Side-by-side country risk comparison
| Metric | ๐ฎ๐ณ India | ๐ง๐ท Brazil |
|---|---|---|
| Debt / GDP | 77.7%โ | 106.5%โ |
| Fiscal Deficit | -1.5% GDPโ | 0.6% GDPโ |
| Current Account | -1.9% GDPโ | -1.8% GDPโ |
| FX Reserves |
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Explicitly asks whether US undergoes stagflation before 2026 midterms; combines inflation and unemployment components that define stagflation trap triggered by Fed policy reversal.
https://openwatch.io/compare?a=IN&b=BR8.0moโ |
Direct match on recession trigger. Resolves on US recession occurrence in 2026, core outcome of fed-policy-reversal scenario.
Federal Reserve rate-cut decisions in 2026 directly reflect policy reversal from tightening to easing, core mechanism enabling soft-landing scenario.
The US will experience stagflation before the end of 2026. Directly measures the stagflation scenario combining elevated inflation with economic contraction or stagnation.
Fed reversal from restrictive to accommodative policy signals recession risk. Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth is the formal recession definition and primary outcome of fed-policy-reversal trigger.
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