Cross-domain signals25thin · 2 src2 sources

Country risk0OSINT0

NEUTRAL

34Signal Score · /100

12

Signals 7d

0%

Market Gap

↑133%

Signal Trend

↓ Export Brief ⇄ Compare

GA signals are stable with no significant trend. 12 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Ground Conditions

Threat level

Elevated

28/wk · base 12

Signal trend

133%

30-day baseline

Market Implication

Thesis score

34 /100

neutral

How strong is the investment case

Market gap

−0%

vs. model value

Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.

Investment thesis strength

NEUTRAL

Threat signal intensity

72h window

Thesis components

0/30

15/25

8/25

10/20

Total: 33/100Methodology →

Sentiment↓

34/100 · Top 75% of 297 countries · ⓘ

Score Trend (30d)

Industries

Opportunities

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Risks

Industry posture computes once companies have scores

Companies

Opportunities

No tracked companies for this country yet

Risks

No tracked companies for this country yet

Investment Thesis

GA signals are stable with no significant trend. 12 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

What drove this? →

Supporting signals

9/104/23/2026

Gambian reported tensions with Student Protester in Kanilai [7 sources]

→ Details

8/104/23/2026

Gambia carried out physical assault in Bathurst [2 sources]

→ Details

⚠ Transitional government legitimacy contestation ⚠ Oil field maturity and decline curves ⚠ China commodity demand volatility for manganese

Structural Risk Indicators

Partial

Debt / GDP

121.1%

% of GDP

Alarming

FX Reserves

—

months import cover

No Data

Fiscal Balance

-6.3%

% of GDP

Alarming

Current Account

-6.6%

% of GDP

Cautionary

Debt Service

5.7%

% of exports

Manageable

IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026

US-listed funds with exposure

📡 News clusters · 72hAll 12 →

🗳Political7

Gambian reported tensions with Student Protester in Kanilai [7 sources]

sig 6.97 signals

🔍Criminal6

Reports of coercive pressure in Bathurst [10 sources]

sig 7.06 signals

⚔️Military5

Gambia carried out physical assault in Bathurst [2 sources]

sig 7.25 signals

📌Disaster1

Drought is on going in Angola, Democratic Republic of Congo, Republic of Congo, Gabon, Zambia. The Drought notification level is Orange.

sig 7.01 signal

🎯 Key scenariosAll →

Loading…

📈 Key stocksAll →

No company data available.

Market Pricing Analysis

Market gap0%

Signal trend (7d)↑ 133% vs 7d avg

Recommended actionNEUTRAL

Score Breakdown — 34 / 100

Signal trend (direction + momentum)0 / 30

Market pricing gap15 / 25

Source quality + recency8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind10 / 20

Total34 / 100

Key Opportunity Signals

✦Gambian reported tensions with Student Protester in Kanilai [7 sources]✦Gambia carried out physical assault in Bathurst [2 sources]✦Reports of coercive pressure in Bathurst [10 sources]

Key Risk Factors

⚠Transitional government legitimacy contestation ⚠Oil field maturity and decline curves ⚠China commodity demand volatility for manganese

Recent Signals

6/27/2026

6/26/2026

6/25/2026

🇬🇦 Gabon

Industries

Companies