• sell Dwight Evans(Democrat)$1K–$15K · May 7, 2026
• buy Cliff Bentz(Republican)$1K–$15K · Apr 9, 2026

• Will “Artificial Intelligence” be the #1 reason for job cuts in Challenger’s May 2026 report?

  kalshi · $37K vol

  89%

• Will Bill Pulte formally hold the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before July 1, 2026?

  kalshi · $7K vol

  4%

• Will the US President or UK Prime Minister confirm the existence of Non-Human Intelligence (NHI) before the end of 2026?

  manifold · $74.018 vol

  7%

• Will “Artificial Intelligence” be the #1 reason for job cuts in Challenger’s June 2026 report?

  kalshi · $71.01 vol

  92%

• 4. Discourse about AGI and superintelligence will become less fashionable and less common.

  manifold · $24.945 vol

  55%

• Will the US Government - Intel deal happen?

  manifold · $19.77 vol

  79%

• Are pigs sentient? [Resolves to superintelligence]

  manifold · $19.225 vol

  88%

• Will "Superintelligence Alignment Seminar (1 month ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

  manifold · $17.984 vol

  11%

• Will Bill Pulte formally hold the role of Acting Director of National Intelligence before July 7, 2026?

  kalshi · $16.74 vol

  58%

• By the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.

  manifold · $12.767 vol

  37%

• H&M STRATEGIES LLP$50K · 2026 first_quarter
  MANSCI
• VAN SCOYOC ASSOCIATES$10K · 2026 first_quarter
  BUDDEF
• VAN SCOYOC ASSOCIATES— · 2026 first_quarter
• VENTURE GOVERNMENT STRATEGIES, LLC (FKA HOBART HALLAWAY & QUAYLE VENTURES, LLC)$60K · 2026 first_quarter
  BUD
• EMANUEL & ASSOCIATES, INC. (FKA ADAM EMANUEL)— · 2026 first_quarter
• THORN RUN PARTNERS$140K · 2026 first_quarter
  SCITRA
• RADIUS ADVOCACY, LLC$40K · 2026 first_quarter
  TEC
• ICEBREAKER STRATEGIES, LLC$50K · 2026 first_quarter
  BUD
• LIBERTY PARTNERS GROUP, LLC$30K · 2026 first_quarter
  HCRMMM
• S-3 GROUP$60K · 2026 first_quarter
  BUDDEFMANSCITRD

No insider transactions filed in the last 90 days.

• Department of Defense$121.7M · Feb 7, 2020
• Department of State$45.0M · May 9, 2019
• Department of Homeland Security$36.3M · Feb 26, 2026
• Department of the Treasury$34.4M · Jul 1, 2022
• Department of Justice$33.5M · Jul 1, 2023
• Department of Homeland Security$29.9M · Sep 26, 2025
• Department of Justice$28.1M · Apr 1, 2026
• Department of Defense$27.0M · Aug 1, 2024
• Department of Defense$20.1M · Mar 1, 2024
• Department of the Treasury$17.7M · Dec 4, 2023