How the war on Iran will redefine the Middle East order Submitted by Ahmed Mawlana on Mon, 06/15/2026 - 16:29 The conflict has upended long-held beliefs about the US security umbrella, fuelling a broader regional realignment The foreign ministers of Egypt, Pakistan, Turkey and Saudi Arabia pose for a photo during a diplomacy forum in Antalya, Turkey, on 17 April 2026 (Turkish Foreign Ministry/AFP) On Far beyond military outcomes, some wars have the capacity to reshape the region. Iraq ’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990 reorganised the Arab regional order around the American security umbrella, while the 2003 US invasion of Iraq unleashed a wave of sectarian conflict that defined the Middle East for nearly two decades. The recent US - Israeli war against Iran may play a similar role. It has exposed the limits of Washington’s ability to guarantee security for its Gulf partners, and pushed several regional powers to explore new forms of coordination in an increasingly volatile environment. Signs of growing alignment have emerged among Saudi Arabia , Turkey , Egypt and Pakistan .