Diageo's premium spirits portfolio (Johnnie Walker, Don Julio, Guinness) faces cyclical headwinds from post-COVID destocking in the US tequila category and softer Latin American consumer demand. Long-term super-premiumization thesis remains intact, but near-term earnings visibility is poor. Management transition under new CEO and inventory rebalancing should bottom in 2026. African Guinness growth and India operations provide structural offsets.
| Ticker | Company | Score | Gap | Signal Δ | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAR | Marriott International Inc. | 47 | +9% | ↑2% | EARLY |
| CL | Colgate-Palmolive Company | 47 | +7% | ↑2% | NEUTRAL |
| DEO | Diageo PLC | 47 | +8% | ↑2% | NEUTRAL |
| LOW | Lowe's Companies Inc. | 47 | +10% | ↑2% | NEUTRAL |
| COST | Costco Wholesale Corporation | 47 | +9% | ↑2% | NEUTRAL |
| NIO | NIO Inc | 47 | -10% | ↑2% | AVOID |
| RACE | Ferrari NV | 47 | +17% | ↑2% | EARLY |
Diageo flags continued US tequila destocking through 2026
Guinness 0.0 drives non-alcoholic category leadership in UK and Ireland
Estimates · Yahoo Finance · Not audited figures