Cross-domain signals58thin · 2 src2 sources

Country risk1OSINT1

NEUTRAL

57Signal Score · /100

352

Signals 7d

0%

Market Gap

↑21%

Signal Trend

↓ Export Brief ⇄ Compare

Kenya signals are stable with no significant trend. 352 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Ground Conditions

Threat level

Critical

427/wk · base 352

Signal trend

21%

30-day baseline

Market Implication

Thesis score

56.6 /100

neutral

How strong is the investment case

Market gap

−0%

vs. model value

Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.

Investment thesis strength

NEUTRAL

Threat signal intensity

72h window

Thesis components

8.6/30

15/25

8/25

10/20

Total: 41.6/100Methodology →

Sentiment↓

56.6/100 · Top 20% of 297 countries · ⓘ

Score Trend (30d)

Industries

Opportunities

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Risks

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Companies

Opportunities

No tracked companies for this country yet

Risks

No tracked companies for this country yet

Investment Thesis

Kenya signals are stable with no significant trend. 352 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

What drove this? →

Supporting signals

9/104/13/2026

Captain reported tensions with Kenyan in Kenya [7 sources]

→ Details

9/104/20/2026

Kenya reported tensions in Kisii [5 sources]

→ Details

⚠ Gen-Z protests recurrence on tax measures ⚠ Drought cycles still drive food inflation

Structural Risk Indicators

Complete

Debt / GDP

75.1%

% of GDP

Healthy

FX Reserves

4.0 mo

months import cover

Strong

Fiscal Balance

+0.0%

% of GDP

Sustainable

Current Account

-3.2%

% of GDP

Stable

Debt Service

4.8%

% of exports

Manageable

IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026

US-listed funds with exposure

AFKVanEck Africa Index ETF~8% weight · Broad EM/DM

📡 News clusters · 72hAll 352 →

🗳Political15

Captain reported tensions with Kenyan in Kenya [7 sources]

sig 8.515 signals

⚔️Military5

Reports of tensions in Kawangware [6 sources]

sig 8.55 signals

🎯 Key scenariosAll →

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📈 Key stocksAll →

No company data available.

Market Pricing Analysis

Market gap0%

Signal trend (7d)↑ 21% vs 7d avg

Recommended actionNEUTRAL

Score Breakdown — 57 / 100

Signal trend (direction + momentum)9 / 30

Market pricing gap15 / 25

Source quality + recency8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind10 / 20

Total57 / 100

Key Opportunity Signals

✦Captain reported tensions with Kenyan in Kenya [7 sources]✦Kenya reported tensions in Kisii [5 sources]✦Reports of tensions in Nairobi [10 sources]

Key Risk Factors

⚠Gen-Z protests recurrence on tax measures ⚠Drought cycles still drive food inflation

Recent Signals

11/30/2026

6/27/2026

🇰🇪 Kenya

Industries

Companies