EARLYThesis forming — early stage, needs conviction
Investment Thesis
Bradesco is mid-turnaround under the new CEO with credit cleanup largely complete after the painful 2023-2024 cycle. ROE recovering toward 16-17% as provisioning normalizes. Loan book is shifting toward higher-margin retail and SME. Trades at material discount to Itau despite improving fundamentals. Brazilian rate-cut cycle provides macro tailwind.