ELEVATED IMPACT[70% scenario]→Military resolution [30%]→[45% path]
Swift coalition operation restores access
Precision strikes eliminate Houthi anti-ship capability within weeks; Red Sea shipping resumes within 60 days; freight rates normalize quickly.
⚡ 48 supporting signals (7d)↑48 vs prior 7d
Signal counts measure media attention over the last 7 days — not the likelihood of an outcome.
Red Sea /…[70%]×Military resolution[30%]×Swift coalition operation[45%]=~9% overall
Y-path odds
~21%
Military resolution
This Z-path
~9%
overall probability
If this Z-path occurs — market impact
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AI-generated hypothesis. Not investment advice. Always verify independently with a qualified financial advisor.