Risk intelligence for BI
BI signals are stable with no significant trend. 43 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.
Signal activity is broadly in line with current market pricing — no material divergence detected.
IMF WEO + World Bank data · Annual/quarterly release cadence · Not real-time crisis indicators · Updated Jun 2026
Belarusian reduced relations with in Olsa [5 sources]
Population rejected in Rossony [3 sources]
Situation at a glance Since the declaration of the Marburg Virus Disease (MVD) outbreak on 20 January 2025 in the United Republic of Tanzania, one additional confirmed death was reported by the Ministry of Health from the epicentre of the outbreak in Biharamulo district in Kagera region. As of 10 February 2025, a cumulative of two confirmed and eight probable cases were reported by the Ministry of Health. All 10 cases have died, including eight who died before the confirmation of the outbreak.
The Burundi and current African Union president defends his country’s position against accusations from Rwanda that it is fuelling sub-regional tensions by sending troops to support the Congolese army.
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