Risk intelligence for Ethiopia
ET signals are stable with no significant trend. 87 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.
Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.
IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026
Security Force reported tensions in Tigray [3 sources]
Reports of coercive pressure in Tigray [5 sources]
Ethiopia carried out large-scale violence in Tigray [8 sources]
More than 6.5 million Somalis — roughly one in four — are facing acute food insecurity as four consecutive failed rainy seasons devastate harvests and water supplies, while Somalia's 2026 humanitarian response plan sits at just 10.9% funded. The World Food Programme has cut emergency food assistance from 2 million to around 600,000 recipients, over 70 health facilities in Puntland have closed, and MSF says its Baidoa facility is already overwhelmed treating severely malnourished children at the very start of the lean season.
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