LVMH faces a luxury normalization cycle with Chinese consumer demand below pre-pandemic levels and aspirational luxury buyers retreating across Europe and US. Top-end clienteling and ultra-high-end categories (Tiffany Hard Luxury, leather goods) remain resilient. Wines & Spirits and Sephora outperform. Margin discipline maintained but unit growth muted. Long-term brand moat intact but cyclical headwinds persist through 2026.
| Ticker | Company | Score | Gap | Signal Δ | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | Diageo PLC | 47 | +8% | ↑2% | NEUTRAL |
| CL | Colgate-Palmolive Company | 47 | +7% | ↑2% | NEUTRAL |
| MAR | Marriott International Inc. | 47 | +9% | ↑2% | EARLY |
| MO | Altria Group Inc. | 47 | +6% | ↑2% | NEUTRAL |
| HD | The Home Depot Inc. | 47 | +13% | ↑2% | EARLY |
| LOW | Lowe's Companies Inc. | 47 | +10% | ↑2% | NEUTRAL |
| NIO | NIO Inc | 47 | -10% | ↑2% | AVOID |
LVMH Q1 organic growth +3%, China remains pressured
Aspirational luxury demand weak across Vuitton and Dior leather goods
Estimates · Yahoo Finance · Not audited figures