Cross-domain signals51thin · 2 src2 sources

Country risk1OSINT1

NEUTRAL

48Signal Score · /100

317

Signals 7d

0%

Market Gap

↑85%

Signal Trend

↓ Export Brief ⇄ Compare

IS signals are stable with no significant trend. 317 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Ground Conditions

Threat level

Critical

587/wk · base 317

Signal trend

85%

30-day baseline

Market Implication

Thesis score

48 /100

neutral

How strong is the investment case

Market gap

−0%

vs. model value

Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.

Investment thesis strength

NEUTRAL

Threat signal intensity

72h window

Thesis components

0/30

15/25

8/25

10/20

Total: 33/100Methodology →

Sentiment↓

48/100 · Top 35% of 297 countries · ⓘ

Score Trend (30d)

Industries

Opportunities

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Risks

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Companies

Opportunities

No tracked companies for this country yet

Risks

No tracked companies for this country yet

Investment Thesis

IS signals are stable with no significant trend. 317 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

What drove this? →

Supporting signals

9/104/20/2026

Actor reported tensions in Israel [6 sources]

→ Details

9/104/20/2026

Israel reported tensions with Iran in Gaza [6 sources]

→ Details

⚠ Renewed volcanic activity disrupting Keflavik flights ⚠ ISK volatility against EUR/USD ⚠ Aluminum smelter contract renegotiations on power pricing

Structural Risk Indicators

Partial

Debt / GDP

—

% of GDP

No Data

FX Reserves

4.8 mo

months import cover

Strong

Fiscal Balance

—

% of GDP

No Data

Current Account

—

% of GDP

No Data

Debt Service

—

% of exports

No Data

IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026

US-listed funds with exposure

📡 News clusters · 72hAll 317 →

🗳Political17

Actor reported tensions in Israel [6 sources]

sig 8.517 signals

⚔️Military2

The UN reported tensions with Israeli in Gaza [5 sources]

sig 8.52 signals

🔍Criminal1

Israel reported tensions with Lebanese in Tel Aviv [4 sources]

sig 8.51 signal

🎯 Key scenariosAll →

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📈 Key stocksAll →

No company data available.

Market Pricing Analysis

Market gap0%

Signal trend (7d)↑ 85% vs 7d avg

Recommended actionNEUTRAL

Score Breakdown — 48 / 100

Signal trend (direction + momentum)0 / 30

Market pricing gap15 / 25

Source quality + recency8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind10 / 20

Total48 / 100

Key Opportunity Signals

✦Actor reported tensions in Israel [6 sources]✦Israel reported tensions with Iran in Gaza [6 sources]✦Israel reported tensions with Hamas in Gaza [4 sources]

Key Risk Factors

⚠Renewed volcanic activity disrupting Keflavik flights ⚠ISK volatility against EUR/USD ⚠Aluminum smelter contract renegotiations on power pricing

Recent Signals

6/28/2026

🇮🇸 Iceland

Industries

Companies