🇨🇮 Côte d'Ivoire — Investment Hypothesis

How the 64/100 neutral score was derived from OSINT signals.

Investment Thesis

CI signals are stable with no significant trend. 19 events monitored over the past 7 days. No actionable thesis at this time.

Score Breakdown

Signal trend (direction + momentum)

30 / 30

Market pricing gap

15 / 25

Source quality + recency

8 / 25

Macro / sector tailwind

10 / 20

Total Score64 / 100

Key Risk Factors

⚠Fourth-term legitimacy questions→ signals ⚠Cocoa supply chain swollen shoot disease→ signals ⚠Sahel jihadist spillover in north→ signals ⚠FCFA peg dependency on French/ECB policy→ signals

Supporting Signals — Last 30 Days (15 highest-significance)

Political — 6 signals

4/25/20268.5

Scientist reported tensions in Santiago [4 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/24/20268.5

Reports of tensions in Santiago [5 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/25/20268.5

Chilean reported tensions with Santiago in Santiago [6 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/25/20268.5

Santiago reported tensions in Santiago [3 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/24/20268.5

Chile reported tensions with Mapuche in El Barco [3 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/20/20268.5

Chile reported tensions in Santiago [4 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

Military — 8 signals

4/20/20268.3

Chile reported tensions in Chile [4 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/23/20268.3

Chile reported tensions in Chile [20 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/20/20268.3

Chile reported tensions in Santiago [4 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/20/20268.3

Santiago reported tensions with Galicia in Santiago [5 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/23/20268.2

Santiago carried out physical assault in Santiago [5 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/23/20268.2

Bolivia carried out physical assault in Alto Hospicio [5 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/24/20268.2

Santiago carried out physical assault in Santiago [5 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

4/21/20268.2

Germany carried out physical assault in Santiago [4 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

Criminal — 1 signals

4/26/20268.2

Chile applied coercive pressure in Penco [10 sources]

📡 GDELT Events Historical

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