Amid two years of severe fiscal consolidation, complicated by unexpected impacts from the Middle East crisis, Romania’s economy will post a marginal 0.1% growth in 2026, according to the European Commission’s Spring Forecast published on May 21. This marks a sharp revision from 1.1% under the Autumn Forecast last fall The quasi-stagnation comes after two years of sluggish advance of under 1% per annum, but it looks more optimistic compared to other independent projections. The Commission expects Romania’s economy to rebound at a 2.3% growth in 2027, as the fiscal stance – which measures the fiscal consolidation in terms of structural deficit  – will ease to 0.1% of GDP in 2027 from 2.5% of GDP in 2026 and 2.1% of GDP in 2025.