree or disagree, the decision is yours. Clicking opens the provider's site.
Frontier model achieving 90% on FrontierMath directly measures state-of-the-art AI model capability advancementโcore metric tracking frontier model race progression and compute allocation efficiency across leading labs.
https://openwatch.io/compare?a=US&b=CN11.2moโ |
Federal Reserve will execute 10 cuts of 25 basis points in 2026, directly reflecting the orderly rate-cut cycle scenario triggered by fed-policy-reversal conditions.
Explicitly asks whether US undergoes stagflation before 2026 midterms; combines inflation and unemployment components that define stagflation trap triggered by Fed policy reversal.
Total Fed rate cuts in 2026 is the primary metric for a cutting cycle. Resolution reflects whether Fed follows through on rate reductions and how many cuts occur before any pause or reversal.
Brent crude above $100/barrel reflects the risk-premium embedded in oil prices due to Persian Gulf shipping disruptions and war-risk concerns.
For entertainment and research purposes only. OpenWatch tracks trends and signals โ not real-time prices. Data updates every 4 hours. We do not recommend any position. All wager decisions are solely your responsibility.
Markets are matched to OpenWatch scenarios by an AI worker that runs every 4 hours. New markets and price changes may not be reflected immediately.