• buy Donald J. Trump(Republican)$100K–$100K · Mar 12, 2026

• Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?

  polymarket · $198K vol

  17%

• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?

  polymarket · $146K vol

  2%

• Will Azamat Murzakanov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

  polymarket · $958.102 vol

  1%

• Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade?

  manifold · $14.55 vol

  15%

• Jessie Eisenberg plays Sam Altman in any dramatic production by end 2030

  manifold · $13.254 vol

  16%

• If I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?

  manifold · $12.449 vol

  25%

• Will any municipality in Ontario get amalgamated before Doug Ford leaves office?

  manifold · $3.675 vol

  15%

• In exactly two years, will two shares of Applied Micro Devices (AMD) be worth more than one share of Microsoft (MSFT)?

  manifold · $2.518 vol

  61%

• Masterton, Carterton, and South Wairarapa District Councils amalgamate before 2030?

  manifold · $2 vol

  55%

• Will "Pretraining on Aligned AI Data Dramatically R..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

  manifold · $1.673 vol

  13%

• NEW LANTERN, LLC$15K · 2026 first_quarter
  CPIDEFDISHOMSCI
• THORN RUN PARTNERS$70K · 2026 first_quarter
  BUDMANSCI
• CGCN GROUP, LLC— · 2026 first_quarter
• APPLIED MATERIALS, INC$760K · 2026 first_quarter
  LBRMANSCITAXTRD
• CONTINENTAL STRATEGY, LLC$90K · 2026 first_quarter
  TRD
• ICEBREAKER STRATEGIES, LLC$60K · 2026 first_quarter
  BUD
• MERCHANT MCINTYRE & ASSOCIATES, LLC$30K · 2026 first_quarter
  BUD
• ERVIN GRAVES STRATEGY GROUP, LLC$30K · 2026 first_quarter
  DEF
• ICEBREAKER STRATEGIES, LLC$70K · 2026 first_quarter
  BUDDEF
• MEHLMAN CONSULTING, INC.$60K · 2026 first_quarter
  BUDMANSCITAXTRD

No insider transactions filed in the last 90 days.

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